Derby County FC v Swansea City AFC
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Derby County FC v Swansea City AFC
Recommended bet
Under 3.5 goals
Total goals
De-vigged fair price from the marketLow
Win probability76%
Implied (with margin)76%
Model edge—
Odds1.32 1/3
All markets
Model-only estimates · 101 markets
Match winnerProbOddsEdge
Double chance — Derby County FC or Draw70%——
Double chance — Derby County FC or Swansea City AFC70%——
Double chance — Swansea City AFC or Draw60%——
Draw no bet — Derby County FC57%——
Draw no bet — Swansea City AFC43%——
Derby County FC to win40%——
Draw30%——
Swansea City AFC to win30%——
GoalsProbOddsEdge
Under 5.5 goals96%——
Over 0.5 goals90%——
Under 4.5 goals89%——
Under 3.5 goals76%——
Over 1.5 goals73%——
Under 2.5 goals54%——
BTTS — Yes52%——
Goals range — 2-3 goals49%——
BTTS — No48%——
Over 2.5 goals46%——
BTTS Yes + Over 2.538%——
Under 1.5 goals27%——
Goals range — 0-1 goals27%——
Over 3.5 goals24%——
Goals range — 4-6 goals23%——
BTTS Yes + Under 2.514%——
Over 4.5 goals11%——
Under 0.5 goals10%——
Over 5.5 goals4%——
Goals range — 7+ goals1%——
Score & marginProbOddsEdge
Swansea City AFC to score 136%——
Derby County FC to score 135%——
Both score no draw32%——
Swansea City AFC to score 032%——
Derby County FC clean sheet32%——
Winning margin — Draw30%——
Derby County FC to score 026%——
Swansea City AFC clean sheet26%——
Derby County FC to score 224%——
Derby County FC win to nil22%——
Swansea City AFC to score 221%——
Winning margin — Derby County FC by 121%——
Winning margin — Swansea City AFC by 117%——
Swansea City AFC win to nil16%——
Derby County FC to score 3+16%——
Correct score 1-114%——
Winning margin — Derby County FC by 212%——
Swansea City AFC to score 3+11%——
Correct score 0-010%——
Correct score 1-09%——
Winning margin — Swansea City AFC by 29%——
Correct score 2-19%——
Correct score 0-18%——
Correct score 2-08%——
Correct score 1-27%——
Correct score 0-25%——
Correct score 2-25%——
Winning margin — Derby County FC by 35%——
Correct score 3-14%——
Winning margin — Swansea City AFC by 33%——
Winning margin — Derby County FC by 42%——
Winning margin — Swansea City AFC by 41%——
Winning margin — Derby County FC by 5+1%——
Winning margin — Swansea City AFC by 5+0%——
HalvesProbOddsEdge
1st Half Under 2.5 goals90%——
1st Half Under 1.5 goals69%——
1st Half Over 0.5 goals68%——
Derby County FC to win either half55%——
Swansea City AFC to win either half46%——
1st Half result — Draw44%——
Half with most goals — 2nd43%——
1st Half Under 0.5 goals33%——
1st Half result — Derby County FC31%——
1st Half Over 1.5 goals31%——
Half with most goals — 1st31%——
Half with most goals — Equal27%——
1st Half result — Swansea City AFC25%——
HT/FT Derby County FC / Derby County FC24%——
Derby County FC to score in both halves24%——
Swansea City AFC to score in both halves19%——
HT/FT Swansea City AFC / Swansea City AFC18%——
HT/FT Draw / Draw17%——
HT/FT Draw / Derby County FC15%——
HT/FT Draw / Swansea City AFC12%——
Derby County FC to win both halves11%——
1st Half Over 2.5 goals11%——
Swansea City AFC to win both halves7%——
HT/FT Swansea City AFC / Draw5%——
HT/FT Derby County FC / Draw5%——
HT/FT Swansea City AFC / Derby County FC2%——
HT/FT Derby County FC / Swansea City AFC2%——
HandicapsProbOddsEdge
Handicap — Derby County FC +2.596%——
Handicap — Swansea City AFC -2.593%——
Handicap — Derby County FC +1.587%——
Handicap — Swansea City AFC -1.581%——
Handicap — Derby County FC +0.570%——
Handicap — Swansea City AFC -0.560%——
Handicap — Derby County FC -0.540%——
Handicap — Swansea City AFC +0.530%——
Handicap — Derby County FC -1.519%——
Handicap — Swansea City AFC +1.513%——
Handicap — Derby County FC -2.57%——
Handicap — Swansea City AFC +2.54%——