Derby County FC v Birmingham City FC
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Derby County FC v Birmingham City FC
Recommended bet
Over 1.5 goals
Total goals
De-vigged fair price from the marketLow
Win probability78%
Implied (with margin)78%
Model edge—
Odds1.28 2/7
All markets
Model-only estimates · 101 markets
Match winnerProbOddsEdge
Double chance — Derby County FC or Birmingham City FC72%——
Double chance — Derby County FC or Draw64%——
Double chance — Birmingham City FC or Draw64%——
Draw no bet — Derby County FC50%——
Draw no bet — Birmingham City FC50%——
Derby County FC to win36%——
Birmingham City FC to win36%——
Draw29%——
GoalsProbOddsEdge
Under 5.5 goals94%——
Over 0.5 goals92%——
Under 4.5 goals85%——
Over 1.5 goals78%——
Under 3.5 goals70%——
BTTS — Yes58%——
Over 2.5 goals53%——
Goals range — 2-3 goals48%——
Under 2.5 goals48%——
BTTS Yes + Over 2.544%——
BTTS — No42%——
Over 3.5 goals30%——
Goals range — 4-6 goals28%——
Under 1.5 goals22%——
Goals range — 0-1 goals22%——
Over 4.5 goals15%——
BTTS Yes + Under 2.514%——
Under 0.5 goals8%——
Over 5.5 goals6%——
Goals range — 7+ goals2%——
Score & marginProbOddsEdge
Both score no draw37%——
Birmingham City FC to score 135%——
Derby County FC to score 135%——
Winning margin — Draw29%——
Birmingham City FC to score 025%——
Derby County FC clean sheet25%——
Derby County FC to score 025%——
Birmingham City FC clean sheet25%——
Derby County FC to score 224%——
Birmingham City FC to score 224%——
Winning margin — Derby County FC by 119%——
Winning margin — Birmingham City FC by 119%——
Derby County FC win to nil17%——
Birmingham City FC win to nil17%——
Derby County FC to score 3+17%——
Birmingham City FC to score 3+16%——
Correct score 1-114%——
Winning margin — Derby County FC by 211%——
Winning margin — Birmingham City FC by 211%——
Correct score 2-18%——
Correct score 1-28%——
Correct score 0-08%——
Correct score 1-07%——
Correct score 0-17%——
Correct score 2-06%——
Correct score 0-26%——
Correct score 2-26%——
Winning margin — Derby County FC by 34%——
Winning margin — Birmingham City FC by 34%——
Correct score 3-14%——
Winning margin — Derby County FC by 41%——
Winning margin — Birmingham City FC by 41%——
Winning margin — Derby County FC by 5+1%——
Winning margin — Birmingham City FC by 5+1%——
HalvesProbOddsEdge
1st Half Under 2.5 goals88%——
1st Half Over 0.5 goals70%——
1st Half Under 1.5 goals66%——
Derby County FC to win either half51%——
Birmingham City FC to win either half51%——
Half with most goals — 2nd43%——
1st Half result — Draw42%——
1st Half Over 1.5 goals34%——
Half with most goals — 1st31%——
1st Half Under 0.5 goals30%——
1st Half result — Derby County FC29%——
1st Half result — Birmingham City FC29%——
Half with most goals — Equal26%——
Derby County FC to score in both halves24%——
Birmingham City FC to score in both halves23%——
HT/FT Derby County FC / Derby County FC22%——
HT/FT Birmingham City FC / Birmingham City FC22%——
HT/FT Draw / Draw16%——
HT/FT Draw / Derby County FC13%——
HT/FT Draw / Birmingham City FC13%——
1st Half Over 2.5 goals12%——
Derby County FC to win both halves9%——
Birmingham City FC to win both halves9%——
HT/FT Birmingham City FC / Draw5%——
HT/FT Derby County FC / Draw5%——
HT/FT Birmingham City FC / Derby County FC2%——
HT/FT Derby County FC / Birmingham City FC2%——
HandicapsProbOddsEdge
Handicap — Derby County FC +2.594%——
Handicap — Birmingham City FC -2.594%——
Handicap — Derby County FC +1.583%——
Handicap — Birmingham City FC -1.583%——
Handicap — Derby County FC +0.564%——
Handicap — Birmingham City FC -0.564%——
Handicap — Derby County FC -0.536%——
Handicap — Birmingham City FC +0.536%——
Handicap — Derby County FC -1.517%——
Handicap — Birmingham City FC +1.517%——
Handicap — Derby County FC -2.56%——
Handicap — Birmingham City FC +2.56%——