Burnley FC v Middlesbrough FC
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Football·Championship· 2026-09-02 · 18:45

Burnley FC v Middlesbrough FC

Recommended bet
Under 3.5 goals
Total goals
De-vigged fair price from the marketLow
Win probability76%
Implied (with margin)76%
Model edge
Odds1.32 1/3
All markets
Model-only estimates · 101 markets
Match winnerProbOddsEdge
Double chance — Burnley FC or Draw75%
Double chance — Burnley FC or Middlesbrough FC71%
Draw no bet — Burnley FC64%
Double chance — Middlesbrough FC or Draw55%
Burnley FC to win45%
Draw no bet — Middlesbrough FC36%
Draw30%
Middlesbrough FC to win25%
GoalsProbOddsEdge
Under 5.5 goals96%
Over 0.5 goals90%
Under 4.5 goals89%
Under 3.5 goals76%
Over 1.5 goals73%
Under 2.5 goals54%
BTTS — Yes51%
BTTS — No49%
Goals range — 2-3 goals49%
Over 2.5 goals46%
BTTS Yes + Over 2.537%
Under 1.5 goals27%
Goals range — 0-1 goals27%
Over 3.5 goals24%
Goals range — 4-6 goals23%
BTTS Yes + Under 2.514%
Over 4.5 goals11%
Under 0.5 goals10%
Over 5.5 goals4%
Goals range — 7+ goals1%
Score & marginProbOddsEdge
Middlesbrough FC to score 137%
Middlesbrough FC to score 036%
Burnley FC clean sheet36%
Burnley FC to score 134%
Both score no draw32%
Winning margin — Draw30%
Burnley FC win to nil26%
Burnley FC to score 225%
Burnley FC to score 023%
Middlesbrough FC clean sheet23%
Winning margin — Burnley FC by 122%
Middlesbrough FC to score 219%
Burnley FC to score 3+18%
Winning margin — Middlesbrough FC by 115%
Winning margin — Burnley FC by 214%
Correct score 1-114%
Middlesbrough FC win to nil13%
Correct score 1-010%
Correct score 0-010%
Correct score 2-19%
Correct score 2-09%
Middlesbrough FC to score 3+9%
Winning margin — Middlesbrough FC by 27%
Correct score 0-17%
Correct score 1-27%
Winning margin — Burnley FC by 36%
Correct score 2-25%
Correct score 3-14%
Correct score 0-24%
Winning margin — Middlesbrough FC by 32%
Winning margin — Burnley FC by 42%
Winning margin — Burnley FC by 5+1%
Winning margin — Middlesbrough FC by 41%
Winning margin — Middlesbrough FC by 5+0%
HalvesProbOddsEdge
1st Half Under 2.5 goals90%
1st Half Under 1.5 goals69%
1st Half Over 0.5 goals68%
Burnley FC to win either half59%
1st Half result — Draw43%
Half with most goals — 2nd43%
Middlesbrough FC to win either half41%
1st Half result — Burnley FC35%
1st Half Under 0.5 goals33%
1st Half Over 1.5 goals31%
Half with most goals — 1st31%
HT/FT Burnley FC / Burnley FC28%
Half with most goals — Equal27%
Burnley FC to score in both halves27%
1st Half result — Middlesbrough FC22%
HT/FT Draw / Draw17%
HT/FT Draw / Burnley FC16%
Middlesbrough FC to score in both halves16%
HT/FT Middlesbrough FC / Middlesbrough FC15%
Burnley FC to win both halves13%
1st Half Over 2.5 goals11%
HT/FT Draw / Middlesbrough FC10%
Middlesbrough FC to win both halves5%
HT/FT Middlesbrough FC / Draw5%
HT/FT Burnley FC / Draw5%
HT/FT Middlesbrough FC / Burnley FC2%
HT/FT Burnley FC / Middlesbrough FC2%
HandicapsProbOddsEdge
Handicap — Burnley FC +2.597%
Handicap — Middlesbrough FC -2.591%
Handicap — Burnley FC +1.590%
Handicap — Middlesbrough FC -1.577%
Handicap — Burnley FC +0.575%
Handicap — Middlesbrough FC -0.555%
Handicap — Burnley FC -0.545%
Handicap — Middlesbrough FC +0.525%
Handicap — Burnley FC -1.523%
Handicap — Middlesbrough FC +1.510%
Handicap — Burnley FC -2.59%
Handicap — Middlesbrough FC +2.53%