Watford FC v Stoke City FC
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Football·Championship· 2026-09-12 · 14:00

Watford FC v Stoke City FC

Recommended bet
Over 1.5 goals
Total goals
De-vigged fair price from the marketLow
Win probability80%
Implied (with margin)80%
Model edge
Odds1.25 1/4
All markets
Model-only estimates · 101 markets
Match winnerProbOddsEdge
Double chance — Watford FC or Stoke City FC73%
Double chance — Watford FC or Draw70%
Draw no bet — Watford FC59%
Double chance — Stoke City FC or Draw58%
Watford FC to win42%
Draw no bet — Stoke City FC42%
Stoke City FC to win30%
Draw28%
GoalsProbOddsEdge
Over 0.5 goals93%
Under 5.5 goals93%
Under 4.5 goals83%
Over 1.5 goals80%
Under 3.5 goals67%
BTTS — Yes60%
Over 2.5 goals56%
Goals range — 2-3 goals47%
BTTS Yes + Over 2.547%
Under 2.5 goals45%
BTTS — No40%
Over 3.5 goals33%
Goals range — 4-6 goals30%
Under 1.5 goals20%
Goals range — 0-1 goals20%
Over 4.5 goals17%
BTTS Yes + Under 2.513%
Over 5.5 goals8%
Under 0.5 goals7%
Goals range — 7+ goals3%
Score & marginProbOddsEdge
Both score no draw39%
Stoke City FC to score 135%
Watford FC to score 132%
Winning margin — Draw28%
Stoke City FC to score 027%
Watford FC clean sheet27%
Watford FC to score 226%
Stoke City FC to score 223%
Watford FC to score 3+21%
Watford FC to score 020%
Stoke City FC clean sheet20%
Winning margin — Watford FC by 120%
Watford FC win to nil20%
Winning margin — Stoke City FC by 116%
Stoke City FC to score 3+15%
Stoke City FC win to nil13%
Winning margin — Watford FC by 213%
Correct score 1-113%
Correct score 2-19%
Winning margin — Stoke City FC by 29%
Correct score 1-28%
Correct score 1-07%
Correct score 0-07%
Correct score 2-07%
Winning margin — Watford FC by 36%
Correct score 2-26%
Correct score 0-16%
Correct score 3-15%
Correct score 0-25%
Winning margin — Stoke City FC by 33%
Winning margin — Watford FC by 42%
Winning margin — Stoke City FC by 41%
Winning margin — Watford FC by 5+1%
Winning margin — Stoke City FC by 5+0%
HalvesProbOddsEdge
1st Half Under 2.5 goals85%
1st Half Over 0.5 goals74%
1st Half Under 1.5 goals61%
Watford FC to win either half59%
Stoke City FC to win either half47%
Half with most goals — 2nd45%
1st Half result — Draw39%
1st Half Over 1.5 goals39%
1st Half result — Watford FC34%
Half with most goals — 1st31%
Watford FC to score in both halves31%
HT/FT Watford FC / Watford FC27%
1st Half result — Stoke City FC27%
1st Half Under 0.5 goals26%
Half with most goals — Equal24%
Stoke City FC to score in both halves24%
HT/FT Stoke City FC / Stoke City FC18%
1st Half Over 2.5 goals15%
HT/FT Draw / Watford FC15%
HT/FT Draw / Draw14%
Watford FC to win both halves13%
HT/FT Draw / Stoke City FC11%
Stoke City FC to win both halves8%
HT/FT Stoke City FC / Draw5%
HT/FT Watford FC / Draw5%
HT/FT Stoke City FC / Watford FC3%
HT/FT Watford FC / Stoke City FC2%
HandicapsProbOddsEdge
Handicap — Watford FC +2.595%
Handicap — Stoke City FC -2.591%
Handicap — Watford FC +1.586%
Handicap — Stoke City FC -1.578%
Handicap — Watford FC +0.570%
Handicap — Stoke City FC -0.558%
Handicap — Watford FC -0.542%
Handicap — Stoke City FC +0.530%
Handicap — Watford FC -1.522%
Handicap — Stoke City FC +1.514%
Handicap — Watford FC -2.59%
Handicap — Stoke City FC +2.55%