Club Atlético de Madrid v Villarreal CF
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Club Atlético de Madrid v Villarreal CF
Recommended bet
Over 1.5 goals
Total goals
De-vigged fair price from the marketLow
Win probability76%
Implied (with margin)76%
Model edge—
Odds1.31 3/10
Crowd odds — Polymarket
Club Atlético de Madrid52%
Draw26%
Villarreal CF23%
All markets
Match winnerProbOddsEdge
Match Winner — Club Atlético de Madrid45%1.92—
Match Winner — Draw28%3.92—
Match Winner — Villarreal CF27%4.75—
GoalsProbOddsEdge
Over 2.5 goals50%2.10—
Under 2.5 goals50%1.86—
Model-only estimates · 101 markets
Match winnerProbOddsEdge
Double chance — Club Atlético de Madrid or Draw73%——
Double chance — Club Atlético de Madrid or Villarreal CF72%——
Draw no bet — Club Atlético de Madrid63%——
Double chance — Villarreal CF or Draw55%——
Club Atlético de Madrid to win45%——
Draw no bet — Villarreal CF37%——
Draw29%——
Villarreal CF to win27%——
GoalsProbOddsEdge
Under 5.5 goals95%——
Over 0.5 goals92%——
Under 4.5 goals87%——
Over 1.5 goals76%——
Under 3.5 goals72%——
BTTS — Yes55%——
Over 2.5 goals50%——
Under 2.5 goals50%——
Goals range — 2-3 goals48%——
BTTS — No45%——
BTTS Yes + Over 2.541%——
Over 3.5 goals28%——
Goals range — 4-6 goals26%——
Under 1.5 goals24%——
Goals range — 0-1 goals24%——
BTTS Yes + Under 2.514%——
Over 4.5 goals13%——
Under 0.5 goals8%——
Over 5.5 goals6%——
Goals range — 7+ goals2%——
Score & marginProbOddsEdge
Villarreal CF to score 137%——
Both score no draw35%——
Club Atlético de Madrid to score 133%——
Villarreal CF to score 032%——
Club Atlético de Madrid clean sheet32%——
Winning margin — Draw29%——
Club Atlético de Madrid to score 225%——
Club Atlético de Madrid win to nil24%——
Winning margin — Club Atlético de Madrid by 121%——
Club Atlético de Madrid to score 021%——
Villarreal CF clean sheet21%——
Villarreal CF to score 221%——
Club Atlético de Madrid to score 3+20%——
Winning margin — Villarreal CF by 115%——
Winning margin — Club Atlético de Madrid by 214%——
Correct score 1-114%——
Villarreal CF win to nil13%——
Villarreal CF to score 3+11%——
Correct score 2-19%——
Correct score 1-09%——
Correct score 0-08%——
Correct score 2-08%——
Winning margin — Villarreal CF by 28%——
Correct score 1-27%——
Winning margin — Club Atlético de Madrid by 36%——
Correct score 0-16%——
Correct score 2-25%——
Correct score 3-15%——
Correct score 0-25%——
Winning margin — Villarreal CF by 33%——
Winning margin — Club Atlético de Madrid by 42%——
Winning margin — Club Atlético de Madrid by 5+1%——
Winning margin — Villarreal CF by 41%——
Winning margin — Villarreal CF by 5+0%——
HalvesProbOddsEdge
1st Half Under 2.5 goals88%——
1st Half Over 0.5 goals70%——
1st Half Under 1.5 goals66%——
Club Atlético de Madrid to win either half60%——
Half with most goals — 2nd43%——
Villarreal CF to win either half43%——
1st Half result — Draw42%——
1st Half result — Club Atlético de Madrid35%——
1st Half Over 1.5 goals34%——
Half with most goals — 1st31%——
1st Half Under 0.5 goals30%——
Club Atlético de Madrid to score in both halves29%——
HT/FT Club Atlético de Madrid / Club Atlético de Madrid28%——
Half with most goals — Equal26%——
1st Half result — Villarreal CF24%——
Villarreal CF to score in both halves19%——
HT/FT Villarreal CF / Villarreal CF16%——
HT/FT Draw / Club Atlético de Madrid16%——
HT/FT Draw / Draw15%——
Club Atlético de Madrid to win both halves13%——
1st Half Over 2.5 goals12%——
HT/FT Draw / Villarreal CF10%——
Villarreal CF to win both halves6%——
HT/FT Villarreal CF / Draw5%——
HT/FT Club Atlético de Madrid / Draw5%——
HT/FT Villarreal CF / Club Atlético de Madrid3%——
HT/FT Club Atlético de Madrid / Villarreal CF2%——
HandicapsProbOddsEdge
Handicap — Club Atlético de Madrid +2.597%——
Handicap — Villarreal CF -2.591%——
Handicap — Club Atlético de Madrid +1.589%——
Handicap — Villarreal CF -1.577%——
Handicap — Club Atlético de Madrid +0.573%——
Handicap — Villarreal CF -0.555%——
Handicap — Club Atlético de Madrid -0.545%——
Handicap — Villarreal CF +0.527%——
Handicap — Club Atlético de Madrid -1.524%——
Handicap — Villarreal CF +1.511%——
Handicap — Club Atlético de Madrid -2.510%——
Handicap — Villarreal CF +2.53%——