Derby County FC v Stoke City FC
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Derby County FC v Stoke City FC
Recommended bet
Over 1.5 goals
Total goals
De-vigged fair price from the marketLow
Win probability80%
Implied (with margin)80%
Model edge—
Odds1.26 1/4
All markets
Model-only estimates · 105 markets
Match winnerProbOddsEdge
Double chance — Derby County FC or Stoke City FC72%——
Double chance — Derby County FC or Draw66%——
Double chance — Stoke City FC or Draw62%——
Draw no bet — Derby County FC53%——
Draw no bet — Stoke City FC47%——
Derby County FC to win38%——
Stoke City FC to win34%——
Draw28%——
GoalsProbOddsEdge
Under 5.5 goals93%——
Over 0.5 goals93%——
Under 4.5 goals84%——
Over 1.5 goals80%——
Under 3.5 goals68%——
BTTS — Yes60%——
Over 2.5 goals55%——
Goals range — 2-3 goals47%——
BTTS Yes + Over 2.546%——
Under 2.5 goals45%——
BTTS — No41%——
Over 3.5 goals32%——
Goals range — 4-6 goals30%——
Under 1.5 goals20%——
Goals range — 0-1 goals20%——
Over 4.5 goals16%——
BTTS Yes + Under 2.513%——
Under 0.5 goals7%——
Over 5.5 goals7%——
Goals range — 7+ goals3%——
Score & marginProbOddsEdge
Both score no draw39%——
Stoke City FC to score 135%——
Derby County FC to score 134%——
Winning margin — Draw28%——
Stoke City FC to score 025%——
Derby County FC clean sheet25%——
Derby County FC to score 225%——
Stoke City FC to score 224%——
Derby County FC to score 023%——
Stoke City FC clean sheet23%——
Winning margin — Derby County FC by 119%——
Derby County FC to score 3+19%——
Derby County FC win to nil18%——
Winning margin — Stoke City FC by 118%——
Stoke City FC to score 3+16%——
Stoke City FC win to nil15%——
Correct score 1-113%——
Winning margin — Derby County FC by 212%——
Winning margin — Stoke City FC by 210%——
Correct score 2-19%——
Correct score 1-28%——
Correct score 0-07%——
Correct score 1-07%——
Correct score 0-16%——
Correct score 2-06%——
Correct score 2-26%——
Correct score 0-25%——
Winning margin — Derby County FC by 35%——
Correct score 3-14%——
Winning margin — Stoke City FC by 34%——
Winning margin — Derby County FC by 42%——
Winning margin — Stoke City FC by 41%——
Winning margin — Derby County FC by 5+1%——
Winning margin — Stoke City FC by 5+0%——
HalvesProbOddsEdge
1st Half Under 2.5 goals85%——
1st Half Over 0.5 goals74%——
1st Half Under 1.5 goals62%——
Derby County FC to win either half55%——
Stoke City FC to win either half51%——
Half with most goals — 2nd44%——
1st Half result — Draw40%——
1st Half Over 1.5 goals38%——
1st Half result — Derby County FC32%——
Half with most goals — 1st31%——
1st Half result — Stoke City FC29%——
Derby County FC to score in both halves28%——
1st Half Under 0.5 goals26%——
Stoke City FC to score in both halves26%——
Half with most goals — Equal24%——
HT/FT Derby County FC / Derby County FC24%——
HT/FT Stoke City FC / Stoke City FC21%——
1st Half Over 2.5 goals15%——
HT/FT Draw / Draw14%——
HT/FT Draw / Derby County FC14%——
HT/FT Draw / Stoke City FC12%——
Derby County FC to win both halves11%——
Stoke City FC to win both halves9%——
HT/FT Stoke City FC / Draw5%——
HT/FT Derby County FC / Draw5%——
HT/FT Stoke City FC / Derby County FC3%——
HT/FT Derby County FC / Stoke City FC2%——
HandicapsProbOddsEdge
Handicap — Derby County FC +2.594%——
Handicap — Stoke City FC -2.593%——
Handicap — Derby County FC +1.584%——
Handicap — Stoke City FC -1.581%——
Handicap — Derby County FC +0.566%——
Handicap — Stoke City FC -0.562%——
Handicap — Derby County FC -0.538%——
Handicap — Stoke City FC +0.534%——
Handicap — Derby County FC -1.519%——
Handicap — Stoke City FC +1.516%——
Handicap — Derby County FC -2.57%——
Handicap — Stoke City FC +2.56%——
GoalscorersProbOddsEdge
Anytime scorer — Ethan Galbraith (Stoke City FC)49%——
Anytime scorer — Eric Bocat (Stoke City FC)28%——
Anytime scorer — Samuel Szmodics (Derby County FC)27%——
Anytime scorer — Bobby Clark (Derby County FC)24%——