Southampton FC v Middlesbrough FC
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Southampton FC v Middlesbrough FC
Recommended bet
Over 1.5 goals
Total goals
De-vigged fair price from the marketMed
Win probability82%
Implied (with margin)82%
Model edge—
Odds1.22 2/9
All markets
Model-only estimates · 105 markets
Match winnerProbOddsEdge
Double chance — Southampton FC or Middlesbrough FC73%——
Double chance — Southampton FC or Draw64%——
Double chance — Middlesbrough FC or Draw63%——
Draw no bet — Southampton FC51%——
Draw no bet — Middlesbrough FC49%——
Southampton FC to win37%——
Middlesbrough FC to win36%——
Draw27%——
GoalsProbOddsEdge
Over 0.5 goals94%——
Under 5.5 goals91%——
Over 1.5 goals82%——
Under 4.5 goals81%——
Under 3.5 goals64%——
BTTS — Yes62%——
Over 2.5 goals58%——
BTTS Yes + Over 2.550%——
Goals range — 2-3 goals46%——
Under 2.5 goals42%——
BTTS — No38%——
Over 3.5 goals36%——
Goals range — 4-6 goals32%——
Over 4.5 goals19%——
Under 1.5 goals18%——
Goals range — 0-1 goals18%——
BTTS Yes + Under 2.513%——
Over 5.5 goals9%——
Under 0.5 goals6%——
Goals range — 7+ goals4%——
Score & marginProbOddsEdge
Both score no draw42%——
Middlesbrough FC to score 134%——
Southampton FC to score 133%——
Winning margin — Draw27%——
Southampton FC to score 225%——
Middlesbrough FC to score 225%——
Middlesbrough FC to score 022%——
Southampton FC clean sheet22%——
Southampton FC to score 022%——
Middlesbrough FC clean sheet22%——
Southampton FC to score 3+20%——
Middlesbrough FC to score 3+19%——
Winning margin — Southampton FC by 118%——
Winning margin — Middlesbrough FC by 118%——
Southampton FC win to nil16%——
Middlesbrough FC win to nil15%——
Correct score 1-113%——
Winning margin — Southampton FC by 211%——
Winning margin — Middlesbrough FC by 211%——
Correct score 2-19%——
Correct score 1-28%——
Correct score 2-26%——
Correct score 0-06%——
Correct score 1-06%——
Correct score 0-16%——
Correct score 2-06%——
Correct score 0-25%——
Winning margin — Southampton FC by 35%——
Winning margin — Middlesbrough FC by 35%——
Correct score 3-14%——
Winning margin — Southampton FC by 42%——
Winning margin — Middlesbrough FC by 42%——
Winning margin — Southampton FC by 5+1%——
Winning margin — Middlesbrough FC by 5+1%——
HalvesProbOddsEdge
1st Half Under 2.5 goals82%——
1st Half Over 0.5 goals77%——
1st Half Under 1.5 goals57%——
Southampton FC to win either half55%——
Middlesbrough FC to win either half54%——
Half with most goals — 2nd45%——
1st Half Over 1.5 goals43%——
1st Half result — Draw38%——
1st Half result — Southampton FC32%——
Half with most goals — 1st32%——
1st Half result — Middlesbrough FC31%——
Southampton FC to score in both halves31%——
Middlesbrough FC to score in both halves30%——
HT/FT Southampton FC / Southampton FC24%——
1st Half Under 0.5 goals23%——
Half with most goals — Equal23%——
HT/FT Middlesbrough FC / Middlesbrough FC23%——
1st Half Over 2.5 goals18%——
HT/FT Draw / Southampton FC13%——
HT/FT Draw / Draw12%——
HT/FT Draw / Middlesbrough FC12%——
Southampton FC to win both halves11%——
Middlesbrough FC to win both halves10%——
HT/FT Middlesbrough FC / Draw5%——
HT/FT Southampton FC / Draw5%——
HT/FT Middlesbrough FC / Southampton FC3%——
HT/FT Southampton FC / Middlesbrough FC3%——
HandicapsProbOddsEdge
Handicap — Southampton FC +2.593%——
Handicap — Middlesbrough FC -2.593%——
Handicap — Southampton FC +1.582%——
Handicap — Middlesbrough FC -1.581%——
Handicap — Southampton FC +0.564%——
Handicap — Middlesbrough FC -0.563%——
Handicap — Southampton FC -0.537%——
Handicap — Middlesbrough FC +0.536%——
Handicap — Southampton FC -1.519%——
Handicap — Middlesbrough FC +1.518%——
Handicap — Southampton FC -2.57%——
Handicap — Middlesbrough FC +2.57%——
GoalscorersProbOddsEdge
Anytime scorer — William Lankshear (Middlesbrough FC)77%——
Anytime scorer — Cyle Larin (Southampton FC)47%——
Anytime scorer — Kuryu Matsuki (Southampton FC)30%——
Anytime scorer — Finn Azaz (Southampton FC)24%——