Rayo Vallecano de Madrid v Deportivo Alavés
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Football·Primera Division· 2026-08-20 · 19:00

Rayo Vallecano de Madrid v Deportivo Alavés

Recommended bet
Over 1.5 goals
Total goals
Best price at 1xBetLow
Win probability76%
Implied (with margin)63%
Model edge+21.0%
Odds1.60 8/13
Crowd odds — Polymarket
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid43%
Draw32%
Deportivo Alavés26%
$61,760 liquidity · $3,071 traded · data from Polymarket
All markets
Match winnerProbOddsEdge
Match Winner — Rayo Vallecano de Madrid48%2.16
Match Winner — Draw28%3.29
Match Winner — Deportivo Alavés24%4.42
GoalsProbOddsEdge
Over 1.5 goals76%1.60
Under 2.5 goals51%1.44
Over 2.5 goals49%2.62
Under 1.5 goals24%2.56
Model-only estimates · 101 markets
Match winnerProbOddsEdge
Double chance — Rayo Vallecano de Madrid or Draw76%
Double chance — Rayo Vallecano de Madrid or Deportivo Alavés72%
Draw no bet — Rayo Vallecano de Madrid67%
Double chance — Deportivo Alavés or Draw52%
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid to win48%
Draw no bet — Deportivo Alavés33%
Draw28%
Deportivo Alavés to win24%
GoalsProbOddsEdge
Under 5.5 goals95%
Over 0.5 goals91%
Under 4.5 goals87%
Over 1.5 goals76%
Under 3.5 goals73%
BTTS — Yes53%
Under 2.5 goals51%
Over 2.5 goals49%
Goals range — 2-3 goals48%
BTTS — No47%
BTTS Yes + Over 2.540%
Over 3.5 goals27%
Goals range — 4-6 goals26%
Under 1.5 goals24%
Goals range — 0-1 goals24%
BTTS Yes + Under 2.514%
Over 4.5 goals13%
Under 0.5 goals9%
Over 5.5 goals5%
Goals range — 7+ goals2%
Score & marginProbOddsEdge
Deportivo Alavés to score 137%
Deportivo Alavés to score 035%
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid clean sheet35%
Both score no draw34%
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid to score 132%
Winning margin — Draw28%
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win to nil26%
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid to score 226%
Winning margin — Rayo Vallecano de Madrid by 122%
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid to score 3+21%
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid to score 020%
Deportivo Alavés clean sheet20%
Deportivo Alavés to score 219%
Winning margin — Rayo Vallecano de Madrid by 215%
Winning margin — Deportivo Alavés by 114%
Correct score 1-114%
Deportivo Alavés win to nil12%
Correct score 1-010%
Correct score 2-110%
Correct score 2-09%
Deportivo Alavés to score 3+9%
Correct score 0-09%
Winning margin — Rayo Vallecano de Madrid by 37%
Winning margin — Deportivo Alavés by 27%
Correct score 1-26%
Correct score 0-16%
Correct score 3-15%
Correct score 2-25%
Correct score 3-05%
Winning margin — Rayo Vallecano de Madrid by 43%
Winning margin — Deportivo Alavés by 32%
Winning margin — Rayo Vallecano de Madrid by 5+1%
Winning margin — Deportivo Alavés by 41%
Winning margin — Deportivo Alavés by 5+0%
HalvesProbOddsEdge
1st Half Under 2.5 goals89%
1st Half Over 0.5 goals68%
1st Half Under 1.5 goals68%
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid to win either half62%
Half with most goals — 2nd43%
1st Half result — Draw43%
Deportivo Alavés to win either half39%
1st Half result — Rayo Vallecano de Madrid36%
1st Half Over 1.5 goals32%
1st Half Under 0.5 goals32%
Half with most goals — 1st31%
HT/FT Rayo Vallecano de Madrid / Rayo Vallecano de Madrid30%
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid to score in both halves29%
Half with most goals — Equal26%
1st Half result — Deportivo Alavés21%
HT/FT Draw / Rayo Vallecano de Madrid17%
HT/FT Draw / Draw16%
Deportivo Alavés to score in both halves16%
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid to win both halves15%
HT/FT Deportivo Alavés / Deportivo Alavés14%
1st Half Over 2.5 goals11%
HT/FT Draw / Deportivo Alavés10%
Deportivo Alavés to win both halves5%
HT/FT Deportivo Alavés / Draw5%
HT/FT Rayo Vallecano de Madrid / Draw5%
HT/FT Deportivo Alavés / Rayo Vallecano de Madrid3%
HT/FT Rayo Vallecano de Madrid / Deportivo Alavés2%
HandicapsProbOddsEdge
Handicap — Rayo Vallecano de Madrid +2.597%
Handicap — Rayo Vallecano de Madrid +1.591%
Handicap — Deportivo Alavés -2.589%
Handicap — Rayo Vallecano de Madrid +0.576%
Handicap — Deportivo Alavés -1.574%
Handicap — Deportivo Alavés -0.552%
Handicap — Rayo Vallecano de Madrid -0.548%
Handicap — Rayo Vallecano de Madrid -1.526%
Handicap — Deportivo Alavés +0.524%
Handicap — Rayo Vallecano de Madrid -2.511%
Handicap — Deportivo Alavés +1.59%
Handicap — Deportivo Alavés +2.53%