Charlton Athletic FC v Derby County FC
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Football·Championship· 2026-08-15 · 14:00

Charlton Athletic FC v Derby County FC

Recommended bet
Under 3.5 goals
Total goals
De-vigged fair price from the marketLow
Win probability76%
Implied (with margin)76%
Model edge
Odds1.32 1/3
All markets
Model-only estimates · 101 markets
Match winnerProbOddsEdge
Double chance — Charlton Athletic FC or Derby County FC70%
Double chance — Derby County FC or Draw67%
Double chance — Charlton Athletic FC or Draw64%
Draw no bet — Derby County FC52%
Draw no bet — Charlton Athletic FC48%
Derby County FC to win36%
Charlton Athletic FC to win33%
Draw30%
GoalsProbOddsEdge
Under 5.5 goals96%
Over 0.5 goals90%
Under 4.5 goals89%
Under 3.5 goals76%
Over 1.5 goals73%
Under 2.5 goals54%
BTTS — Yes53%
Goals range — 2-3 goals49%
BTTS — No48%
Over 2.5 goals46%
BTTS Yes + Over 2.538%
Under 1.5 goals27%
Goals range — 0-1 goals27%
Over 3.5 goals24%
Goals range — 4-6 goals23%
BTTS Yes + Under 2.515%
Over 4.5 goals11%
Under 0.5 goals10%
Over 5.5 goals4%
Goals range — 7+ goals1%
Score & marginProbOddsEdge
Charlton Athletic FC to score 136%
Derby County FC to score 136%
Both score no draw32%
Winning margin — Draw30%
Charlton Athletic FC to score 030%
Derby County FC clean sheet30%
Derby County FC to score 028%
Charlton Athletic FC clean sheet28%
Derby County FC to score 223%
Charlton Athletic FC to score 222%
Derby County FC win to nil20%
Winning margin — Derby County FC by 120%
Winning margin — Charlton Athletic FC by 119%
Charlton Athletic FC win to nil18%
Correct score 1-115%
Derby County FC to score 3+14%
Charlton Athletic FC to score 3+12%
Winning margin — Derby County FC by 211%
Correct score 0-010%
Winning margin — Charlton Athletic FC by 210%
Correct score 0-19%
Correct score 1-08%
Correct score 1-28%
Correct score 2-18%
Correct score 0-27%
Correct score 2-06%
Correct score 2-25%
Winning margin — Derby County FC by 34%
Winning margin — Charlton Athletic FC by 34%
Correct score 1-34%
Winning margin — Derby County FC by 41%
Winning margin — Charlton Athletic FC by 41%
Winning margin — Derby County FC by 5+0%
Winning margin — Charlton Athletic FC by 5+0%
HalvesProbOddsEdge
1st Half Under 2.5 goals90%
1st Half Under 1.5 goals69%
1st Half Over 0.5 goals68%
Derby County FC to win either half52%
Charlton Athletic FC to win either half49%
1st Half result — Draw44%
Half with most goals — 2nd43%
1st Half Under 0.5 goals33%
1st Half Over 1.5 goals31%
Half with most goals — 1st31%
1st Half result — Derby County FC29%
1st Half result — Charlton Athletic FC27%
Half with most goals — Equal27%
Derby County FC to score in both halves22%
HT/FT Derby County FC / Derby County FC22%
Charlton Athletic FC to score in both halves21%
HT/FT Charlton Athletic FC / Charlton Athletic FC20%
HT/FT Draw / Draw17%
HT/FT Draw / Derby County FC14%
HT/FT Draw / Charlton Athletic FC13%
1st Half Over 2.5 goals11%
Derby County FC to win both halves9%
Charlton Athletic FC to win both halves8%
HT/FT Derby County FC / Draw5%
HT/FT Charlton Athletic FC / Draw5%
HT/FT Charlton Athletic FC / Derby County FC2%
HT/FT Derby County FC / Charlton Athletic FC2%
HandicapsProbOddsEdge
Handicap — Derby County FC -2.595%
Handicap — Charlton Athletic FC +2.594%
Handicap — Derby County FC -1.585%
Handicap — Charlton Athletic FC +1.583%
Handicap — Derby County FC -0.567%
Handicap — Charlton Athletic FC +0.564%
Handicap — Derby County FC +0.536%
Handicap — Charlton Athletic FC -0.533%
Handicap — Derby County FC +1.517%
Handicap — Charlton Athletic FC -1.515%
Handicap — Derby County FC +2.56%
Handicap — Charlton Athletic FC -2.55%