Southampton FC v Swansea City AFC
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Football·Championship· 2026-09-08 · 18:45

Southampton FC v Swansea City AFC

Recommended bet
Over 1.5 goals
Total goals
De-vigged fair price from the marketLow
Win probability79%
Implied (with margin)79%
Model edge
Odds1.27 2/7
All markets
Model-only estimates · 101 markets
Match winnerProbOddsEdge
Double chance — Southampton FC or Swansea City AFC72%
Double chance — Southampton FC or Draw65%
Double chance — Swansea City AFC or Draw63%
Draw no bet — Southampton FC52%
Draw no bet — Swansea City AFC49%
Southampton FC to win37%
Swansea City AFC to win35%
Draw28%
GoalsProbOddsEdge
Under 5.5 goals93%
Over 0.5 goals92%
Under 4.5 goals85%
Over 1.5 goals79%
Under 3.5 goals69%
BTTS — Yes59%
Over 2.5 goals53%
Goals range — 2-3 goals48%
Under 2.5 goals47%
BTTS Yes + Over 2.545%
BTTS — No42%
Over 3.5 goals31%
Goals range — 4-6 goals29%
Under 1.5 goals21%
Goals range — 0-1 goals21%
Over 4.5 goals15%
BTTS Yes + Under 2.513%
Under 0.5 goals8%
Over 5.5 goals7%
Goals range — 7+ goals3%
Score & marginProbOddsEdge
Both score no draw38%
Swansea City AFC to score 135%
Southampton FC to score 134%
Winning margin — Draw28%
Swansea City AFC to score 025%
Southampton FC clean sheet25%
Southampton FC to score 225%
Southampton FC to score 024%
Swansea City AFC to score 224%
Swansea City AFC clean sheet24%
Winning margin — Southampton FC by 119%
Winning margin — Swansea City AFC by 118%
Southampton FC win to nil18%
Southampton FC to score 3+17%
Swansea City AFC win to nil16%
Swansea City AFC to score 3+16%
Correct score 1-113%
Winning margin — Southampton FC by 211%
Winning margin — Swansea City AFC by 211%
Correct score 2-19%
Correct score 1-28%
Correct score 0-08%
Correct score 1-07%
Correct score 0-17%
Correct score 2-06%
Correct score 2-26%
Correct score 0-26%
Winning margin — Southampton FC by 35%
Winning margin — Swansea City AFC by 34%
Correct score 3-14%
Winning margin — Southampton FC by 42%
Winning margin — Swansea City AFC by 41%
Winning margin — Southampton FC by 5+1%
Winning margin — Swansea City AFC by 5+0%
HalvesProbOddsEdge
1st Half Under 2.5 goals87%
1st Half Over 0.5 goals71%
1st Half Under 1.5 goals65%
Southampton FC to win either half53%
Swansea City AFC to win either half51%
Half with most goals — 2nd44%
1st Half result — Draw41%
1st Half Over 1.5 goals35%
Half with most goals — 1st31%
1st Half result — Southampton FC30%
1st Half Under 0.5 goals29%
1st Half result — Swansea City AFC29%
Half with most goals — Equal25%
Southampton FC to score in both halves25%
Swansea City AFC to score in both halves24%
HT/FT Southampton FC / Southampton FC23%
HT/FT Swansea City AFC / Swansea City AFC21%
HT/FT Draw / Draw15%
HT/FT Draw / Southampton FC13%
1st Half Over 2.5 goals13%
HT/FT Draw / Swansea City AFC13%
Southampton FC to win both halves10%
Swansea City AFC to win both halves9%
HT/FT Swansea City AFC / Draw5%
HT/FT Southampton FC / Draw5%
HT/FT Swansea City AFC / Southampton FC2%
HT/FT Southampton FC / Swansea City AFC2%
HandicapsProbOddsEdge
Handicap — Southampton FC +2.594%
Handicap — Swansea City AFC -2.593%
Handicap — Southampton FC +1.583%
Handicap — Swansea City AFC -1.582%
Handicap — Southampton FC +0.565%
Handicap — Swansea City AFC -0.563%
Handicap — Southampton FC -0.537%
Handicap — Swansea City AFC +0.535%
Handicap — Southampton FC -1.518%
Handicap — Swansea City AFC +1.517%
Handicap — Southampton FC -2.57%
Handicap — Swansea City AFC +2.56%