Aston Villa FC v Crystal Palace FC
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Aston Villa FC v Crystal Palace FC
Recommended bet
Over 1.5 goals
Total goals
De-vigged fair price from the marketLow
Win probability79%
Implied (with margin)79%
Model edge—
Odds1.27 2/7
All markets
Model-only estimates · 172 markets
Match winnerProbOddsEdge
Double chance — Aston Villa FC or Draw73%——
Double chance — Aston Villa FC or Crystal Palace FC72%——
Draw no bet — Aston Villa FC63%——
Double chance — Crystal Palace FC or Draw54%——
Aston Villa FC to win46%——
Draw no bet — Crystal Palace FC37%——
Draw28%——
Crystal Palace FC to win27%——
GoalsProbOddsEdge
Under 5.5 goals93%——
Over 0.5 goals93%——
Under 4.5 goals85%——
Over 1.5 goals79%——
Under 3.5 goals69%——
BTTS — Yes57%——
Over 2.5 goals53%——
Goals range — 2-3 goals48%——
Under 2.5 goals47%——
BTTS Yes + Over 2.544%——
BTTS — No43%——
Over 3.5 goals31%——
Goals range — 4-6 goals29%——
Under 1.5 goals22%——
Goals range — 0-1 goals22%——
Over 4.5 goals15%——
BTTS Yes + Under 2.513%——
Under 0.5 goals8%——
Over 5.5 goals7%——
Goals range — 7+ goals3%——
Score & marginProbOddsEdge
Both score no draw37%——
Crystal Palace FC to score 136%——
Aston Villa FC to score 132%——
Crystal Palace FC to score 030%——
Aston Villa FC clean sheet30%——
Winning margin — Draw28%——
Aston Villa FC to score 226%——
Aston Villa FC win to nil23%——
Aston Villa FC to score 3+22%——
Crystal Palace FC to score 222%——
Winning margin — Aston Villa FC by 121%——
Aston Villa FC to score 020%——
Crystal Palace FC clean sheet20%——
Winning margin — Crystal Palace FC by 115%——
Winning margin — Aston Villa FC by 214%——
Correct score 1-113%——
Crystal Palace FC win to nil12%——
Crystal Palace FC to score 3+12%——
Correct score 2-19%——
Correct score 1-08%——
Correct score 2-08%——
Winning margin — Crystal Palace FC by 28%——
Correct score 0-08%——
Correct score 1-27%——
Winning margin — Aston Villa FC by 37%——
Correct score 0-16%——
Correct score 2-26%——
Correct score 3-15%——
Correct score 0-24%——
Winning margin — Crystal Palace FC by 33%——
Winning margin — Aston Villa FC by 43%——
Winning margin — Aston Villa FC by 5+1%——
Winning margin — Crystal Palace FC by 41%——
Winning margin — Crystal Palace FC by 5+0%——
HalvesProbOddsEdge
1st Half Under 2.5 goals86%——
1st Half Over 0.5 goals72%——
1st Half Under 1.5 goals64%——
Aston Villa FC to win either half61%——
Half with most goals — 2nd44%——
Crystal Palace FC to win either half43%——
1st Half result — Draw40%——
1st Half Over 1.5 goals36%——
1st Half result — Aston Villa FC36%——
Half with most goals — 1st31%——
Aston Villa FC to score in both halves31%——
HT/FT Aston Villa FC / Aston Villa FC29%——
1st Half Under 0.5 goals28%——
Half with most goals — Equal25%——
1st Half result — Crystal Palace FC24%——
Crystal Palace FC to score in both halves20%——
HT/FT Crystal Palace FC / Crystal Palace FC16%——
HT/FT Draw / Aston Villa FC16%——
HT/FT Draw / Draw14%——
Aston Villa FC to win both halves14%——
1st Half Over 2.5 goals14%——
HT/FT Draw / Crystal Palace FC10%——
Crystal Palace FC to win both halves6%——
HT/FT Crystal Palace FC / Draw5%——
HT/FT Aston Villa FC / Draw5%——
HT/FT Crystal Palace FC / Aston Villa FC3%——
HT/FT Aston Villa FC / Crystal Palace FC2%——
