West Ham United FC v Derby County FC
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Football·Championship· 2026-09-05 · 14:00

West Ham United FC v Derby County FC

Recommended bet
Over 1.5 goals
Total goals
De-vigged fair price from the marketLow
Win probability80%
Implied (with margin)80%
Model edge
Odds1.26 1/4
All markets
Model-only estimates · 101 markets
Match winnerProbOddsEdge
Double chance — West Ham United FC or Draw75%
Double chance — West Ham United FC or Derby County FC73%
Draw no bet — West Ham United FC66%
Double chance — Derby County FC or Draw52%
West Ham United FC to win48%
Draw no bet — Derby County FC34%
Draw27%
Derby County FC to win25%
GoalsProbOddsEdge
Over 0.5 goals93%
Under 5.5 goals93%
Under 4.5 goals84%
Over 1.5 goals80%
Under 3.5 goals67%
BTTS — Yes58%
Over 2.5 goals55%
Goals range — 2-3 goals47%
BTTS Yes + Over 2.545%
Under 2.5 goals45%
BTTS — No42%
Over 3.5 goals33%
Goals range — 4-6 goals30%
Under 1.5 goals20%
Goals range — 0-1 goals20%
Over 4.5 goals17%
BTTS Yes + Under 2.513%
Over 5.5 goals7%
Under 0.5 goals7%
Goals range — 7+ goals3%
Score & marginProbOddsEdge
Both score no draw38%
Derby County FC to score 136%
West Ham United FC to score 131%
Derby County FC to score 031%
West Ham United FC clean sheet31%
Winning margin — Draw27%
West Ham United FC to score 226%
West Ham United FC to score 3+25%
West Ham United FC win to nil24%
Winning margin — West Ham United FC by 122%
Derby County FC to score 221%
West Ham United FC to score 018%
Derby County FC clean sheet18%
Winning margin — West Ham United FC by 215%
Winning margin — Derby County FC by 114%
Correct score 1-113%
Derby County FC to score 3+12%
Derby County FC win to nil11%
Correct score 2-110%
Correct score 2-08%
Correct score 1-08%
Winning margin — West Ham United FC by 38%
Winning margin — Derby County FC by 27%
Correct score 0-07%
Correct score 1-27%
Correct score 2-26%
Correct score 3-16%
Correct score 0-15%
Correct score 3-05%
Winning margin — West Ham United FC by 43%
Winning margin — Derby County FC by 32%
Winning margin — West Ham United FC by 5+1%
Winning margin — Derby County FC by 41%
Winning margin — Derby County FC by 5+0%
HalvesProbOddsEdge
1st Half Under 2.5 goals87%
1st Half Over 0.5 goals72%
1st Half Under 1.5 goals64%
West Ham United FC to win either half63%
Half with most goals — 2nd44%
Derby County FC to win either half41%
1st Half result — Draw40%
1st Half result — West Ham United FC37%
1st Half Over 1.5 goals36%
West Ham United FC to score in both halves32%
Half with most goals — 1st31%
HT/FT West Ham United FC / West Ham United FC31%
1st Half Under 0.5 goals28%
Half with most goals — Equal25%
1st Half result — Derby County FC23%
Derby County FC to score in both halves19%
HT/FT Draw / West Ham United FC16%
West Ham United FC to win both halves15%
HT/FT Derby County FC / Derby County FC15%
HT/FT Draw / Draw14%
1st Half Over 2.5 goals14%
HT/FT Draw / Derby County FC10%
Derby County FC to win both halves5%
HT/FT Derby County FC / Draw5%
HT/FT West Ham United FC / Draw5%
HT/FT Derby County FC / West Ham United FC3%
HT/FT West Ham United FC / Derby County FC2%
HandicapsProbOddsEdge
Handicap — West Ham United FC +2.597%
Handicap — West Ham United FC +1.590%
Handicap — Derby County FC -2.588%
Handicap — West Ham United FC +0.575%
Handicap — Derby County FC -1.573%
Handicap — Derby County FC -0.552%
Handicap — West Ham United FC -0.548%
Handicap — West Ham United FC -1.527%
Handicap — Derby County FC +0.525%
Handicap — West Ham United FC -2.512%
Handicap — Derby County FC +1.510%
Handicap — Derby County FC +2.53%