Sheffield United FC v Derby County FC
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Sheffield United FC v Derby County FC
Recommended bet
Over 1.5 goals
Total goals
De-vigged fair price from the marketLow
Win probability78%
Implied (with margin)78%
Model edge—
Odds1.28 2/7
All markets
Model-only estimates · 104 markets
Match winnerProbOddsEdge
Double chance — Sheffield United FC or Derby County FC72%——
Double chance — Sheffield United FC or Draw72%——
Draw no bet — Sheffield United FC61%——
Double chance — Derby County FC or Draw56%——
Sheffield United FC to win44%——
Draw no bet — Derby County FC39%——
Derby County FC to win28%——
Draw28%——
GoalsProbOddsEdge
Under 5.5 goals94%——
Over 0.5 goals92%——
Under 4.5 goals85%——
Over 1.5 goals78%——
Under 3.5 goals70%——
BTTS — Yes57%——
Over 2.5 goals53%——
Goals range — 2-3 goals48%——
Under 2.5 goals47%——
BTTS Yes + Over 2.544%——
BTTS — No43%——
Over 3.5 goals31%——
Goals range — 4-6 goals28%——
Under 1.5 goals22%——
Goals range — 0-1 goals22%——
Over 4.5 goals15%——
BTTS Yes + Under 2.513%——
Under 0.5 goals8%——
Over 5.5 goals6%——
Goals range — 7+ goals2%——
Score & marginProbOddsEdge
Both score no draw37%——
Derby County FC to score 136%——
Sheffield United FC to score 133%——
Derby County FC to score 030%——
Sheffield United FC clean sheet30%——
Winning margin — Draw28%——
Sheffield United FC to score 226%——
Derby County FC to score 222%——
Sheffield United FC win to nil22%——
Sheffield United FC to score 021%——
Derby County FC clean sheet21%——
Winning margin — Sheffield United FC by 121%——
Sheffield United FC to score 3+21%——
Winning margin — Derby County FC by 116%——
Winning margin — Sheffield United FC by 214%——
Correct score 1-113%——
Derby County FC win to nil13%——
Derby County FC to score 3+13%——
Correct score 2-19%——
Winning margin — Derby County FC by 28%——
Correct score 1-08%——
Correct score 0-08%——
Correct score 2-08%——
Correct score 1-27%——
Winning margin — Sheffield United FC by 36%——
Correct score 0-16%——
Correct score 2-26%——
Correct score 3-15%——
Correct score 0-25%——
Winning margin — Derby County FC by 33%——
Winning margin — Sheffield United FC by 42%——
Winning margin — Sheffield United FC by 5+1%——
Winning margin — Derby County FC by 41%——
Winning margin — Derby County FC by 5+0%——
HalvesProbOddsEdge
1st Half Under 2.5 goals88%——
1st Half Over 0.5 goals70%——
1st Half Under 1.5 goals66%——
Sheffield United FC to win either half58%——
Derby County FC to win either half44%——
Half with most goals — 2nd43%——
1st Half result — Draw42%——
1st Half Over 1.5 goals34%——
1st Half result — Sheffield United FC34%——
Half with most goals — 1st31%——
1st Half Under 0.5 goals30%——
Sheffield United FC to score in both halves28%——
HT/FT Sheffield United FC / Sheffield United FC27%——
Half with most goals — Equal26%——
1st Half result — Derby County FC24%——
Derby County FC to score in both halves20%——
HT/FT Derby County FC / Derby County FC17%——
HT/FT Draw / Draw15%——
HT/FT Draw / Sheffield United FC15%——
Sheffield United FC to win both halves13%——
1st Half Over 2.5 goals12%——
HT/FT Draw / Derby County FC11%——
Derby County FC to win both halves6%——
HT/FT Derby County FC / Draw5%——
HT/FT Sheffield United FC / Draw5%——
HT/FT Derby County FC / Sheffield United FC3%——
HT/FT Sheffield United FC / Derby County FC2%——
HandicapsProbOddsEdge
Handicap — Sheffield United FC +2.596%——
Handicap — Derby County FC -2.591%——
Handicap — Sheffield United FC +1.588%——
Handicap — Derby County FC -1.577%——
Handicap — Sheffield United FC +0.572%——
Handicap — Derby County FC -0.556%——
Handicap — Sheffield United FC -0.544%——
Handicap — Derby County FC +0.528%——
Handicap — Sheffield United FC -1.523%——
Handicap — Derby County FC +1.512%——
Handicap — Sheffield United FC -2.59%——
Handicap — Derby County FC +2.54%——
GoalscorersProbOddsEdge
Anytime scorer — Patrick Bamford (Sheffield United FC)35%——
Anytime scorer — Samuel Szmodics (Derby County FC)30%——
Anytime scorer — Bobby Clark (Derby County FC)19%——