Swansea City AFC v Burnley FC
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Football·Championship· 2026-09-12 · 14:00

Swansea City AFC v Burnley FC

Recommended bet
Over 1.5 goals
Total goals
De-vigged fair price from the marketLow
Win probability79%
Implied (with margin)79%
Model edge
Odds1.27 2/7
All markets
Model-only estimates · 101 markets
Match winnerProbOddsEdge
Double chance — Swansea City AFC or Burnley FC72%
Double chance — Burnley FC or Draw66%
Double chance — Swansea City AFC or Draw63%
Draw no bet — Burnley FC52%
Draw no bet — Swansea City AFC48%
Burnley FC to win38%
Swansea City AFC to win34%
Draw28%
GoalsProbOddsEdge
Under 5.5 goals93%
Over 0.5 goals93%
Under 4.5 goals85%
Over 1.5 goals79%
Under 3.5 goals69%
BTTS — Yes59%
Over 2.5 goals54%
Goals range — 2-3 goals48%
Under 2.5 goals47%
BTTS Yes + Over 2.545%
BTTS — No41%
Over 3.5 goals31%
Goals range — 4-6 goals29%
Under 1.5 goals21%
Goals range — 0-1 goals21%
Over 4.5 goals16%
BTTS Yes + Under 2.513%
Under 0.5 goals8%
Over 5.5 goals7%
Goals range — 7+ goals3%
Score & marginProbOddsEdge
Both score no draw38%
Swansea City AFC to score 135%
Burnley FC to score 134%
Winning margin — Draw28%
Swansea City AFC to score 025%
Burnley FC clean sheet25%
Burnley FC to score 225%
Swansea City AFC to score 224%
Burnley FC to score 024%
Swansea City AFC clean sheet24%
Winning margin — Burnley FC by 119%
Winning margin — Swansea City AFC by 118%
Burnley FC win to nil18%
Burnley FC to score 3+18%
Swansea City AFC win to nil16%
Swansea City AFC to score 3+16%
Correct score 1-113%
Winning margin — Burnley FC by 212%
Winning margin — Swansea City AFC by 210%
Correct score 1-29%
Correct score 2-18%
Correct score 0-08%
Correct score 0-17%
Correct score 1-07%
Correct score 0-26%
Correct score 2-26%
Correct score 2-06%
Winning margin — Burnley FC by 35%
Correct score 1-34%
Winning margin — Swansea City AFC by 34%
Winning margin — Burnley FC by 42%
Winning margin — Swansea City AFC by 41%
Winning margin — Burnley FC by 5+1%
Winning margin — Swansea City AFC by 5+0%
HalvesProbOddsEdge
1st Half Under 2.5 goals88%
1st Half Over 0.5 goals70%
1st Half Under 1.5 goals66%
Burnley FC to win either half53%
Swansea City AFC to win either half50%
Half with most goals — 2nd43%
1st Half result — Draw42%
1st Half Over 1.5 goals34%
Half with most goals — 1st31%
1st Half result — Burnley FC30%
1st Half Under 0.5 goals30%
1st Half result — Swansea City AFC28%
Half with most goals — Equal26%
Burnley FC to score in both halves25%
Swansea City AFC to score in both halves23%
HT/FT Burnley FC / Burnley FC23%
HT/FT Swansea City AFC / Swansea City AFC21%
HT/FT Draw / Draw16%
HT/FT Draw / Burnley FC14%
HT/FT Draw / Swansea City AFC13%
1st Half Over 2.5 goals12%
Burnley FC to win both halves10%
Swansea City AFC to win both halves9%
HT/FT Burnley FC / Draw5%
HT/FT Swansea City AFC / Draw5%
HT/FT Swansea City AFC / Burnley FC2%
HT/FT Burnley FC / Swansea City AFC2%
HandicapsProbOddsEdge
Handicap — Burnley FC -2.594%
Handicap — Swansea City AFC +2.593%
Handicap — Burnley FC -1.584%
Handicap — Swansea City AFC +1.582%
Handicap — Burnley FC -0.566%
Handicap — Swansea City AFC +0.563%
Handicap — Burnley FC +0.538%
Handicap — Swansea City AFC -0.534%
Handicap — Burnley FC +1.519%
Handicap — Swansea City AFC -1.516%
Handicap — Burnley FC +2.57%
Handicap — Swansea City AFC -2.56%