Elche CF v FC Barcelona
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Football·Primera Division· 2026-08-23 · 19:30

Elche CF v FC Barcelona

Recommended bet
FC Barcelona or Draw
Double chance
De-vigged fair price from the marketLow
Win probability81%
Implied (with margin)81%
Model edge
Odds1.23 2/9
Crowd odds — Polymarket
Elche CF10%
Draw17%
FC Barcelona74%
$54,836 liquidity · $17,058 traded · data from Polymarket
All markets
Match winnerProbOddsEdge
Match Winner — FC Barcelona55%1.40
Match Winner — Draw27%5.60
Match Winner — Elche CF19%9.00
GoalsProbOddsEdge
Under 3.5 goals72%1.75
Over 2.5 goals50%1.44
Under 2.5 goals50%2.70
Over 3.5 goals28%2.25
Model-only estimates · 101 markets
Match winnerProbOddsEdge
Double chance — FC Barcelona or Draw81%
Draw no bet — FC Barcelona74%
Double chance — Elche CF or FC Barcelona73%
FC Barcelona to win55%
Double chance — Elche CF or Draw46%
Draw27%
Draw no bet — Elche CF26%
Elche CF to win19%
GoalsProbOddsEdge
Under 5.5 goals95%
Over 0.5 goals92%
Under 4.5 goals87%
Over 1.5 goals76%
Under 3.5 goals72%
BTTS — Yes52%
Over 2.5 goals50%
Under 2.5 goals50%
BTTS — No48%
Goals range — 2-3 goals48%
BTTS Yes + Over 2.539%
Over 3.5 goals28%
Goals range — 4-6 goals26%
Under 1.5 goals24%
Goals range — 0-1 goals24%
Over 4.5 goals13%
BTTS Yes + Under 2.513%
Under 0.5 goals8%
Over 5.5 goals6%
Goals range — 7+ goals2%
Score & marginProbOddsEdge
Elche CF to score 039%
FC Barcelona clean sheet39%
Elche CF to score 137%
Both score no draw34%
FC Barcelona to score 131%
FC Barcelona win to nil31%
Winning margin — Draw27%
FC Barcelona to score 227%
FC Barcelona to score 3+25%
Winning margin — FC Barcelona by 123%
FC Barcelona to score 018%
Elche CF clean sheet18%
Elche CF to score 217%
Winning margin — FC Barcelona by 217%
Correct score 1-113%
Winning margin — Elche CF by 112%
Correct score 0-110%
Correct score 0-210%
Correct score 1-210%
Elche CF win to nil9%
Winning margin — FC Barcelona by 39%
Correct score 0-08%
Elche CF to score 3+7%
Correct score 0-36%
Correct score 1-36%
Correct score 2-15%
Winning margin — Elche CF by 25%
Correct score 1-05%
Correct score 2-25%
Winning margin — FC Barcelona by 44%
Winning margin — FC Barcelona by 5+2%
Winning margin — Elche CF by 31%
Winning margin — Elche CF by 40%
Winning margin — Elche CF by 5+0%
HalvesProbOddsEdge
1st Half Under 2.5 goals88%
1st Half Over 0.5 goals70%
FC Barcelona to win either half67%
1st Half Under 1.5 goals66%
Half with most goals — 2nd43%
1st Half result — FC Barcelona41%
1st Half result — Draw41%
HT/FT FC Barcelona / FC Barcelona35%
Elche CF to win either half34%
1st Half Over 1.5 goals34%
FC Barcelona to score in both halves33%
Half with most goals — 1st31%
1st Half Under 0.5 goals30%
Half with most goals — Equal26%
1st Half result — Elche CF19%
FC Barcelona to win both halves18%
HT/FT Draw / FC Barcelona18%
HT/FT Draw / Draw15%
Elche CF to score in both halves14%
1st Half Over 2.5 goals12%
HT/FT Elche CF / Elche CF11%
HT/FT Draw / Elche CF8%
HT/FT FC Barcelona / Draw5%
HT/FT Elche CF / Draw5%
Elche CF to win both halves4%
HT/FT Elche CF / FC Barcelona3%
HT/FT FC Barcelona / Elche CF1%
HandicapsProbOddsEdge
Handicap — FC Barcelona -2.598%
Handicap — FC Barcelona -1.593%
Handicap — Elche CF +2.586%
Handicap — FC Barcelona -0.581%
Handicap — Elche CF +1.569%
Handicap — FC Barcelona +0.555%
Handicap — Elche CF +0.546%
Handicap — FC Barcelona +1.531%
Handicap — Elche CF -0.519%
Handicap — FC Barcelona +2.514%
Handicap — Elche CF -1.57%
Handicap — Elche CF -2.52%