Portsmouth FC v Derby County FC
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Football·Championship· 2026-09-01 · 18:45

Portsmouth FC v Derby County FC

Recommended bet
Under 3.5 goals
Total goals
De-vigged fair price from the marketLow
Win probability76%
Implied (with margin)76%
Model edge
Odds1.32 1/3
All markets
Model-only estimates · 101 markets
Match winnerProbOddsEdge
Double chance — Portsmouth FC or Derby County FC70%
Double chance — Portsmouth FC or Draw67%
Double chance — Derby County FC or Draw63%
Draw no bet — Portsmouth FC53%
Draw no bet — Derby County FC47%
Portsmouth FC to win37%
Derby County FC to win33%
Draw30%
GoalsProbOddsEdge
Under 5.5 goals96%
Over 0.5 goals90%
Under 4.5 goals89%
Under 3.5 goals76%
Over 1.5 goals73%
Under 2.5 goals54%
BTTS — Yes53%
Goals range — 2-3 goals49%
BTTS — No48%
Over 2.5 goals46%
BTTS Yes + Over 2.538%
Under 1.5 goals27%
Goals range — 0-1 goals27%
Over 3.5 goals24%
Goals range — 4-6 goals23%
BTTS Yes + Under 2.515%
Over 4.5 goals11%
Under 0.5 goals10%
Over 5.5 goals4%
Goals range — 7+ goals1%
Score & marginProbOddsEdge
Derby County FC to score 136%
Portsmouth FC to score 136%
Both score no draw32%
Winning margin — Draw30%
Derby County FC to score 030%
Portsmouth FC clean sheet30%
Portsmouth FC to score 028%
Derby County FC clean sheet28%
Portsmouth FC to score 223%
Derby County FC to score 222%
Portsmouth FC win to nil20%
Winning margin — Portsmouth FC by 120%
Winning margin — Derby County FC by 118%
Derby County FC win to nil18%
Correct score 1-115%
Portsmouth FC to score 3+14%
Derby County FC to score 3+12%
Winning margin — Portsmouth FC by 211%
Correct score 0-010%
Winning margin — Derby County FC by 210%
Correct score 1-09%
Correct score 0-18%
Correct score 2-18%
Correct score 1-28%
Correct score 2-07%
Correct score 0-26%
Correct score 2-25%
Winning margin — Portsmouth FC by 34%
Winning margin — Derby County FC by 34%
Correct score 3-14%
Winning margin — Portsmouth FC by 41%
Winning margin — Derby County FC by 41%
Winning margin — Portsmouth FC by 5+0%
Winning margin — Derby County FC by 5+0%
HalvesProbOddsEdge
1st Half Under 2.5 goals90%
1st Half Under 1.5 goals69%
1st Half Over 0.5 goals68%
Portsmouth FC to win either half52%
Derby County FC to win either half49%
1st Half result — Draw44%
Half with most goals — 2nd43%
1st Half Under 0.5 goals33%
1st Half Over 1.5 goals31%
Half with most goals — 1st31%
1st Half result — Portsmouth FC29%
1st Half result — Derby County FC27%
Half with most goals — Equal27%
Portsmouth FC to score in both halves22%
HT/FT Portsmouth FC / Portsmouth FC22%
Derby County FC to score in both halves21%
HT/FT Derby County FC / Derby County FC20%
HT/FT Draw / Draw17%
HT/FT Draw / Portsmouth FC14%
HT/FT Draw / Derby County FC13%
1st Half Over 2.5 goals11%
Portsmouth FC to win both halves9%
Derby County FC to win both halves8%
HT/FT Derby County FC / Draw5%
HT/FT Portsmouth FC / Draw5%
HT/FT Derby County FC / Portsmouth FC2%
HT/FT Portsmouth FC / Derby County FC2%
HandicapsProbOddsEdge
Handicap — Portsmouth FC +2.595%
Handicap — Derby County FC -2.594%
Handicap — Portsmouth FC +1.585%
Handicap — Derby County FC -1.583%
Handicap — Portsmouth FC +0.567%
Handicap — Derby County FC -0.563%
Handicap — Portsmouth FC -0.537%
Handicap — Derby County FC +0.533%
Handicap — Portsmouth FC -1.517%
Handicap — Derby County FC +1.515%
Handicap — Portsmouth FC -2.56%
Handicap — Derby County FC +2.55%