Cardiff City FC v Watford FC
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Football·Championship· 2026-10-13 · 18:45

Cardiff City FC v Watford FC

Recommended bet
Over 1.5 goals
Total goals
De-vigged fair price from the marketLow
Win probability78%
Implied (with margin)78%
Model edge
Odds1.28 2/7
All markets
Model-only estimates · 103 markets
Match winnerProbOddsEdge
Double chance — Cardiff City FC or Draw75%
Double chance — Cardiff City FC or Watford FC73%
Draw no bet — Cardiff City FC65%
Double chance — Watford FC or Draw53%
Cardiff City FC to win47%
Draw no bet — Watford FC35%
Draw27%
Watford FC to win25%
GoalsProbOddsEdge
Under 5.5 goals94%
Over 0.5 goals92%
Under 4.5 goals85%
Over 1.5 goals78%
Under 3.5 goals69%
BTTS — Yes57%
Over 2.5 goals53%
Goals range — 2-3 goals48%
Under 2.5 goals47%
BTTS Yes + Over 2.544%
BTTS — No43%
Over 3.5 goals31%
Goals range — 4-6 goals28%
Under 1.5 goals22%
Goals range — 0-1 goals22%
Over 4.5 goals15%
BTTS Yes + Under 2.513%
Under 0.5 goals8%
Over 5.5 goals7%
Goals range — 7+ goals2%
Score & marginProbOddsEdge
Both score no draw37%
Watford FC to score 136%
Cardiff City FC to score 132%
Watford FC to score 032%
Cardiff City FC clean sheet32%
Winning margin — Draw27%
Cardiff City FC to score 226%
Cardiff City FC win to nil24%
Cardiff City FC to score 3+23%
Winning margin — Cardiff City FC by 122%
Watford FC to score 221%
Cardiff City FC to score 019%
Watford FC clean sheet19%
Winning margin — Cardiff City FC by 215%
Winning margin — Watford FC by 115%
Correct score 1-113%
Watford FC win to nil12%
Watford FC to score 3+11%
Correct score 2-110%
Correct score 1-09%
Correct score 2-08%
Correct score 0-08%
Winning margin — Watford FC by 27%
Winning margin — Cardiff City FC by 37%
Correct score 1-27%
Correct score 0-16%
Correct score 2-26%
Correct score 3-15%
Correct score 3-05%
Winning margin — Cardiff City FC by 43%
Winning margin — Watford FC by 33%
Winning margin — Cardiff City FC by 5+1%
Winning margin — Watford FC by 41%
Winning margin — Watford FC by 5+0%
HalvesProbOddsEdge
1st Half Under 2.5 goals89%
1st Half Over 0.5 goals69%
1st Half Under 1.5 goals67%
Cardiff City FC to win either half60%
Half with most goals — 2nd43%
1st Half result — Draw42%
Watford FC to win either half41%
1st Half result — Cardiff City FC35%
1st Half Over 1.5 goals33%
1st Half Under 0.5 goals31%
Half with most goals — 1st31%
HT/FT Cardiff City FC / Cardiff City FC29%
Cardiff City FC to score in both halves28%
Half with most goals — Equal26%
1st Half result — Watford FC22%
Watford FC to score in both halves17%
HT/FT Draw / Cardiff City FC16%
HT/FT Draw / Draw16%
HT/FT Watford FC / Watford FC15%
Cardiff City FC to win both halves14%
1st Half Over 2.5 goals11%
HT/FT Draw / Watford FC10%
Watford FC to win both halves5%
HT/FT Watford FC / Draw5%
HT/FT Cardiff City FC / Draw5%
HT/FT Watford FC / Cardiff City FC3%
HT/FT Cardiff City FC / Watford FC2%
HandicapsProbOddsEdge
Handicap — Cardiff City FC +2.597%
Handicap — Cardiff City FC +1.589%
Handicap — Watford FC -2.589%
Handicap — Cardiff City FC +0.575%
Handicap — Watford FC -1.574%
Handicap — Watford FC -0.553%
Handicap — Cardiff City FC -0.547%
Handicap — Cardiff City FC -1.526%
Handicap — Watford FC +0.525%
Handicap — Cardiff City FC -2.511%
Handicap — Watford FC +1.511%
Handicap — Watford FC +2.53%
GoalscorersProbOddsEdge
Anytime scorer — Amin Nabizada (Watford FC)31%
Anytime scorer — Cian Ashford (Cardiff City FC)23%