Southampton FC v Portsmouth FC
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Football·Championship· 2026-10-11 · 11:00

Southampton FC v Portsmouth FC

Recommended bet
Over 1.5 goals
Total goals
De-vigged fair price from the marketLow
Win probability81%
Implied (with margin)81%
Model edge—
Odds1.23 2/9
All markets
Match winnerProbOddsEdge
Match Winner — Southampton FC37%1.72—
Match Winner — Portsmouth FC36%5.60—
Match Winner — Draw27%4.30—
GoalsProbOddsEdge
Over 2.5 goals57%1.68—
Under 2.5 goals43%2.20—
Over 2.75 goals—1.85—
Under 2.75 goals—2.00—
Over 3 goals—2.07—
Under 3 goals—1.73—
Model-only estimates · 105 markets
Match winnerProbOddsEdge
Double chance — Southampton FC or Portsmouth FC73%——
Double chance — Southampton FC or Draw64%——
Double chance — Portsmouth FC or Draw63%——
Draw no bet — Southampton FC51%——
Draw no bet — Portsmouth FC50%——
Southampton FC to win37%——
Portsmouth FC to win36%——
Draw27%——
GoalsProbOddsEdge
Over 0.5 goals94%——
Under 5.5 goals92%——
Under 4.5 goals82%——
Over 1.5 goals81%——
Under 3.5 goals65%——
BTTS — Yes62%——
Over 2.5 goals57%——
BTTS Yes + Over 2.549%——
Goals range — 2-3 goals46%——
Under 2.5 goals43%——
BTTS — No38%——
Over 3.5 goals35%——
Goals range — 4-6 goals32%——
Under 1.5 goals19%——
Goals range — 0-1 goals19%——
Over 4.5 goals18%——
BTTS Yes + Under 2.513%——
Over 5.5 goals8%——
Under 0.5 goals7%——
Goals range — 7+ goals3%——
Score & marginProbOddsEdge
Both score no draw41%——
Portsmouth FC to score 134%——
Southampton FC to score 134%——
Winning margin — Draw27%——
Southampton FC to score 225%——
Portsmouth FC to score 225%——
Portsmouth FC to score 023%——
Southampton FC clean sheet23%——
Southampton FC to score 022%——
Portsmouth FC clean sheet22%——
Southampton FC to score 3+19%——
Portsmouth FC to score 3+19%——
Winning margin — Southampton FC by 118%——
Winning margin — Portsmouth FC by 118%——
Southampton FC win to nil16%——
Portsmouth FC win to nil16%——
Correct score 1-113%——
Winning margin — Southampton FC by 211%——
Winning margin — Portsmouth FC by 211%——
Correct score 2-18%——
Correct score 1-28%——
Correct score 0-07%——
Correct score 2-26%——
Correct score 1-06%——
Correct score 0-16%——
Correct score 2-06%——
Correct score 0-26%——
Winning margin — Southampton FC by 35%——
Winning margin — Portsmouth FC by 35%——
Correct score 3-14%——
Winning margin — Southampton FC by 42%——
Winning margin — Portsmouth FC by 42%——
Winning margin — Southampton FC by 5+1%——
Winning margin — Portsmouth FC by 5+1%——
HalvesProbOddsEdge
1st Half Under 2.5 goals83%——
1st Half Over 0.5 goals76%——
1st Half Under 1.5 goals59%——
Southampton FC to win either half54%——
Portsmouth FC to win either half54%——
Half with most goals — 2nd45%——
1st Half Over 1.5 goals42%——
1st Half result — Draw38%——
Half with most goals — 1st32%——
1st Half result — Southampton FC31%——
1st Half result — Portsmouth FC31%——
Southampton FC to score in both halves30%——
Portsmouth FC to score in both halves29%——
1st Half Under 0.5 goals24%——
Half with most goals — Equal23%——
HT/FT Southampton FC / Southampton FC23%——
HT/FT Portsmouth FC / Portsmouth FC23%——
1st Half Over 2.5 goals17%——
HT/FT Draw / Draw13%——
HT/FT Draw / Southampton FC13%——
HT/FT Draw / Portsmouth FC13%——
Southampton FC to win both halves10%——
Portsmouth FC to win both halves10%——
HT/FT Portsmouth FC / Draw5%——
HT/FT Southampton FC / Draw5%——
HT/FT Portsmouth FC / Southampton FC3%——
HT/FT Southampton FC / Portsmouth FC3%——
HandicapsProbOddsEdge
Handicap — Southampton FC +2.593%——
Handicap — Portsmouth FC -2.593%——
Handicap — Southampton FC +1.582%——
Handicap — Portsmouth FC -1.582%——
Handicap — Southampton FC +0.564%——
Handicap — Portsmouth FC -0.563%——
Handicap — Southampton FC -0.537%——
Handicap — Portsmouth FC +0.536%——
Handicap — Southampton FC -1.518%——
Handicap — Portsmouth FC +1.518%——
Handicap — Southampton FC -2.57%——
Handicap — Portsmouth FC +2.57%——
GoalscorersProbOddsEdge
Anytime scorer — Cyle Larin (Southampton FC)57%——
Anytime scorer — Marko Milovanovic (Portsmouth FC)39%——
Anytime scorer — Finn Azaz (Southampton FC)30%——
Anytime scorer — Léo Scienza (Southampton FC)21%——