Stoke City FC v Middlesbrough FC
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Stoke City FC v Middlesbrough FC
Recommended bet
Over 1.5 goals
Total goals
De-vigged fair price from the marketLow
Win probability80%
Implied (with margin)80%
Model edge—
Odds1.26 1/4
All markets
Model-only estimates · 105 markets
Match winnerProbOddsEdge
Double chance — Stoke City FC or Draw75%——
Double chance — Stoke City FC or Middlesbrough FC73%——
Draw no bet — Stoke City FC66%——
Double chance — Middlesbrough FC or Draw52%——
Stoke City FC to win48%——
Draw no bet — Middlesbrough FC35%——
Draw27%——
Middlesbrough FC to win25%——
GoalsProbOddsEdge
Over 0.5 goals93%——
Under 5.5 goals93%——
Under 4.5 goals84%——
Over 1.5 goals80%——
Under 3.5 goals68%——
BTTS — Yes58%——
Over 2.5 goals55%——
Goals range — 2-3 goals47%——
Under 2.5 goals45%——
BTTS Yes + Over 2.545%——
BTTS — No42%——
Over 3.5 goals32%——
Goals range — 4-6 goals30%——
Under 1.5 goals21%——
Goals range — 0-1 goals21%——
Over 4.5 goals16%——
BTTS Yes + Under 2.513%——
Under 0.5 goals7%——
Over 5.5 goals7%——
Goals range — 7+ goals3%——
Score & marginProbOddsEdge
Both score no draw38%——
Middlesbrough FC to score 136%——
Stoke City FC to score 131%——
Middlesbrough FC to score 031%——
Stoke City FC clean sheet31%——
Winning margin — Draw27%——
Stoke City FC to score 226%——
Stoke City FC to score 3+24%——
Stoke City FC win to nil24%——
Winning margin — Stoke City FC by 121%——
Middlesbrough FC to score 221%——
Stoke City FC to score 019%——
Middlesbrough FC clean sheet19%——
Winning margin — Stoke City FC by 215%——
Winning margin — Middlesbrough FC by 115%——
Correct score 1-113%——
Middlesbrough FC to score 3+12%——
Middlesbrough FC win to nil11%——
Correct score 2-110%——
Correct score 1-08%——
Correct score 2-08%——
Winning margin — Middlesbrough FC by 27%——
Winning margin — Stoke City FC by 37%——
Correct score 0-07%——
Correct score 1-27%——
Correct score 2-26%——
Correct score 3-15%——
Correct score 0-15%——
Correct score 3-05%——
Winning margin — Stoke City FC by 43%——
Winning margin — Middlesbrough FC by 33%——
Winning margin — Stoke City FC by 5+1%——
Winning margin — Middlesbrough FC by 41%——
Winning margin — Middlesbrough FC by 5+0%——
HalvesProbOddsEdge
1st Half Under 2.5 goals87%——
1st Half Over 0.5 goals71%——
1st Half Under 1.5 goals65%——
Stoke City FC to win either half62%——
Half with most goals — 2nd44%——
Middlesbrough FC to win either half42%——
1st Half result — Draw41%——
1st Half result — Stoke City FC37%——
1st Half Over 1.5 goals35%——
Half with most goals — 1st31%——
Stoke City FC to score in both halves31%——
HT/FT Stoke City FC / Stoke City FC30%——
1st Half Under 0.5 goals29%——
Half with most goals — Equal25%——
1st Half result — Middlesbrough FC23%——
Middlesbrough FC to score in both halves19%——
HT/FT Draw / Stoke City FC16%——
HT/FT Middlesbrough FC / Middlesbrough FC15%——
Stoke City FC to win both halves15%——
HT/FT Draw / Draw15%——
1st Half Over 2.5 goals13%——
HT/FT Draw / Middlesbrough FC10%——
Middlesbrough FC to win both halves6%——
HT/FT Middlesbrough FC / Draw5%——
HT/FT Stoke City FC / Draw5%——
HT/FT Middlesbrough FC / Stoke City FC3%——
HT/FT Stoke City FC / Middlesbrough FC2%——
HandicapsProbOddsEdge
Handicap — Stoke City FC +2.597%——
Handicap — Stoke City FC +1.589%——
Handicap — Middlesbrough FC -2.589%——
Handicap — Stoke City FC +0.575%——
Handicap — Middlesbrough FC -1.574%——
Handicap — Middlesbrough FC -0.552%——
Handicap — Stoke City FC -0.548%——
Handicap — Stoke City FC -1.526%——
Handicap — Middlesbrough FC +0.525%——
Handicap — Stoke City FC -2.511%——
Handicap — Middlesbrough FC +1.511%——
Handicap — Middlesbrough FC +2.53%——
GoalscorersProbOddsEdge
Anytime scorer — William Lankshear (Middlesbrough FC)49%——
Anytime scorer — Ethan Galbraith (Stoke City FC)39%——
Anytime scorer — Sam Gallagher (Stoke City FC)28%——
Anytime scorer — Eric Bocat (Stoke City FC)22%——