Chelsea FC v Liverpool FC
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Chelsea FC v Liverpool FC
Recommended bet
Over 1.5 goals
Total goals
De-vigged fair price from the marketLow
Win probability81%
Implied (with margin)81%
Model edge—
Odds1.24 1/4
All markets
Model-only estimates · 172 markets
Match winnerProbOddsEdge
Double chance — Chelsea FC or Liverpool FC72%——
Double chance — Liverpool FC or Draw64%——
Double chance — Chelsea FC or Draw64%——
Draw no bet — Liverpool FC50%——
Draw no bet — Chelsea FC50%——
Liverpool FC to win36%——
Chelsea FC to win36%——
Draw28%——
GoalsProbOddsEdge
Over 0.5 goals93%——
Under 5.5 goals92%——
Under 4.5 goals83%——
Over 1.5 goals81%——
Under 3.5 goals66%——
BTTS — Yes61%——
Over 2.5 goals56%——
BTTS Yes + Over 2.548%——
Goals range — 2-3 goals47%——
Under 2.5 goals44%——
BTTS — No39%——
Over 3.5 goals34%——
Goals range — 4-6 goals31%——
Under 1.5 goals19%——
Goals range — 0-1 goals19%——
Over 4.5 goals17%——
BTTS Yes + Under 2.513%——
Over 5.5 goals8%——
Under 0.5 goals7%——
Goals range — 7+ goals3%——
Score & marginProbOddsEdge
Both score no draw40%——
Chelsea FC to score 134%——
Liverpool FC to score 134%——
Winning margin — Draw28%——
Liverpool FC to score 225%——
Chelsea FC to score 225%——
Chelsea FC to score 023%——
Liverpool FC clean sheet23%——
Liverpool FC to score 023%——
Chelsea FC clean sheet23%——
Winning margin — Liverpool FC by 118%——
Liverpool FC to score 3+18%——
Winning margin — Chelsea FC by 118%——
Chelsea FC to score 3+18%——
Liverpool FC win to nil16%——
Chelsea FC win to nil16%——
Correct score 1-113%——
Winning margin — Liverpool FC by 211%——
Winning margin — Chelsea FC by 211%——
Correct score 1-28%——
Correct score 2-18%——
Correct score 0-07%——
Correct score 0-16%——
Correct score 1-06%——
Correct score 2-26%——
Correct score 0-26%——
Correct score 2-06%——
Winning margin — Liverpool FC by 35%——
Winning margin — Chelsea FC by 35%——
Correct score 1-34%——
Winning margin — Liverpool FC by 42%——
Winning margin — Chelsea FC by 42%——
Winning margin — Liverpool FC by 5+1%——
Winning margin — Chelsea FC by 5+1%——
HalvesProbOddsEdge
1st Half Under 2.5 goals82%——
1st Half Over 0.5 goals77%——
1st Half Under 1.5 goals57%——
Liverpool FC to win either half55%——
Chelsea FC to win either half54%——
Half with most goals — 2nd45%——
1st Half Over 1.5 goals43%——
1st Half result — Draw37%——
Half with most goals — 1st32%——
1st Half result — Liverpool FC32%——
1st Half result — Chelsea FC31%——
Liverpool FC to score in both halves31%——
Chelsea FC to score in both halves31%——
HT/FT Liverpool FC / Liverpool FC23%——
1st Half Under 0.5 goals23%——
HT/FT Chelsea FC / Chelsea FC23%——
Half with most goals — Equal23%——
1st Half Over 2.5 goals18%——
HT/FT Draw / Liverpool FC13%——
HT/FT Draw / Chelsea FC12%——
HT/FT Draw / Draw12%——
Liverpool FC to win both halves11%——
Chelsea FC to win both halves10%——
HT/FT Liverpool FC / Draw6%——
HT/FT Chelsea FC / Draw6%——
HT/FT Liverpool FC / Chelsea FC3%——
