Middlesbrough FC v Derby County FC
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Middlesbrough FC v Derby County FC
Recommended bet
Over 1.5 goals
Total goals
De-vigged fair price from the marketMed
Win probability82%
Implied (with margin)82%
Model edge—
Odds1.21 2/9
All markets
Model-only estimates · 104 markets
Match winnerProbOddsEdge
Double chance — Middlesbrough FC or Draw81%——
Double chance — Middlesbrough FC or Derby County FC76%——
Draw no bet — Middlesbrough FC75%——
Middlesbrough FC to win57%——
Double chance — Derby County FC or Draw43%——
Draw no bet — Derby County FC25%——
Draw24%——
Derby County FC to win19%——
GoalsProbOddsEdge
Over 0.5 goals94%——
Under 5.5 goals91%——
Over 1.5 goals82%——
Under 4.5 goals80%——
Under 3.5 goals63%——
Over 2.5 goals59%——
BTTS — Yes59%——
BTTS Yes + Over 2.547%——
Goals range — 2-3 goals46%——
BTTS — No42%——
Under 2.5 goals41%——
Over 3.5 goals37%——
Goals range — 4-6 goals33%——
Over 4.5 goals20%——
Under 1.5 goals18%——
Goals range — 0-1 goals18%——
BTTS Yes + Under 2.511%——
Over 5.5 goals9%——
Under 0.5 goals6%——
Goals range — 7+ goals4%——
Score & marginProbOddsEdge
Both score no draw40%——
Derby County FC to score 137%——
Derby County FC to score 034%——
Middlesbrough FC clean sheet34%——
Middlesbrough FC to score 3+32%——
Middlesbrough FC win to nil28%——
Middlesbrough FC to score 127%——
Middlesbrough FC to score 227%——
Winning margin — Draw24%——
Winning margin — Middlesbrough FC by 122%——
Derby County FC to score 220%——
Winning margin — Middlesbrough FC by 218%——
Middlesbrough FC to score 014%——
Derby County FC clean sheet14%——
Winning margin — Derby County FC by 112%——
Correct score 1-111%——
Winning margin — Middlesbrough FC by 310%——
Correct score 2-110%——
Derby County FC to score 3+10%——
Correct score 2-09%——
Correct score 1-08%——
Derby County FC win to nil8%——
Correct score 3-17%——
Correct score 3-06%——
Correct score 0-06%——
Correct score 1-26%——
Correct score 2-25%——
Winning margin — Derby County FC by 25%——
Winning margin — Middlesbrough FC by 45%——
Correct score 0-14%——
Winning margin — Middlesbrough FC by 5+2%——
Winning margin — Derby County FC by 32%——
Winning margin — Derby County FC by 40%——
Winning margin — Derby County FC by 5+0%——
HalvesProbOddsEdge
1st Half Under 2.5 goals81%——
1st Half Over 0.5 goals78%——
Middlesbrough FC to win either half72%——
1st Half Under 1.5 goals56%——
Half with most goals — 2nd46%——
1st Half result — Middlesbrough FC45%——
1st Half Over 1.5 goals44%——
Middlesbrough FC to score in both halves43%——
HT/FT Middlesbrough FC / Middlesbrough FC39%——
Derby County FC to win either half36%——
1st Half result — Draw35%——
Half with most goals — 1st32%——
Half with most goals — Equal23%——
1st Half Under 0.5 goals22%——
Middlesbrough FC to win both halves22%——
Derby County FC to score in both halves20%——
1st Half result — Derby County FC20%——
1st Half Over 2.5 goals19%——
HT/FT Draw / Middlesbrough FC17%——
HT/FT Derby County FC / Derby County FC11%——
HT/FT Draw / Draw11%——
HT/FT Draw / Derby County FC7%——
HT/FT Derby County FC / Draw5%——
HT/FT Middlesbrough FC / Draw5%——
Derby County FC to win both halves4%——
HT/FT Derby County FC / Middlesbrough FC4%——
HT/FT Middlesbrough FC / Derby County FC2%——
HandicapsProbOddsEdge
Handicap — Middlesbrough FC +2.598%——
Handicap — Middlesbrough FC +1.592%——
Handicap — Derby County FC -2.583%——
Handicap — Middlesbrough FC +0.581%——
Handicap — Derby County FC -1.565%——
Handicap — Middlesbrough FC -0.557%——
Handicap — Derby County FC -0.543%——
Handicap — Middlesbrough FC -1.535%——
Handicap — Derby County FC +0.519%——
Handicap — Middlesbrough FC -2.517%——
Handicap — Derby County FC +1.58%——
Handicap — Derby County FC +2.52%——
GoalscorersProbOddsEdge
Anytime scorer — William Lankshear (Middlesbrough FC)79%——
Anytime scorer — Samuel Szmodics (Derby County FC)24%——
Anytime scorer — Bobby Clark (Derby County FC)22%——