Birmingham City FC v Southampton FC
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Football·Championship· 2026-09-01 · 18:45

Birmingham City FC v Southampton FC

Recommended bet
Under 3.5 goals
Total goals
De-vigged fair price from the marketLow
Win probability76%
Implied (with margin)76%
Model edge
Odds1.32 1/3
All markets
Model-only estimates · 101 markets
Match winnerProbOddsEdge
Double chance — Birmingham City FC or Southampton FC70%
Double chance — Southampton FC or Draw70%
Double chance — Birmingham City FC or Draw61%
Draw no bet — Southampton FC57%
Draw no bet — Birmingham City FC43%
Southampton FC to win40%
Birmingham City FC to win30%
Draw30%
GoalsProbOddsEdge
Under 5.5 goals96%
Over 0.5 goals90%
Under 4.5 goals89%
Under 3.5 goals76%
Over 1.5 goals73%
Under 2.5 goals54%
BTTS — Yes52%
Goals range — 2-3 goals49%
BTTS — No48%
Over 2.5 goals46%
BTTS Yes + Over 2.538%
Under 1.5 goals27%
Goals range — 0-1 goals27%
Over 3.5 goals24%
Goals range — 4-6 goals23%
BTTS Yes + Under 2.514%
Over 4.5 goals11%
Under 0.5 goals10%
Over 5.5 goals4%
Goals range — 7+ goals1%
Score & marginProbOddsEdge
Birmingham City FC to score 136%
Southampton FC to score 135%
Both score no draw32%
Birmingham City FC to score 032%
Southampton FC clean sheet32%
Winning margin — Draw30%
Southampton FC to score 026%
Birmingham City FC clean sheet26%
Southampton FC to score 224%
Southampton FC win to nil22%
Birmingham City FC to score 221%
Winning margin — Southampton FC by 121%
Winning margin — Birmingham City FC by 117%
Birmingham City FC win to nil16%
Southampton FC to score 3+15%
Correct score 1-114%
Winning margin — Southampton FC by 212%
Birmingham City FC to score 3+11%
Correct score 0-010%
Correct score 0-19%
Winning margin — Birmingham City FC by 29%
Correct score 1-29%
Correct score 1-08%
Correct score 0-27%
Correct score 2-17%
Correct score 2-06%
Correct score 2-25%
Winning margin — Southampton FC by 35%
Correct score 1-34%
Winning margin — Birmingham City FC by 33%
Winning margin — Southampton FC by 42%
Winning margin — Birmingham City FC by 41%
Winning margin — Southampton FC by 5+1%
Winning margin — Birmingham City FC by 5+0%
HalvesProbOddsEdge
1st Half Under 2.5 goals90%
1st Half Under 1.5 goals69%
1st Half Over 0.5 goals68%
Southampton FC to win either half54%
Birmingham City FC to win either half46%
1st Half result — Draw44%
Half with most goals — 2nd43%
1st Half Under 0.5 goals33%
1st Half result — Southampton FC31%
1st Half Over 1.5 goals31%
Half with most goals — 1st31%
Half with most goals — Equal27%
1st Half result — Birmingham City FC25%
HT/FT Southampton FC / Southampton FC24%
Southampton FC to score in both halves24%
Birmingham City FC to score in both halves19%
HT/FT Birmingham City FC / Birmingham City FC18%
HT/FT Draw / Draw17%
HT/FT Draw / Southampton FC15%
HT/FT Draw / Birmingham City FC12%
1st Half Over 2.5 goals11%
Southampton FC to win both halves11%
Birmingham City FC to win both halves7%
HT/FT Southampton FC / Draw5%
HT/FT Birmingham City FC / Draw5%
HT/FT Birmingham City FC / Southampton FC2%
HT/FT Southampton FC / Birmingham City FC2%
HandicapsProbOddsEdge
Handicap — Southampton FC -2.596%
Handicap — Birmingham City FC +2.593%
Handicap — Southampton FC -1.587%
Handicap — Birmingham City FC +1.581%
Handicap — Southampton FC -0.570%
Handicap — Birmingham City FC +0.561%
Handicap — Southampton FC +0.540%
Handicap — Birmingham City FC -0.530%
Handicap — Southampton FC +1.519%
Handicap — Birmingham City FC -1.513%
Handicap — Southampton FC +2.57%
Handicap — Birmingham City FC -2.54%