Swansea City AFC v Watford FC
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Football·Championship· 2026-09-01 · 18:45

Swansea City AFC v Watford FC

Recommended bet
Under 3.5 goals
Total goals
De-vigged fair price from the marketLow
Win probability76%
Implied (with margin)76%
Model edge
Odds1.32 1/3
All markets
Model-only estimates · 101 markets
Match winnerProbOddsEdge
Double chance — Swansea City AFC or Draw75%
Double chance — Swansea City AFC or Watford FC71%
Draw no bet — Swansea City AFC64%
Double chance — Watford FC or Draw55%
Swansea City AFC to win45%
Draw no bet — Watford FC36%
Draw30%
Watford FC to win25%
GoalsProbOddsEdge
Under 5.5 goals96%
Over 0.5 goals90%
Under 4.5 goals89%
Under 3.5 goals76%
Over 1.5 goals73%
Under 2.5 goals54%
BTTS — Yes51%
BTTS — No49%
Goals range — 2-3 goals49%
Over 2.5 goals46%
BTTS Yes + Over 2.537%
Under 1.5 goals27%
Goals range — 0-1 goals27%
Over 3.5 goals24%
Goals range — 4-6 goals23%
BTTS Yes + Under 2.514%
Over 4.5 goals11%
Under 0.5 goals10%
Over 5.5 goals4%
Goals range — 7+ goals1%
Score & marginProbOddsEdge
Watford FC to score 137%
Watford FC to score 036%
Swansea City AFC clean sheet36%
Swansea City AFC to score 134%
Both score no draw32%
Winning margin — Draw30%
Swansea City AFC win to nil26%
Swansea City AFC to score 225%
Swansea City AFC to score 023%
Watford FC clean sheet23%
Winning margin — Swansea City AFC by 122%
Watford FC to score 219%
Swansea City AFC to score 3+18%
Winning margin — Watford FC by 115%
Winning margin — Swansea City AFC by 214%
Correct score 1-114%
Watford FC win to nil13%
Correct score 1-010%
Correct score 0-010%
Correct score 2-19%
Correct score 2-09%
Watford FC to score 3+9%
Winning margin — Watford FC by 27%
Correct score 0-17%
Correct score 1-26%
Winning margin — Swansea City AFC by 36%
Correct score 2-25%
Correct score 3-15%
Correct score 0-24%
Winning margin — Watford FC by 32%
Winning margin — Swansea City AFC by 42%
Winning margin — Swansea City AFC by 5+1%
Winning margin — Watford FC by 41%
Winning margin — Watford FC by 5+0%
HalvesProbOddsEdge
1st Half Under 2.5 goals90%
1st Half Under 1.5 goals69%
1st Half Over 0.5 goals68%
Swansea City AFC to win either half60%
1st Half result — Draw43%
Half with most goals — 2nd43%
Watford FC to win either half41%
1st Half result — Swansea City AFC35%
1st Half Under 0.5 goals33%
1st Half Over 1.5 goals31%
Half with most goals — 1st31%
HT/FT Swansea City AFC / Swansea City AFC28%
Half with most goals — Equal27%
Swansea City AFC to score in both halves27%
1st Half result — Watford FC22%
HT/FT Draw / Draw17%
HT/FT Draw / Swansea City AFC16%
Watford FC to score in both halves16%
HT/FT Watford FC / Watford FC15%
Swansea City AFC to win both halves13%
1st Half Over 2.5 goals11%
HT/FT Draw / Watford FC10%
Watford FC to win both halves5%
HT/FT Watford FC / Draw5%
HT/FT Swansea City AFC / Draw5%
HT/FT Watford FC / Swansea City AFC2%
HT/FT Swansea City AFC / Watford FC2%
HandicapsProbOddsEdge
Handicap — Swansea City AFC +2.597%
Handicap — Watford FC -2.591%
Handicap — Swansea City AFC +1.590%
Handicap — Watford FC -1.577%
Handicap — Swansea City AFC +0.575%
Handicap — Watford FC -0.555%
Handicap — Swansea City AFC -0.545%
Handicap — Watford FC +0.525%
Handicap — Swansea City AFC -1.523%
Handicap — Watford FC +1.510%
Handicap — Swansea City AFC -2.59%
Handicap — Watford FC +2.53%