HandicapsProbOddsEdge
Handicap — Aston Villa FC +2.596%——
Handicap — Crystal Palace FC -2.590%——
Handicap — Aston Villa FC +1.589%——
Handicap — Crystal Palace FC -1.576%——
Handicap — Aston Villa FC +0.573%——
Handicap — Crystal Palace FC -0.554%——
Handicap — Aston Villa FC -0.546%——
Handicap — Crystal Palace FC +0.527%——
Handicap — Aston Villa FC -1.525%——
Handicap — Crystal Palace FC +1.511%——
Handicap — Aston Villa FC -2.510%——
Handicap — Crystal Palace FC +2.54%——
CardsProbOddsEdge
Under 6.5 cards90%——
Under 5.5 cards80%——
Over 2.5 cards75%——
Under 4.5 cards65%——
Over 3.5 cards55%——
Most cards — Aston Villa FC51%——
Under 3.5 cards45%——
Over 4.5 cards35%——
Most cards — Crystal Palace FC29%——
Any red card28%——
Under 2.5 cards25%——
Most cards — Tie20%——
Over 5.5 cards20%——
Over 6.5 cards10%——
2+ red cards5%——
Aston Villa FC expected cards2%——
Crystal Palace FC expected cards2%——
CornersProbOddsEdge
Under 12.5 corners98%——
Under 11.5 corners95%——
Under 10.5 corners91%——
Under 9.5 corners84%——
Under 8.5 corners74%——
Under 7.5 corners62%——
Most corners — Aston Villa FC49%——
Over 7.5 corners39%——
Most corners — Crystal Palace FC36%——
Over 8.5 corners26%——
Over 9.5 corners16%——
Over 10.5 corners9%——
Over 11.5 corners5%——
Aston Villa FC expected corners4%——
Crystal Palace FC expected corners3%——
Over 12.5 corners2%——
FoulsProbOddsEdge
Under 24.5 fouls79%——
Under 23.5 fouls73%——
Under 22.5 fouls65%——
Over 19.5 fouls60%——
Under 21.5 fouls57%——
Over 20.5 fouls52%——
Most fouls — Aston Villa FC51%——
Under 20.5 fouls48%——
Over 21.5 fouls43%——
Most fouls — Crystal Palace FC41%——
Under 19.5 fouls40%——
Over 22.5 fouls35%——
Over 23.5 fouls27%——
Over 24.5 fouls21%——
GoalscorersProbOddsEdge
Player to score or assist — Eddie Nketiah (Crystal Palace)52%——
Player anytime scorer — Eddie Nketiah (Crystal Palace)43%——
Player to score or assist — Nicolas Jackson (Aston Villa)36%——
Player to score or assist — Johan Manzambi (Aston Villa)34%——
Player to score or assist — John McGinn (Aston Villa)32%——
Player anytime scorer — Nicolas Jackson (Aston Villa)30%——
Player anytime scorer — John McGinn (Aston Villa)27%——
Player to score or assist — Yéremy Pino Santos (Crystal Palace)26%——
Player to score or assist — Jørgen Strand Larsen (Crystal Palace)25%——
Player anytime scorer — Johan Manzambi (Aston Villa)24%——
Player to score or assist — Emiliano Buendía Stati (Aston Villa)23%——
Player anytime scorer — Jørgen Strand Larsen (Crystal Palace)20%——
Player anytime scorer — Emiliano Buendía Stati (Aston Villa)19%——
Player anytime scorer — Yéremy Pino Santos (Crystal Palace)16%——
Player to score or assist — Daichi Kamada (Crystal Palace)15%——
Player anytime scorer — Daichi Kamada (Crystal Palace)10%——
Player cardsProbOddsEdge
Player carded — Matty Cash (Aston Villa)44%——
Player carded — Alysson Edward Franco da Rocha dos Santos (Aston Villa)37%——
Player carded — Yéremy Pino Santos (Crystal Palace)36%——
Player carded — Emiliano Buendía Stati (Aston Villa)23%——
Player carded — Anan Khalaili (Crystal Palace)20%——
Player carded — Nicolas Jackson (Aston Villa)19%——
Player carded — Daichi Kamada (Crystal Palace)16%——
Player carded — Jaydee Canvot (Crystal Palace)10%——