Queens Park Rangers FC v Derby County FC
Back to board
Football·Championship· 2026-10-14 · 18:45

Queens Park Rangers FC v Derby County FC

Recommended bet
Over 1.5 goals
Total goals
De-vigged fair price from the marketLow
Win probability78%
Implied (with margin)78%
Model edge
Odds1.28 2/7
All markets
Model-only estimates · 105 markets
Match winnerProbOddsEdge
Double chance — Queens Park Rangers FC or Derby County FC71%
Double chance — Queens Park Rangers FC or Draw65%
Double chance — Derby County FC or Draw63%
Draw no bet — Queens Park Rangers FC51%
Draw no bet — Derby County FC49%
Queens Park Rangers FC to win37%
Derby County FC to win35%
Draw29%
GoalsProbOddsEdge
Under 5.5 goals94%
Over 0.5 goals92%
Under 4.5 goals85%
Over 1.5 goals78%
Under 3.5 goals70%
BTTS — Yes58%
Over 2.5 goals52%
Under 2.5 goals48%
Goals range — 2-3 goals48%
BTTS Yes + Over 2.544%
BTTS — No42%
Over 3.5 goals30%
Goals range — 4-6 goals28%
Under 1.5 goals22%
Goals range — 0-1 goals22%
Over 4.5 goals15%
BTTS Yes + Under 2.514%
Under 0.5 goals8%
Over 5.5 goals6%
Goals range — 7+ goals2%
Score & marginProbOddsEdge
Both score no draw37%
Derby County FC to score 135%
Queens Park Rangers FC to score 135%
Winning margin — Draw29%
Derby County FC to score 026%
Queens Park Rangers FC clean sheet26%
Queens Park Rangers FC to score 025%
Derby County FC clean sheet25%
Queens Park Rangers FC to score 224%
Derby County FC to score 224%
Winning margin — Queens Park Rangers FC by 119%
Winning margin — Derby County FC by 118%
Queens Park Rangers FC win to nil18%
Queens Park Rangers FC to score 3+17%
Derby County FC win to nil17%
Derby County FC to score 3+16%
Correct score 1-114%
Winning margin — Queens Park Rangers FC by 211%
Winning margin — Derby County FC by 211%
Correct score 2-18%
Correct score 1-28%
Correct score 0-08%
Correct score 1-07%
Correct score 0-17%
Correct score 2-06%
Correct score 0-26%
Correct score 2-26%
Winning margin — Queens Park Rangers FC by 35%
Winning margin — Derby County FC by 34%
Correct score 3-14%
Winning margin — Queens Park Rangers FC by 42%
Winning margin — Derby County FC by 41%
Winning margin — Queens Park Rangers FC by 5+1%
Winning margin — Derby County FC by 5+0%
HalvesProbOddsEdge
1st Half Under 2.5 goals90%
1st Half Under 1.5 goals69%
1st Half Over 0.5 goals67%
Queens Park Rangers FC to win either half51%
Derby County FC to win either half49%
1st Half result — Draw44%
Half with most goals — 2nd43%
1st Half Under 0.5 goals33%
1st Half Over 1.5 goals31%
Half with most goals — 1st31%
1st Half result — Queens Park Rangers FC29%
1st Half result — Derby County FC28%
Half with most goals — Equal27%
HT/FT Queens Park Rangers FC / Queens Park Rangers FC22%
Queens Park Rangers FC to score in both halves22%
Derby County FC to score in both halves21%
HT/FT Derby County FC / Derby County FC21%
HT/FT Draw / Draw17%
HT/FT Draw / Queens Park Rangers FC14%
HT/FT Draw / Derby County FC13%
1st Half Over 2.5 goals10%
Queens Park Rangers FC to win both halves9%
Derby County FC to win both halves8%
HT/FT Derby County FC / Draw5%
HT/FT Queens Park Rangers FC / Draw5%
HT/FT Derby County FC / Queens Park Rangers FC2%
HT/FT Queens Park Rangers FC / Derby County FC2%
HandicapsProbOddsEdge
Handicap — Queens Park Rangers FC +2.594%
Handicap — Derby County FC -2.593%
Handicap — Queens Park Rangers FC +1.584%
Handicap — Derby County FC -1.582%
Handicap — Queens Park Rangers FC +0.565%
Handicap — Derby County FC -0.563%
Handicap — Queens Park Rangers FC -0.537%
Handicap — Derby County FC +0.535%
Handicap — Queens Park Rangers FC -1.518%
Handicap — Derby County FC +1.517%
Handicap — Queens Park Rangers FC -2.57%
Handicap — Derby County FC +2.56%
GoalscorersProbOddsEdge
Anytime scorer — Samuel Szmodics (Derby County FC)28%
Anytime scorer — Ilias Chair (Queens Park Rangers FC)26%
Anytime scorer — Bobby Clark (Derby County FC)25%
Anytime scorer — Rumarn Burrell (Queens Park Rangers FC)20%