Club Atlético de Madrid v Villarreal CF
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Football·Primera Division· 2026-08-23 · 15:00

Club Atlético de Madrid v Villarreal CF

Recommended bet
Over 1.5 goals
Total goals
De-vigged fair price from the marketLow
Win probability76%
Implied (with margin)76%
Model edge
Odds1.32 3/10
All markets
Model-only estimates · 148 markets
Match winnerProbOddsEdge
Double chance — Club Atlético de Madrid or Draw74%
Double chance — Club Atlético de Madrid or Villarreal CF71%
Draw no bet — Club Atlético de Madrid63%
Double chance — Villarreal CF or Draw55%
Club Atlético de Madrid to win45%
Draw no bet — Villarreal CF37%
Draw29%
Villarreal CF to win27%
GoalsProbOddsEdge
Under 5.5 goals95%
Over 0.5 goals92%
Under 4.5 goals87%
Over 1.5 goals76%
Under 3.5 goals72%
BTTS — Yes55%
Under 2.5 goals50%
Over 2.5 goals50%
Goals range — 2-3 goals48%
BTTS — No45%
BTTS Yes + Over 2.541%
Over 3.5 goals28%
Goals range — 4-6 goals26%
Under 1.5 goals24%
Goals range — 0-1 goals24%
BTTS Yes + Under 2.514%
Over 4.5 goals13%
Under 0.5 goals9%
Over 5.5 goals5%
Goals range — 7+ goals2%
Score & marginProbOddsEdge
Villarreal CF to score 137%
Both score no draw35%
Club Atlético de Madrid to score 133%
Villarreal CF to score 032%
Club Atlético de Madrid clean sheet32%
Winning margin — Draw29%
Club Atlético de Madrid to score 225%
Club Atlético de Madrid win to nil24%
Club Atlético de Madrid to score 022%
Villarreal CF clean sheet22%
Winning margin — Club Atlético de Madrid by 122%
Villarreal CF to score 221%
Club Atlético de Madrid to score 3+20%
Winning margin — Villarreal CF by 115%
Winning margin — Club Atlético de Madrid by 214%
Correct score 1-114%
Villarreal CF win to nil13%
Villarreal CF to score 3+11%
Correct score 2-19%
Correct score 1-09%
Correct score 0-09%
Correct score 2-08%
Winning margin — Villarreal CF by 28%
Correct score 1-27%
Correct score 0-16%
Winning margin — Club Atlético de Madrid by 36%
Correct score 2-25%
Correct score 3-15%
Correct score 0-25%
Winning margin — Villarreal CF by 33%
Winning margin — Club Atlético de Madrid by 42%
Winning margin — Club Atlético de Madrid by 5+1%
Winning margin — Villarreal CF by 41%
Winning margin — Villarreal CF by 5+0%
HalvesProbOddsEdge
1st Half Under 2.5 goals88%
1st Half Over 0.5 goals70%
1st Half Under 1.5 goals66%
Club Atlético de Madrid to win either half60%
Half with most goals — 2nd43%
Villarreal CF to win either half43%
1st Half result — Draw42%
1st Half result — Club Atlético de Madrid35%
1st Half Over 1.5 goals34%
Half with most goals — 1st31%
1st Half Under 0.5 goals30%
Club Atlético de Madrid to score in both halves28%
HT/FT Club Atlético de Madrid / Club Atlético de Madrid28%
Half with most goals — Equal26%
1st Half result — Villarreal CF23%
Villarreal CF to score in both halves19%
HT/FT Draw / Club Atlético de Madrid16%
HT/FT Villarreal CF / Villarreal CF16%
HT/FT Draw / Draw15%
Club Atlético de Madrid to win both halves13%
1st Half Over 2.5 goals12%
HT/FT Draw / Villarreal CF11%
Villarreal CF to win both halves6%
HT/FT Villarreal CF / Draw5%
HT/FT Club Atlético de Madrid / Draw5%
HT/FT Villarreal CF / Club Atlético de Madrid3%
HT/FT Club Atlético de Madrid / Villarreal CF2%
HandicapsProbOddsEdge
Handicap — Club Atlético de Madrid +2.597%
Handicap — Villarreal CF -2.591%
Handicap — Club Atlético de Madrid +1.589%
Handicap — Villarreal CF -1.577%
Handicap — Club Atlético de Madrid +0.574%
Handicap — Villarreal CF -0.555%
Handicap — Club Atlético de Madrid -0.545%
Handicap — Villarreal CF +0.527%
Handicap — Club Atlético de Madrid -1.524%
Handicap — Villarreal CF +1.511%
Handicap — Club Atlético de Madrid -2.59%
Handicap — Villarreal CF +2.53%
CardsProbOddsEdge
Over 2.5 cards85%
Under 6.5 cards80%
Over 3.5 cards69%
Under 5.5 cards67%
Over 4.5 cards51%
Most cards — Villarreal CF50%
Under 4.5 cards49%
Over 5.5 cards33%
Most cards — Club Atlético de Madrid32%
Under 3.5 cards31%
Over 6.5 cards20%
Any red card19%
Most cards — Tie19%
Under 2.5 cards15%
Villarreal CF expected cards3%
Club Atlético de Madrid expected cards2%
2+ red cards2%
CornersProbOddsEdge
Over 7.5 corners83%
Over 8.5 corners74%
Under 12.5 corners73%
Most corners — Club Atlético de Madrid71%
Over 9.5 corners62%
Under 11.5 corners62%
Under 10.5 corners50%
Over 10.5 corners50%
Over 11.5 corners38%
Under 9.5 corners38%
Over 12.5 corners28%
Under 8.5 corners26%
Most corners — Villarreal CF19%
Under 7.5 corners17%
Club Atlético de Madrid expected corners6%
Villarreal CF expected corners4%
FoulsProbOddsEdge
Over 19.5 fouls71%
Under 24.5 fouls70%
Over 20.5 fouls63%
Under 23.5 fouls62%
Under 22.5 fouls54%
Over 21.5 fouls54%
Most fouls — Villarreal CF49%
Under 21.5 fouls46%
Over 22.5 fouls46%
Most fouls — Club Atlético de Madrid43%
Over 23.5 fouls38%
Under 20.5 fouls37%
Over 24.5 fouls30%
Under 19.5 fouls29%