Burnley FC v Bristol City FC
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Football·Championship· 2026-09-05 · 14:00

Burnley FC v Bristol City FC

Recommended bet
Over 1.5 goals
Total goals
De-vigged fair price from the marketLow
Win probability80%
Implied (with margin)80%
Model edge
Odds1.25 1/4
All markets
Model-only estimates · 101 markets
Match winnerProbOddsEdge
Double chance — Burnley FC or Bristol City FC72%
Double chance — Burnley FC or Draw68%
Double chance — Bristol City FC or Draw60%
Draw no bet — Burnley FC56%
Draw no bet — Bristol City FC45%
Burnley FC to win40%
Bristol City FC to win32%
Draw28%
GoalsProbOddsEdge
Over 0.5 goals93%
Under 5.5 goals93%
Under 4.5 goals83%
Over 1.5 goals80%
Under 3.5 goals67%
BTTS — Yes60%
Over 2.5 goals56%
BTTS Yes + Over 2.547%
Goals range — 2-3 goals47%
Under 2.5 goals44%
BTTS — No40%
Over 3.5 goals33%
Goals range — 4-6 goals30%
Under 1.5 goals20%
Goals range — 0-1 goals20%
Over 4.5 goals17%
BTTS Yes + Under 2.513%
Over 5.5 goals8%
Under 0.5 goals7%
Goals range — 7+ goals3%
Score & marginProbOddsEdge
Both score no draw39%
Bristol City FC to score 135%
Burnley FC to score 133%
Winning margin — Draw28%
Burnley FC to score 226%
Bristol City FC to score 026%
Burnley FC clean sheet26%
Bristol City FC to score 224%
Burnley FC to score 021%
Bristol City FC clean sheet21%
Burnley FC to score 3+20%
Winning margin — Burnley FC by 120%
Burnley FC win to nil19%
Winning margin — Bristol City FC by 117%
Bristol City FC to score 3+16%
Bristol City FC win to nil14%
Correct score 1-113%
Winning margin — Burnley FC by 213%
Winning margin — Bristol City FC by 210%
Correct score 2-19%
Correct score 1-28%
Correct score 0-07%
Correct score 1-07%
Correct score 2-07%
Correct score 2-26%
Correct score 0-16%
Winning margin — Burnley FC by 36%
Correct score 0-25%
Correct score 3-15%
Winning margin — Bristol City FC by 34%
Winning margin — Burnley FC by 42%
Winning margin — Bristol City FC by 41%
Winning margin — Burnley FC by 5+1%
Winning margin — Bristol City FC by 5+0%
HalvesProbOddsEdge
1st Half Under 2.5 goals85%
1st Half Over 0.5 goals73%
1st Half Under 1.5 goals62%
Burnley FC to win either half56%
Bristol City FC to win either half49%
Half with most goals — 2nd44%
1st Half result — Draw40%
1st Half Over 1.5 goals38%
1st Half result — Burnley FC33%
Half with most goals — 1st31%
Burnley FC to score in both halves29%
1st Half result — Bristol City FC28%
1st Half Under 0.5 goals27%
HT/FT Burnley FC / Burnley FC25%
Half with most goals — Equal24%
Bristol City FC to score in both halves24%
HT/FT Bristol City FC / Bristol City FC20%
1st Half Over 2.5 goals15%
HT/FT Draw / Draw14%
HT/FT Draw / Burnley FC14%
HT/FT Draw / Bristol City FC12%
Burnley FC to win both halves12%
Bristol City FC to win both halves8%
HT/FT Bristol City FC / Draw5%
HT/FT Burnley FC / Draw5%
HT/FT Bristol City FC / Burnley FC3%
HT/FT Burnley FC / Bristol City FC2%
HandicapsProbOddsEdge
Handicap — Burnley FC +2.595%
Handicap — Bristol City FC -2.592%
Handicap — Burnley FC +1.585%
Handicap — Bristol City FC -1.579%
Handicap — Burnley FC +0.568%
Handicap — Bristol City FC -0.560%
Handicap — Burnley FC -0.540%
Handicap — Bristol City FC +0.532%
Handicap — Burnley FC -1.521%
Handicap — Bristol City FC +1.515%
Handicap — Burnley FC -2.58%
Handicap — Bristol City FC +2.55%