Derby County FC v West Bromwich Albion FC
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Football·Championship· 2026-09-09 · 18:45

Derby County FC v West Bromwich Albion FC

Recommended bet
Over 1.5 goals
Total goals
De-vigged fair price from the marketLow
Win probability79%
Implied (with margin)79%
Model edge
Odds1.27 2/7
All markets
Model-only estimates · 101 markets
Match winnerProbOddsEdge
Double chance — Derby County FC or West Bromwich Albion FC72%
Double chance — West Bromwich Albion FC or Draw67%
Double chance — Derby County FC or Draw61%
Draw no bet — West Bromwich Albion FC54%
Draw no bet — Derby County FC46%
West Bromwich Albion FC to win39%
Derby County FC to win33%
Draw28%
GoalsProbOddsEdge
Under 5.5 goals93%
Over 0.5 goals93%
Under 4.5 goals84%
Over 1.5 goals79%
Under 3.5 goals69%
BTTS — Yes59%
Over 2.5 goals54%
Goals range — 2-3 goals48%
Under 2.5 goals46%
BTTS Yes + Over 2.545%
BTTS — No41%
Over 3.5 goals31%
Goals range — 4-6 goals29%
Under 1.5 goals21%
Goals range — 0-1 goals21%
Over 4.5 goals16%
BTTS Yes + Under 2.513%
Under 0.5 goals8%
Over 5.5 goals7%
Goals range — 7+ goals3%
Score & marginProbOddsEdge
Both score no draw38%
Derby County FC to score 135%
West Bromwich Albion FC to score 134%
Winning margin — Draw28%
Derby County FC to score 026%
West Bromwich Albion FC clean sheet26%
West Bromwich Albion FC to score 225%
Derby County FC to score 224%
West Bromwich Albion FC to score 023%
Derby County FC clean sheet23%
Winning margin — West Bromwich Albion FC by 119%
West Bromwich Albion FC to score 3+19%
West Bromwich Albion FC win to nil19%
Winning margin — Derby County FC by 118%
Derby County FC to score 3+16%
Derby County FC win to nil15%
Correct score 1-113%
Winning margin — West Bromwich Albion FC by 212%
Winning margin — Derby County FC by 210%
Correct score 1-29%
Correct score 2-18%
Correct score 0-08%
Correct score 0-17%
Correct score 1-07%
Correct score 0-27%
Correct score 2-26%
Correct score 2-05%
Winning margin — West Bromwich Albion FC by 35%
Correct score 1-34%
Winning margin — Derby County FC by 34%
Winning margin — West Bromwich Albion FC by 42%
Winning margin — Derby County FC by 41%
Winning margin — West Bromwich Albion FC by 5+1%
Winning margin — Derby County FC by 5+0%
HalvesProbOddsEdge
1st Half Under 2.5 goals87%
1st Half Over 0.5 goals72%
1st Half Under 1.5 goals64%
West Bromwich Albion FC to win either half55%
Derby County FC to win either half50%
Half with most goals — 2nd44%
1st Half result — Draw41%
1st Half Over 1.5 goals36%
1st Half result — West Bromwich Albion FC31%
Half with most goals — 1st31%
1st Half Under 0.5 goals28%
1st Half result — Derby County FC28%
West Bromwich Albion FC to score in both halves27%
Half with most goals — Equal25%
HT/FT West Bromwich Albion FC / West Bromwich Albion FC24%
Derby County FC to score in both halves24%
HT/FT Derby County FC / Derby County FC20%
HT/FT Draw / Draw15%
HT/FT Draw / West Bromwich Albion FC14%
1st Half Over 2.5 goals14%
HT/FT Draw / Derby County FC12%
West Bromwich Albion FC to win both halves11%
Derby County FC to win both halves8%
HT/FT West Bromwich Albion FC / Draw5%
HT/FT Derby County FC / Draw5%
HT/FT Derby County FC / West Bromwich Albion FC3%
HT/FT West Bromwich Albion FC / Derby County FC2%
HandicapsProbOddsEdge
Handicap — West Bromwich Albion FC -2.595%
Handicap — Derby County FC +2.593%
Handicap — West Bromwich Albion FC -1.585%
Handicap — Derby County FC +1.581%
Handicap — West Bromwich Albion FC -0.567%
Handicap — Derby County FC +0.561%
Handicap — West Bromwich Albion FC +0.539%
Handicap — Derby County FC -0.533%
Handicap — West Bromwich Albion FC +1.519%
Handicap — Derby County FC -1.516%
Handicap — West Bromwich Albion FC +2.57%
Handicap — Derby County FC -2.56%