Sevilla FC v Rayo Vallecano de Madrid
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Football·Primera Division· 2026-08-16 · 15:00

Sevilla FC v Rayo Vallecano de Madrid

Recommended bet
Over 1.5 goals
Total goals
De-vigged fair price from the marketLow
Win probability76%
Implied (with margin)76%
Model edge
Odds1.31 3/10
All markets
Match winnerProbOddsEdge
Match Winner — Rayo Vallecano de Madrid37%3.30
Match Winner — Sevilla FC34%2.40
Match Winner — Draw29%3.39
GoalsProbOddsEdge
Under 2.5 goals50%1.65
Over 2.5 goals50%2.45
Model-only estimates · 148 markets
Match winnerProbOddsEdge
Double chance — Sevilla FC or Rayo Vallecano de Madrid71%
Double chance — Rayo Vallecano de Madrid or Draw66%
Double chance — Sevilla FC or Draw64%
Draw no bet — Rayo Vallecano de Madrid52%
Draw no bet — Sevilla FC48%
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid to win37%
Sevilla FC to win34%
Draw29%
GoalsProbOddsEdge
Under 5.5 goals95%
Over 0.5 goals91%
Under 4.5 goals87%
Over 1.5 goals76%
Under 3.5 goals72%
BTTS — Yes56%
Under 2.5 goals50%
Over 2.5 goals50%
Goals range — 2-3 goals48%
BTTS — No44%
BTTS Yes + Over 2.542%
Over 3.5 goals28%
Goals range — 4-6 goals26%
Under 1.5 goals24%
Goals range — 0-1 goals24%
BTTS Yes + Under 2.514%
Over 4.5 goals13%
Under 0.5 goals9%
Over 5.5 goals5%
Goals range — 7+ goals2%
Score & marginProbOddsEdge
Sevilla FC to score 135%
Both score no draw35%
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid to score 135%
Winning margin — Draw29%
Sevilla FC to score 027%
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid clean sheet27%
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid to score 026%
Sevilla FC clean sheet26%
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid to score 224%
Sevilla FC to score 223%
Winning margin — Rayo Vallecano de Madrid by 119%
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win to nil19%
Winning margin — Sevilla FC by 118%
Sevilla FC win to nil17%
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid to score 3+16%
Sevilla FC to score 3+15%
Correct score 1-114%
Winning margin — Rayo Vallecano de Madrid by 211%
Winning margin — Sevilla FC by 210%
Correct score 0-09%
Correct score 1-28%
Correct score 2-18%
Correct score 0-18%
Correct score 1-08%
Correct score 0-26%
Correct score 2-06%
Correct score 2-26%
Winning margin — Rayo Vallecano de Madrid by 34%
Winning margin — Sevilla FC by 34%
Correct score 1-34%
Winning margin — Rayo Vallecano de Madrid by 41%
Winning margin — Sevilla FC by 41%
Winning margin — Rayo Vallecano de Madrid by 5+1%
Winning margin — Sevilla FC by 5+0%
HalvesProbOddsEdge
1st Half Under 2.5 goals88%
1st Half Over 0.5 goals70%
1st Half Under 1.5 goals66%
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid to win either half52%
Sevilla FC to win either half50%
Half with most goals — 2nd43%
1st Half result — Draw42%
1st Half Over 1.5 goals34%
Half with most goals — 1st31%
1st Half Under 0.5 goals30%
1st Half result — Rayo Vallecano de Madrid30%
1st Half result — Sevilla FC28%
Half with most goals — Equal26%
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid to score in both halves24%
Sevilla FC to score in both halves23%
HT/FT Rayo Vallecano de Madrid / Rayo Vallecano de Madrid22%
HT/FT Sevilla FC / Sevilla FC21%
HT/FT Draw / Draw16%
HT/FT Draw / Rayo Vallecano de Madrid14%
HT/FT Draw / Sevilla FC13%
1st Half Over 2.5 goals12%
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid to win both halves10%
Sevilla FC to win both halves9%
HT/FT Rayo Vallecano de Madrid / Draw5%
HT/FT Sevilla FC / Draw5%
HT/FT Sevilla FC / Rayo Vallecano de Madrid2%
HT/FT Rayo Vallecano de Madrid / Sevilla FC2%
HandicapsProbOddsEdge
Handicap — Rayo Vallecano de Madrid -2.595%
Handicap — Sevilla FC +2.594%
Handicap — Rayo Vallecano de Madrid -1.584%
Handicap — Sevilla FC +1.583%
Handicap — Rayo Vallecano de Madrid -0.566%
Handicap — Sevilla FC +0.564%
Handicap — Rayo Vallecano de Madrid +0.537%
Handicap — Sevilla FC -0.534%
Handicap — Rayo Vallecano de Madrid +1.517%
Handicap — Sevilla FC -1.516%
Handicap — Rayo Vallecano de Madrid +2.56%
Handicap — Sevilla FC -2.56%
CardsProbOddsEdge
Over 2.5 cards95%
Over 3.5 cards86%
Over 4.5 cards74%
Over 5.5 cards58%
Under 6.5 cards58%
Most cards — Sevilla FC50%
Over 6.5 cards42%
Under 5.5 cards42%
Most cards — Rayo Vallecano de Madrid34%
Under 4.5 cards26%
Any red card23%
Most cards — Tie16%
Under 3.5 cards14%
Under 2.5 cards6%
Sevilla FC expected cards3%
2+ red cards3%
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid expected cards3%
CornersProbOddsEdge
Over 7.5 corners87%
Over 8.5 corners79%
Over 9.5 corners69%
Under 12.5 corners66%
Most corners — Rayo Vallecano de Madrid64%
Over 10.5 corners57%
Under 11.5 corners55%
Over 11.5 corners45%
Under 10.5 corners43%
Over 12.5 corners34%
Under 9.5 corners31%
Most corners — Sevilla FC26%
Under 8.5 corners21%
Under 7.5 corners13%
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid expected corners6%
Sevilla FC expected corners5%
FoulsProbOddsEdge
Over 19.5 fouls90%
Over 20.5 fouls86%
Over 21.5 fouls81%
Over 22.5 fouls75%
Over 23.5 fouls68%
Over 24.5 fouls61%
Most fouls — Sevilla FC60%
Under 24.5 fouls39%
Most fouls — Rayo Vallecano de Madrid33%
Under 23.5 fouls32%
Under 22.5 fouls25%
Under 21.5 fouls19%
Under 20.5 fouls14%
Under 19.5 fouls10%