Derby County FC v Wrexham AFC
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Derby County FC v Wrexham AFC
Recommended bet
Over 1.5 goals
Total goals
De-vigged fair price from the marketLow
Win probability80%
Implied (with margin)80%
Model edge—
Odds1.25 1/4
All markets
Match winnerProbOddsEdge
Match Winner — Derby County FC38%2.75—
Match Winner — Wrexham AFC35%2.65—
Match Winner — Draw28%3.50—
GoalsProbOddsEdge
Over 2.5 goals55%2.05—
Under 2.5 goals45%1.80—
Model-only estimates · 104 markets
Match winnerProbOddsEdge
Double chance — Derby County FC or Wrexham AFC72%——
Double chance — Derby County FC or Draw65%——
Double chance — Wrexham AFC or Draw62%——
Draw no bet — Derby County FC52%——
Draw no bet — Wrexham AFC48%——
Derby County FC to win38%——
Wrexham AFC to win35%——
Draw28%——
GoalsProbOddsEdge
Over 0.5 goals93%——
Under 5.5 goals93%——
Under 4.5 goals83%——
Over 1.5 goals80%——
Under 3.5 goals67%——
BTTS — Yes60%——
Over 2.5 goals55%——
Goals range — 2-3 goals47%——
BTTS Yes + Over 2.547%——
Under 2.5 goals45%——
BTTS — No40%——
Over 3.5 goals33%——
Goals range — 4-6 goals30%——
Under 1.5 goals20%——
Goals range — 0-1 goals20%——
Over 4.5 goals17%——
BTTS Yes + Under 2.513%——
Over 5.5 goals7%——
Under 0.5 goals7%——
Goals range — 7+ goals3%——
Score & marginProbOddsEdge
Both score no draw39%——
Wrexham AFC to score 134%——
Derby County FC to score 134%——
Winning margin — Draw28%——
Derby County FC to score 225%——
Wrexham AFC to score 024%——
Derby County FC clean sheet24%——
Wrexham AFC to score 224%——
Derby County FC to score 023%——
Wrexham AFC clean sheet23%——
Winning margin — Derby County FC by 119%——
Derby County FC to score 3+19%——
Winning margin — Wrexham AFC by 118%——
Derby County FC win to nil17%——
Wrexham AFC to score 3+17%——
Wrexham AFC win to nil16%——
Correct score 1-113%——
Winning margin — Derby County FC by 212%——
Winning margin — Wrexham AFC by 211%——
Correct score 2-19%——
Correct score 1-28%——
Correct score 0-07%——
Correct score 1-07%——
Correct score 0-16%——
Correct score 2-06%——
Correct score 2-26%——
Correct score 0-26%——
Winning margin — Derby County FC by 35%——
Winning margin — Wrexham AFC by 34%——
Correct score 3-14%——
Winning margin — Derby County FC by 42%——
Winning margin — Wrexham AFC by 41%——
Winning margin — Derby County FC by 5+1%——
Winning margin — Wrexham AFC by 5+1%——
HalvesProbOddsEdge
1st Half Under 2.5 goals86%——
1st Half Over 0.5 goals72%——
1st Half Under 1.5 goals64%——
Derby County FC to win either half54%——
Wrexham AFC to win either half51%——
Half with most goals — 2nd44%——
1st Half result — Draw41%——
1st Half Over 1.5 goals36%——
Half with most goals — 1st31%——
1st Half result — Derby County FC31%——
1st Half result — Wrexham AFC29%——
1st Half Under 0.5 goals28%——
Derby County FC to score in both halves26%——
Half with most goals — Equal25%——
Wrexham AFC to score in both halves25%——
HT/FT Derby County FC / Derby County FC23%——
HT/FT Wrexham AFC / Wrexham AFC21%——
HT/FT Draw / Draw15%——
1st Half Over 2.5 goals14%——
HT/FT Draw / Derby County FC13%——
HT/FT Draw / Wrexham AFC13%——
Derby County FC to win both halves10%——
Wrexham AFC to win both halves9%——
HT/FT Wrexham AFC / Draw5%——
HT/FT Derby County FC / Draw5%——
HT/FT Wrexham AFC / Derby County FC2%——
HT/FT Derby County FC / Wrexham AFC2%——
HandicapsProbOddsEdge
Handicap — Derby County FC +2.594%——
Handicap — Wrexham AFC -2.593%——
Handicap — Derby County FC +1.583%——
Handicap — Wrexham AFC -1.581%——
Handicap — Derby County FC +0.565%——
Handicap — Wrexham AFC -0.562%——
Handicap — Derby County FC -0.538%——
Handicap — Wrexham AFC +0.535%——
Handicap — Derby County FC -1.519%——
Handicap — Wrexham AFC +1.517%——
Handicap — Derby County FC -2.57%——
Handicap — Wrexham AFC +2.56%——
GoalscorersProbOddsEdge
Anytime scorer — Kieffer Moore (Wrexham AFC)33%——
Anytime scorer — Samuel Szmodics (Derby County FC)22%——
Anytime scorer — Bobby Clark (Derby County FC)20%——