Watford FC v Southampton FC
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Football·Championship· 2026-08-16 · 12:30

Watford FC v Southampton FC

Recommended bet
Under 3.5 goals
Total goals
De-vigged fair price from the marketLow
Win probability76%
Implied (with margin)76%
Model edge
Odds1.32 1/3
All markets
Model-only estimates · 101 markets
Match winnerProbOddsEdge
Double chance — Southampton FC or Draw73%
Double chance — Watford FC or Southampton FC70%
Draw no bet — Southampton FC62%
Double chance — Watford FC or Draw57%
Southampton FC to win43%
Draw no bet — Watford FC39%
Draw30%
Watford FC to win27%
GoalsProbOddsEdge
Under 5.5 goals96%
Over 0.5 goals90%
Under 4.5 goals89%
Under 3.5 goals76%
Over 1.5 goals73%
Under 2.5 goals54%
BTTS — Yes52%
Goals range — 2-3 goals49%
BTTS — No48%
Over 2.5 goals46%
BTTS Yes + Over 2.538%
Under 1.5 goals27%
Goals range — 0-1 goals27%
Over 3.5 goals24%
Goals range — 4-6 goals23%
BTTS Yes + Under 2.514%
Over 4.5 goals11%
Under 0.5 goals10%
Over 5.5 goals4%
Goals range — 7+ goals1%
Score & marginProbOddsEdge
Watford FC to score 137%
Southampton FC to score 134%
Watford FC to score 034%
Southampton FC clean sheet34%
Both score no draw32%
Winning margin — Draw30%
Southampton FC to score 224%
Southampton FC to score 024%
Watford FC clean sheet24%
Southampton FC win to nil24%
Winning margin — Southampton FC by 122%
Watford FC to score 220%
Southampton FC to score 3+17%
Winning margin — Watford FC by 116%
Watford FC win to nil14%
Correct score 1-114%
Winning margin — Southampton FC by 213%
Correct score 0-110%
Correct score 0-010%
Watford FC to score 3+10%
Correct score 1-29%
Correct score 0-28%
Winning margin — Watford FC by 28%
Correct score 1-07%
Correct score 2-17%
Winning margin — Southampton FC by 36%
Correct score 2-25%
Correct score 2-05%
Correct score 1-34%
Winning margin — Watford FC by 33%
Winning margin — Southampton FC by 42%
Winning margin — Southampton FC by 5+1%
Winning margin — Watford FC by 41%
Winning margin — Watford FC by 5+0%
HalvesProbOddsEdge
1st Half Under 2.5 goals90%
1st Half Under 1.5 goals69%
1st Half Over 0.5 goals68%
Southampton FC to win either half58%
1st Half result — Draw43%
Half with most goals — 2nd43%
Watford FC to win either half43%
1st Half result — Southampton FC33%
1st Half Under 0.5 goals33%
1st Half Over 1.5 goals31%
Half with most goals — 1st31%
Half with most goals — Equal27%
HT/FT Southampton FC / Southampton FC27%
Southampton FC to score in both halves26%
1st Half result — Watford FC23%
Watford FC to score in both halves17%
HT/FT Draw / Draw17%
HT/FT Watford FC / Watford FC16%
HT/FT Draw / Southampton FC16%
Southampton FC to win both halves12%
HT/FT Draw / Watford FC11%
1st Half Over 2.5 goals11%
Watford FC to win both halves6%
HT/FT Southampton FC / Draw5%
HT/FT Watford FC / Draw5%
HT/FT Watford FC / Southampton FC2%
HT/FT Southampton FC / Watford FC2%
HandicapsProbOddsEdge
Handicap — Southampton FC -2.597%
Handicap — Watford FC +2.592%
Handicap — Southampton FC -1.589%
Handicap — Watford FC +1.578%
Handicap — Southampton FC -0.573%
Handicap — Watford FC +0.557%
Handicap — Southampton FC +0.543%
Handicap — Watford FC -0.527%
Handicap — Southampton FC +1.522%
Handicap — Watford FC -1.511%
Handicap — Southampton FC +2.58%
Handicap — Watford FC -2.53%