Millwall FC v Derby County FC
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Millwall FC v Derby County FC
Recommended bet
Over 1.5 goals
Total goals
De-vigged fair price from the marketLow
Win probability80%
Implied (with margin)80%
Model edge—
Odds1.24 1/4
All markets
Model-only estimates · 106 markets
Match winnerProbOddsEdge
Double chance — Millwall FC or Draw76%——
Double chance — Millwall FC or Derby County FC74%——
Draw no bet — Millwall FC67%——
Double chance — Derby County FC or Draw51%——
Millwall FC to win49%——
Draw no bet — Derby County FC33%——
Draw27%——
Derby County FC to win25%——
GoalsProbOddsEdge
Over 0.5 goals93%——
Under 5.5 goals92%——
Under 4.5 goals83%——
Over 1.5 goals80%——
Under 3.5 goals66%——
BTTS — Yes59%——
Over 2.5 goals56%——
Goals range — 2-3 goals47%——
BTTS Yes + Over 2.546%——
Under 2.5 goals44%——
BTTS — No41%——
Over 3.5 goals34%——
Goals range — 4-6 goals31%——
Under 1.5 goals20%——
Goals range — 0-1 goals20%——
Over 4.5 goals17%——
BTTS Yes + Under 2.513%——
Over 5.5 goals8%——
Under 0.5 goals7%——
Goals range — 7+ goals3%——
Score & marginProbOddsEdge
Both score no draw39%——
Derby County FC to score 136%——
Derby County FC to score 031%——
Millwall FC clean sheet31%——
Millwall FC to score 131%——
Millwall FC to score 227%——
Winning margin — Draw27%——
Millwall FC to score 3+25%——
Millwall FC win to nil24%——
Winning margin — Millwall FC by 122%——
Derby County FC to score 221%——
Millwall FC to score 018%——
Derby County FC clean sheet18%——
Winning margin — Millwall FC by 215%——
Winning margin — Derby County FC by 114%——
Correct score 1-113%——
Derby County FC to score 3+12%——
Derby County FC win to nil11%——
Correct score 2-110%——
Correct score 2-08%——
Correct score 1-08%——
Winning margin — Millwall FC by 38%——
Winning margin — Derby County FC by 27%——
Correct score 0-07%——
Correct score 1-27%——
Correct score 2-26%——
Correct score 3-16%——
Correct score 0-15%——
Correct score 3-05%——
Winning margin — Millwall FC by 43%——
Winning margin — Derby County FC by 32%——
Winning margin — Millwall FC by 5+1%——
Winning margin — Derby County FC by 41%——
Winning margin — Derby County FC by 5+0%——
HalvesProbOddsEdge
1st Half Under 2.5 goals84%——
1st Half Over 0.5 goals74%——
Millwall FC to win either half64%——
1st Half Under 1.5 goals61%——
Half with most goals — 2nd45%——
Derby County FC to win either half42%——
1st Half Over 1.5 goals39%——
1st Half result — Millwall FC39%——
1st Half result — Draw39%——
Millwall FC to score in both halves35%——
HT/FT Millwall FC / Millwall FC32%——
Half with most goals — 1st31%——
1st Half Under 0.5 goals26%——
Half with most goals — Equal24%——
1st Half result — Derby County FC23%——
Derby County FC to score in both halves21%——
Millwall FC to win both halves16%——
HT/FT Draw / Millwall FC16%——
1st Half Over 2.5 goals16%——
HT/FT Derby County FC / Derby County FC15%——
HT/FT Draw / Draw13%——
HT/FT Draw / Derby County FC9%——
Derby County FC to win both halves6%——
HT/FT Derby County FC / Draw5%——
HT/FT Millwall FC / Draw5%——
HT/FT Derby County FC / Millwall FC3%——
HT/FT Millwall FC / Derby County FC2%——
HandicapsProbOddsEdge
Handicap — Millwall FC +2.597%——
Handicap — Millwall FC +1.590%——
Handicap — Derby County FC -2.588%——
Handicap — Millwall FC +0.576%——
Handicap — Derby County FC -1.573%——
Handicap — Derby County FC -0.551%——
Handicap — Millwall FC -0.549%——
Handicap — Millwall FC -1.528%——
Handicap — Derby County FC +0.525%——
Handicap — Millwall FC -2.512%——
Handicap — Derby County FC +1.510%——
Handicap — Derby County FC +2.53%——
GoalscorersProbOddsEdge
Anytime scorer — Josh Coburn (Millwall FC)43%——
Anytime scorer — Taïryk Arconte (Millwall FC)35%——
Anytime scorer — Lyndon Dykes (Millwall FC)34%——
Anytime scorer — Camiel Neghli (Millwall FC)27%——
Anytime scorer — Samuel Szmodics (Derby County FC)25%——