Derby County FC v West Bromwich Albion FC
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Football·Championship· 2026-09-09 · 18:45

Derby County FC v West Bromwich Albion FC

Recommended bet
Under 3.5 goals
Total goals
De-vigged fair price from the marketLow
Win probability76%
Implied (with margin)76%
Model edge
Odds1.32 1/3
All markets
Model-only estimates · 101 markets
Match winnerProbOddsEdge
Double chance — Derby County FC or Draw72%
Double chance — Derby County FC or West Bromwich Albion FC70%
Draw no bet — Derby County FC60%
Double chance — West Bromwich Albion FC or Draw58%
Derby County FC to win42%
Draw no bet — West Bromwich Albion FC40%
Draw30%
West Bromwich Albion FC to win28%
GoalsProbOddsEdge
Under 5.5 goals96%
Over 0.5 goals90%
Under 4.5 goals89%
Under 3.5 goals76%
Over 1.5 goals73%
Under 2.5 goals54%
BTTS — Yes52%
Goals range — 2-3 goals49%
BTTS — No48%
Over 2.5 goals46%
BTTS Yes + Over 2.538%
Under 1.5 goals27%
Goals range — 0-1 goals27%
Over 3.5 goals24%
Goals range — 4-6 goals23%
BTTS Yes + Under 2.514%
Over 4.5 goals11%
Under 0.5 goals10%
Over 5.5 goals4%
Goals range — 7+ goals1%
Score & marginProbOddsEdge
West Bromwich Albion FC to score 137%
Derby County FC to score 135%
West Bromwich Albion FC to score 033%
Derby County FC clean sheet33%
Both score no draw32%
Winning margin — Draw30%
Derby County FC to score 025%
West Bromwich Albion FC clean sheet25%
Derby County FC to score 224%
Derby County FC win to nil23%
Winning margin — Derby County FC by 121%
West Bromwich Albion FC to score 220%
Derby County FC to score 3+17%
Winning margin — West Bromwich Albion FC by 116%
West Bromwich Albion FC win to nil15%
Correct score 1-114%
Winning margin — Derby County FC by 213%
West Bromwich Albion FC to score 3+10%
Correct score 0-010%
Correct score 1-010%
Correct score 2-19%
Winning margin — West Bromwich Albion FC by 28%
Correct score 2-08%
Correct score 0-17%
Correct score 1-27%
Winning margin — Derby County FC by 35%
Correct score 0-25%
Correct score 2-25%
Correct score 3-14%
Winning margin — West Bromwich Albion FC by 33%
Winning margin — Derby County FC by 42%
Winning margin — West Bromwich Albion FC by 41%
Winning margin — Derby County FC by 5+1%
Winning margin — West Bromwich Albion FC by 5+0%
HalvesProbOddsEdge
1st Half Under 2.5 goals90%
1st Half Under 1.5 goals69%
1st Half Over 0.5 goals68%
Derby County FC to win either half57%
West Bromwich Albion FC to win either half44%
1st Half result — Draw43%
Half with most goals — 2nd43%
1st Half result — Derby County FC33%
1st Half Under 0.5 goals33%
1st Half Over 1.5 goals31%
Half with most goals — 1st31%
Half with most goals — Equal27%
HT/FT Derby County FC / Derby County FC26%
Derby County FC to score in both halves25%
1st Half result — West Bromwich Albion FC24%
West Bromwich Albion FC to score in both halves18%
HT/FT Draw / Draw17%
HT/FT West Bromwich Albion FC / West Bromwich Albion FC17%
HT/FT Draw / Derby County FC16%
Derby County FC to win both halves12%
HT/FT Draw / West Bromwich Albion FC11%
1st Half Over 2.5 goals11%
West Bromwich Albion FC to win both halves6%
HT/FT West Bromwich Albion FC / Draw5%
HT/FT Derby County FC / Draw5%
HT/FT West Bromwich Albion FC / Derby County FC2%
HT/FT Derby County FC / West Bromwich Albion FC2%
HandicapsProbOddsEdge
Handicap — Derby County FC +2.597%
Handicap — West Bromwich Albion FC -2.592%
Handicap — Derby County FC +1.588%
Handicap — West Bromwich Albion FC -1.579%
Handicap — Derby County FC +0.572%
Handicap — West Bromwich Albion FC -0.558%
Handicap — Derby County FC -0.542%
Handicap — West Bromwich Albion FC +0.528%
Handicap — Derby County FC -1.521%
Handicap — West Bromwich Albion FC +1.512%
Handicap — Derby County FC -2.58%
Handicap — West Bromwich Albion FC +2.54%