Derby County FC v Watford FC
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Derby County FC v Watford FC
Recommended bet
Over 1.5 goals
Total goals
De-vigged fair price from the marketMed
Win probability79%
Implied (with margin)79%
Model edge—
Odds1.26 1/4
All markets
Model-only estimates · 104 markets
Match winnerProbOddsEdge
Double chance — Derby County FC or Watford FC72%——
Double chance — Derby County FC or Draw70%——
Double chance — Watford FC or Draw58%——
Draw no bet — Derby County FC58%——
Draw no bet — Watford FC42%——
Derby County FC to win42%——
Watford FC to win31%——
Draw28%——
GoalsProbOddsEdge
Under 5.5 goals93%——
Over 0.5 goals93%——
Under 4.5 goals84%——
Over 1.5 goals79%——
Under 3.5 goals68%——
BTTS — Yes59%——
Over 2.5 goals54%——
Goals range — 2-3 goals47%——
BTTS Yes + Over 2.546%——
Under 2.5 goals46%——
BTTS — No41%——
Over 3.5 goals32%——
Goals range — 4-6 goals29%——
Under 1.5 goals21%——
Goals range — 0-1 goals21%——
Over 4.5 goals16%——
BTTS Yes + Under 2.513%——
Under 0.5 goals7%——
Over 5.5 goals7%——
Goals range — 7+ goals3%——
Score & marginProbOddsEdge
Both score no draw38%——
Watford FC to score 135%——
Derby County FC to score 133%——
Winning margin — Draw28%——
Watford FC to score 027%——
Derby County FC clean sheet27%——
Derby County FC to score 226%——
Watford FC to score 223%——
Derby County FC to score 021%——
Watford FC clean sheet21%——
Derby County FC to score 3+21%——
Winning margin — Derby County FC by 120%——
Derby County FC win to nil20%——
Winning margin — Watford FC by 117%——
Watford FC to score 3+14%——
Watford FC win to nil14%——
Correct score 1-113%——
Winning margin — Derby County FC by 213%——
Winning margin — Watford FC by 29%——
Correct score 2-19%——
Correct score 1-28%——
Correct score 1-07%——
Correct score 0-07%——
Correct score 2-07%——
Correct score 0-16%——
Correct score 2-26%——
Winning margin — Derby County FC by 36%——
Correct score 0-25%——
Correct score 3-15%——
Winning margin — Watford FC by 33%——
Winning margin — Derby County FC by 42%——
Winning margin — Watford FC by 41%——
Winning margin — Derby County FC by 5+1%——
Winning margin — Watford FC by 5+0%——
HalvesProbOddsEdge
1st Half Under 2.5 goals88%——
1st Half Over 0.5 goals70%——
1st Half Under 1.5 goals66%——
Derby County FC to win either half56%——
Watford FC to win either half46%——
Half with most goals — 2nd43%——
1st Half result — Draw42%——
1st Half Over 1.5 goals34%——
1st Half result — Derby County FC32%——
Half with most goals — 1st31%——
1st Half Under 0.5 goals30%——
Derby County FC to score in both halves26%——
Half with most goals — Equal26%——
1st Half result — Watford FC26%——
HT/FT Derby County FC / Derby County FC25%——
Watford FC to score in both halves20%——
HT/FT Watford FC / Watford FC18%——
HT/FT Draw / Draw16%——
HT/FT Draw / Derby County FC15%——
1st Half Over 2.5 goals12%——
HT/FT Draw / Watford FC12%——
Derby County FC to win both halves11%——
Watford FC to win both halves7%——
HT/FT Watford FC / Draw5%——
HT/FT Derby County FC / Draw5%——
HT/FT Watford FC / Derby County FC2%——
HT/FT Derby County FC / Watford FC2%——
HandicapsProbOddsEdge
Handicap — Derby County FC +2.595%——
Handicap — Watford FC -2.591%——
Handicap — Derby County FC +1.586%——
Handicap — Watford FC -1.578%——
Handicap — Derby County FC +0.570%——
Handicap — Watford FC -0.558%——
Handicap — Derby County FC -0.542%——
Handicap — Watford FC +0.531%——
Handicap — Derby County FC -1.522%——
Handicap — Watford FC +1.514%——
Handicap — Derby County FC -2.59%——
Handicap — Watford FC +2.55%——
GoalscorersProbOddsEdge
Anytime scorer — Samuel Szmodics (Derby County FC)23%——
Anytime scorer — Amin Nabizada (Watford FC)23%——
Anytime scorer — Bobby Clark (Derby County FC)21%——