HT/FT Chelsea FC / Liverpool FC3%——
HandicapsProbOddsEdge
Handicap — Liverpool FC -2.593%——
Handicap — Chelsea FC +2.593%——
Handicap — Liverpool FC -1.582%——
Handicap — Chelsea FC +1.582%——
Handicap — Liverpool FC -0.564%——
Handicap — Chelsea FC +0.564%——
Handicap — Liverpool FC +0.536%——
Handicap — Chelsea FC -0.536%——
Handicap — Liverpool FC +1.518%——
Handicap — Chelsea FC -1.518%——
Handicap — Liverpool FC +2.57%——
Handicap — Chelsea FC -2.57%——
CardsProbOddsEdge
Over 2.5 cards85%——
Under 6.5 cards80%——
Over 3.5 cards70%——
Under 5.5 cards66%——
Most cards — Liverpool FC62%——
Over 4.5 cards51%——
Under 4.5 cards49%——
Over 5.5 cards34%——
Under 3.5 cards30%——
Most cards — Chelsea FC22%——
Over 6.5 cards20%——
Any red card20%——
Most cards — Tie17%——
Under 2.5 cards15%——
Liverpool FC expected cards3%——
2+ red cards2%——
Chelsea FC expected cards2%——
CornersProbOddsEdge
Over 7.5 corners85%——
Over 8.5 corners76%——
Under 12.5 corners70%——
Over 9.5 corners65%——
Under 11.5 corners59%——
Most corners — Chelsea FC55%——
Over 10.5 corners53%——
Under 10.5 corners47%——
Over 11.5 corners41%——
Under 9.5 corners35%——
Most corners — Liverpool FC34%——
Over 12.5 corners30%——
Under 8.5 corners24%——
Under 7.5 corners15%——
Chelsea FC expected corners6%——
Liverpool FC expected corners5%——
FoulsProbOddsEdge
Over 19.5 fouls80%——
Over 20.5 fouls73%——
Over 21.5 fouls66%——
Most fouls — Liverpool FC64%——
Under 24.5 fouls58%——
Over 22.5 fouls58%——
Under 23.5 fouls50%——
Over 23.5 fouls50%——
Under 22.5 fouls42%——
Over 24.5 fouls42%——
Under 21.5 fouls34%——
Most fouls — Chelsea FC28%——
Under 20.5 fouls27%——
Under 19.5 fouls20%——
GoalscorersProbOddsEdge
Player to score or assist — Alexander Isak (Liverpool)41%——
Player anytime scorer — Alexander Isak (Liverpool)39%——
Player to score or assist — Cody Gakpo (Liverpool)36%——
Player to score or assist — Morgan Rogers (Chelsea)33%——
Player to score or assist — Dominik Szoboszlai (Liverpool)32%——
Player to score or assist — Cole Palmer (Chelsea)30%——
Player to score or assist — Pedro Lomba Neto (Chelsea)27%——
Player to score or assist — Florian Wirtz (Liverpool)24%——
Player anytime scorer — Morgan Rogers (Chelsea)23%——
Player anytime scorer — Cole Palmer (Chelsea)22%——
Player anytime scorer — Dominik Szoboszlai (Liverpool)20%——
Player anytime scorer — Pedro Lomba Neto (Chelsea)18%——
Player to score or assist — Roméo Lavia (Chelsea)16%——
Player anytime scorer — Cody Gakpo (Liverpool)16%——
Player anytime scorer — Florian Wirtz (Liverpool)15%——
Player anytime scorer — Roméo Lavia (Chelsea)14%——
Player cardsProbOddsEdge
Player carded — Alexis Mac Allister (Liverpool)29%——
Player carded — Milos Kerkez (Liverpool)27%——
Player carded — Bradley Barcola (Liverpool)25%——
Player carded — Morgan Rogers (Chelsea)25%——
Player carded — Virgil van Dijk (Liverpool)24%——
Player carded — Pedro Lomba Neto (Chelsea)20%——
Player carded — Roméo Lavia (Chelsea)19%——
Player carded — Cole Palmer (Chelsea)17%——