Real Racing Club de Santander v Villarreal CF
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Football·Primera Division· 2026-08-16 · 15:00

Real Racing Club de Santander v Villarreal CF

Recommended bet
Over 1.5 goals
Total goals
De-vigged fair price from the marketLow
Win probability76%
Implied (with margin)76%
Model edge
Odds1.31 3/10
All markets
Match winnerProbOddsEdge
Match Winner — Draw29%3.45
Match Winner — Real Racing Club de Santander28%3.45
Match Winner — Villarreal CF28%2.14
GoalsProbOddsEdge
Under 2.5 goals50%1.79
Over 2.5 goals50%1.88
Model-only estimates · 148 markets
Match winnerProbOddsEdge
Double chance — Villarreal CF or Draw72%
Double chance — Real Racing Club de Santander or Villarreal CF71%
Draw no bet — Villarreal CF61%
Double chance — Real Racing Club de Santander or Draw57%
Villarreal CF to win43%
Draw no bet — Real Racing Club de Santander39%
Draw29%
Real Racing Club de Santander to win28%
GoalsProbOddsEdge
Under 5.5 goals95%
Over 0.5 goals91%
Under 4.5 goals87%
Over 1.5 goals76%
Under 3.5 goals72%
BTTS — Yes55%
Under 2.5 goals50%
Over 2.5 goals50%
Goals range — 2-3 goals48%
BTTS — No45%
BTTS Yes + Over 2.541%
Over 3.5 goals28%
Goals range — 4-6 goals26%
Under 1.5 goals24%
Goals range — 0-1 goals24%
BTTS Yes + Under 2.514%
Over 4.5 goals13%
Under 0.5 goals9%
Over 5.5 goals5%
Goals range — 7+ goals2%
Score & marginProbOddsEdge
Real Racing Club de Santander to score 136%
Both score no draw35%
Villarreal CF to score 134%
Real Racing Club de Santander to score 031%
Villarreal CF clean sheet31%
Winning margin — Draw29%
Villarreal CF to score 225%
Villarreal CF win to nil23%
Villarreal CF to score 022%
Real Racing Club de Santander clean sheet22%
Winning margin — Villarreal CF by 121%
Real Racing Club de Santander to score 221%
Villarreal CF to score 3+19%
Winning margin — Real Racing Club de Santander by 116%
Real Racing Club de Santander win to nil14%
Correct score 1-114%
Winning margin — Villarreal CF by 214%
Real Racing Club de Santander to score 3+11%
Correct score 1-29%
Correct score 0-19%
Correct score 0-09%
Winning margin — Real Racing Club de Santander by 28%
Correct score 0-28%
Correct score 2-17%
Correct score 1-07%
Winning margin — Villarreal CF by 36%
Correct score 2-25%
Correct score 2-05%
Correct score 1-35%
Winning margin — Real Racing Club de Santander by 33%
Winning margin — Villarreal CF by 42%
Winning margin — Villarreal CF by 5+1%
Winning margin — Real Racing Club de Santander by 41%
Winning margin — Real Racing Club de Santander by 5+0%
HalvesProbOddsEdge
1st Half Under 2.5 goals88%
1st Half Over 0.5 goals70%
1st Half Under 1.5 goals66%
Villarreal CF to win either half58%
Real Racing Club de Santander to win either half44%
Half with most goals — 2nd43%
1st Half result — Draw42%
1st Half result — Villarreal CF34%
1st Half Over 1.5 goals34%
Half with most goals — 1st31%
1st Half Under 0.5 goals30%
Villarreal CF to score in both halves28%
HT/FT Villarreal CF / Villarreal CF27%
Half with most goals — Equal26%
1st Half result — Real Racing Club de Santander24%
Real Racing Club de Santander to score in both halves19%
HT/FT Real Racing Club de Santander / Real Racing Club de Santander17%
HT/FT Draw / Draw16%
HT/FT Draw / Villarreal CF16%
Villarreal CF to win both halves13%
1st Half Over 2.5 goals12%
HT/FT Draw / Real Racing Club de Santander11%
Real Racing Club de Santander to win both halves6%
HT/FT Villarreal CF / Draw5%
HT/FT Real Racing Club de Santander / Draw5%
HT/FT Real Racing Club de Santander / Villarreal CF3%
HT/FT Villarreal CF / Real Racing Club de Santander2%
HandicapsProbOddsEdge
Handicap — Villarreal CF -2.596%
Handicap — Real Racing Club de Santander +2.591%
Handicap — Villarreal CF -1.588%
Handicap — Real Racing Club de Santander +1.578%
Handicap — Villarreal CF -0.572%
Handicap — Real Racing Club de Santander +0.557%
Handicap — Villarreal CF +0.543%
Handicap — Real Racing Club de Santander -0.528%
Handicap — Villarreal CF +1.522%
Handicap — Real Racing Club de Santander -1.512%
Handicap — Villarreal CF +2.59%
Handicap — Real Racing Club de Santander -2.54%
CardsProbOddsEdge
Over 2.5 cards85%
Under 6.5 cards80%
Over 3.5 cards70%
Under 5.5 cards66%
Over 4.5 cards51%
Under 4.5 cards49%
Most cards — Villarreal CF43%
Most cards — Real Racing Club de Santander38%
Over 5.5 cards34%
Under 3.5 cards30%
Any red card23%
Over 6.5 cards20%
Most cards — Tie19%
Under 2.5 cards15%
2+ red cards3%
Villarreal CF expected cards2%
Real Racing Club de Santander expected cards2%
CornersProbOddsEdge
Over 7.5 corners82%
Under 12.5 corners75%
Over 8.5 corners72%
Most corners — Real Racing Club de Santander69%
Under 11.5 corners64%
Over 9.5 corners60%
Under 10.5 corners52%
Over 10.5 corners48%
Under 9.5 corners40%
Over 11.5 corners36%
Under 8.5 corners28%
Over 12.5 corners26%
Most corners — Villarreal CF21%
Under 7.5 corners18%
Real Racing Club de Santander expected corners6%
Villarreal CF expected corners4%
FoulsProbOddsEdge
Under 24.5 fouls82%
Under 23.5 fouls76%
Under 22.5 fouls69%
Under 21.5 fouls61%
Over 19.5 fouls56%
Most fouls — Villarreal CF54%
Under 20.5 fouls52%
Over 20.5 fouls48%
Under 19.5 fouls44%
Over 21.5 fouls39%
Most fouls — Real Racing Club de Santander38%
Over 22.5 fouls31%
Over 23.5 fouls24%
Over 24.5 fouls18%