Real Madrid CF v Real Sociedad de Fútbol
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Football·Primera Division· 2026-08-16 · 15:00

Real Madrid CF v Real Sociedad de Fútbol

Recommended bet
Real Madrid CF or Draw
Double chance
De-vigged fair price from the marketLow
Win probability84%
Implied (with margin)84%
Model edge
Odds1.19 2/11
All markets
Match winnerProbOddsEdge
Match Winner — Real Madrid CF59%8.20
Match Winner — Draw25%5.63
GoalsProbOddsEdge
Under 3.5 goals72%1.81
Over 3.5 goals28%2.22
Model-only estimates · 148 markets
Match winnerProbOddsEdge
Double chance — Real Madrid CF or Draw84%
Draw no bet — Real Madrid CF79%
Double chance — Real Madrid CF or Real Sociedad de Fútbol75%
Real Madrid CF to win59%
Double chance — Real Sociedad de Fútbol or Draw41%
Draw26%
Draw no bet — Real Sociedad de Fútbol21%
Real Sociedad de Fútbol to win16%
GoalsProbOddsEdge
Under 5.5 goals95%
Over 0.5 goals92%
Under 4.5 goals87%
Over 1.5 goals76%
Under 3.5 goals72%
BTTS — No51%
Under 2.5 goals50%
Over 2.5 goals50%
BTTS — Yes49%
Goals range — 2-3 goals48%
BTTS Yes + Over 2.537%
Over 3.5 goals28%
Goals range — 4-6 goals26%
Under 1.5 goals24%
Goals range — 0-1 goals24%
Over 4.5 goals13%
BTTS Yes + Under 2.512%
Under 0.5 goals8%
Over 5.5 goals5%
Goals range — 7+ goals2%
Score & marginProbOddsEdge
Real Sociedad de Fútbol to score 043%
Real Madrid CF clean sheet43%
Real Sociedad de Fútbol to score 136%
Real Madrid CF win to nil34%
Both score no draw32%
Real Madrid CF to score 130%
Real Madrid CF to score 3+27%
Real Madrid CF to score 227%
Winning margin — Draw26%
Winning margin — Real Madrid CF by 124%
Winning margin — Real Madrid CF by 219%
Real Madrid CF to score 016%
Real Sociedad de Fútbol clean sheet16%
Real Sociedad de Fútbol to score 216%
Correct score 1-112%
Correct score 2-011%
Correct score 1-011%
Winning margin — Real Sociedad de Fútbol by 111%
Winning margin — Real Madrid CF by 310%
Correct score 2-110%
Correct score 0-08%
Real Sociedad de Fútbol win to nil8%
Correct score 3-07%
Correct score 3-16%
Real Sociedad de Fútbol to score 3+6%
Correct score 1-25%
Correct score 0-15%
Correct score 2-24%
Winning margin — Real Madrid CF by 44%
Winning margin — Real Sociedad de Fútbol by 24%
Winning margin — Real Madrid CF by 5+2%
Winning margin — Real Sociedad de Fútbol by 31%
Winning margin — Real Sociedad de Fútbol by 40%
Winning margin — Real Sociedad de Fútbol by 5+0%
HalvesProbOddsEdge
1st Half Under 2.5 goals88%
Real Madrid CF to win either half70%
1st Half Over 0.5 goals70%
1st Half Under 1.5 goals66%
1st Half result — Real Madrid CF43%
Half with most goals — 2nd43%
1st Half result — Draw40%
HT/FT Real Madrid CF / Real Madrid CF38%
Real Madrid CF to score in both halves35%
1st Half Over 1.5 goals34%
Half with most goals — 1st31%
Real Sociedad de Fútbol to win either half31%
1st Half Under 0.5 goals30%
Half with most goals — Equal26%
Real Madrid CF to win both halves21%
HT/FT Draw / Real Madrid CF19%
1st Half result — Real Sociedad de Fútbol16%
HT/FT Draw / Draw14%
1st Half Over 2.5 goals12%
Real Sociedad de Fútbol to score in both halves12%
HT/FT Real Sociedad de Fútbol / Real Sociedad de Fútbol9%
HT/FT Draw / Real Sociedad de Fútbol7%
HT/FT Real Sociedad de Fútbol / Draw4%
HT/FT Real Madrid CF / Draw4%
Real Sociedad de Fútbol to win both halves3%
HT/FT Real Sociedad de Fútbol / Real Madrid CF3%
HT/FT Real Madrid CF / Real Sociedad de Fútbol1%
HandicapsProbOddsEdge
Handicap — Real Madrid CF +2.599%
Handicap — Real Madrid CF +1.595%
Handicap — Real Madrid CF +0.584%
Handicap — Real Sociedad de Fútbol -2.584%
Handicap — Real Sociedad de Fútbol -1.565%
Handicap — Real Madrid CF -0.559%
Handicap — Real Sociedad de Fútbol -0.541%
Handicap — Real Madrid CF -1.535%
Handicap — Real Madrid CF -2.516%
Handicap — Real Sociedad de Fútbol +0.516%
Handicap — Real Sociedad de Fútbol +1.55%
Handicap — Real Sociedad de Fútbol +2.51%
CardsProbOddsEdge
Under 6.5 cards89%
Under 5.5 cards78%
Over 2.5 cards77%
Under 4.5 cards62%
Over 3.5 cards57%
Most cards — Real Madrid CF46%
Under 3.5 cards43%
Over 4.5 cards38%
Most cards — Real Sociedad de Fútbol33%
Any red card31%
Under 2.5 cards23%
Over 5.5 cards22%
Most cards — Tie20%
Over 6.5 cards11%
2+ red cards5%
Real Madrid CF expected cards2%
Real Sociedad de Fútbol expected cards2%
CornersProbOddsEdge
Over 7.5 corners93%
Over 8.5 corners88%
Over 9.5 corners80%
Over 10.5 corners71%
Over 11.5 corners60%
Under 12.5 corners51%
Over 12.5 corners49%
Most corners — Real Madrid CF44%
Most corners — Real Sociedad de Fútbol44%
Under 11.5 corners40%
Under 10.5 corners29%
Under 9.5 corners20%
Under 8.5 corners12%
Under 7.5 corners7%
Real Madrid CF expected corners6%
Real Sociedad de Fútbol expected corners6%
FoulsProbOddsEdge
Under 24.5 fouls94%
Under 23.5 fouls91%
Under 22.5 fouls86%
Under 21.5 fouls81%
Under 20.5 fouls74%
Under 19.5 fouls67%
Most fouls — Real Madrid CF45%
Most fouls — Real Sociedad de Fútbol45%
Over 19.5 fouls33%
Over 20.5 fouls26%
Over 21.5 fouls19%
Over 22.5 fouls14%
Over 23.5 fouls9%
Over 24.5 fouls6%