Football·Primera Division· 2026-08-21 · 19:00

Real Betis Balompié v Real Sociedad de Fútbol

Recommended bet

Over 1.5 goals

Total goals

De-vigged fair price from the marketLow

Win probability76%

Implied (with margin)76%

Model edge—

Odds1.31 3/10

Crowd odds — Polymarket

Real Betis Balompié47%

Draw28%

Real Sociedad de Fútbol26%

$60,878 liquidity · $1,928 traded · data from Polymarket

All markets

Match winnerProbOddsEdge

Match Winner — Real Betis Balompié46%3.71—

Match Winner — Draw28%3.51—

GoalsProbOddsEdge

Over 2.5 goals50%2.25—

Under 2.5 goals50%1.75—

Model-only estimates · 101 markets

Match winnerProbOddsEdge

Double chance — Real Betis Balompié or Draw74%——

Double chance — Real Betis Balompié or Real Sociedad de Fútbol72%——

Draw no bet — Real Betis Balompié64%——

Double chance — Real Sociedad de Fútbol or Draw54%——

Real Betis Balompié to win46%——

Draw no bet — Real Sociedad de Fútbol36%——

Draw28%——

Real Sociedad de Fútbol to win26%——

GoalsProbOddsEdge

Under 5.5 goals95%——

Over 0.5 goals92%——

Under 4.5 goals87%——

Over 1.5 goals76%——

Under 3.5 goals72%——

BTTS — Yes55%——

Over 2.5 goals50%——

Under 2.5 goals50%——

Goals range — 2-3 goals48%——

BTTS — No45%——

BTTS Yes + Over 2.541%——

Over 3.5 goals28%——

Goals range — 4-6 goals26%——

Under 1.5 goals24%——

Goals range — 0-1 goals24%——

BTTS Yes + Under 2.514%——

Over 4.5 goals13%——

Under 0.5 goals8%——

Over 5.5 goals6%——

Goals range — 7+ goals2%——

Score & marginProbOddsEdge

Real Sociedad de Fútbol to score 137%——

Both score no draw35%——

Real Betis Balompié to score 133%——

Real Sociedad de Fútbol to score 032%——

Real Betis Balompié clean sheet32%——

Winning margin — Draw28%——

Real Betis Balompié to score 226%——

Real Betis Balompié win to nil24%——

Winning margin — Real Betis Balompié by 122%——

Real Betis Balompié to score 021%——

Real Sociedad de Fútbol clean sheet21%——

Real Sociedad de Fútbol to score 221%——

Real Betis Balompié to score 3+21%——

Winning margin — Real Sociedad de Fútbol by 115%——

Winning margin — Real Betis Balompié by 214%——

Correct score 1-114%——

Real Sociedad de Fútbol win to nil13%——

Real Sociedad de Fútbol to score 3+11%——

Correct score 2-19%——

Correct score 1-09%——

Correct score 0-08%——

Correct score 2-08%——

Winning margin — Real Sociedad de Fútbol by 28%——

Correct score 1-27%——

Winning margin — Real Betis Balompié by 37%——

Correct score 0-16%——

Correct score 2-25%——

Correct score 3-15%——

Correct score 0-24%——

Winning margin — Real Sociedad de Fútbol by 33%——

Winning margin — Real Betis Balompié by 42%——

Winning margin — Real Betis Balompié by 5+1%——

Winning margin — Real Sociedad de Fútbol by 41%——

Winning margin — Real Sociedad de Fútbol by 5+0%——

HalvesProbOddsEdge

1st Half Under 2.5 goals88%——

1st Half Over 0.5 goals70%——

1st Half Under 1.5 goals66%——

Real Betis Balompié to win either half60%——

Half with most goals — 2nd43%——

Real Sociedad de Fútbol to win either half42%——

1st Half result — Draw42%——

1st Half result — Real Betis Balompié35%——

1st Half Over 1.5 goals34%——

Half with most goals — 1st31%——

1st Half Under 0.5 goals30%——

Real Betis Balompié to score in both halves29%——

HT/FT Real Betis Balompié / Real Betis Balompié29%——

Half with most goals — Equal26%——

1st Half result — Real Sociedad de Fútbol23%——

Real Sociedad de Fútbol to score in both halves18%——

HT/FT Draw / Real Betis Balompié16%——

HT/FT Real Sociedad de Fútbol / Real Sociedad de Fútbol16%——

HT/FT Draw / Draw15%——

Real Betis Balompié to win both halves14%——

1st Half Over 2.5 goals12%——

HT/FT Draw / Real Sociedad de Fútbol10%——

Real Sociedad de Fútbol to win both halves6%——

HT/FT Real Sociedad de Fútbol / Draw5%——

HT/FT Real Betis Balompié / Draw5%——

HT/FT Real Sociedad de Fútbol / Real Betis Balompié3%——

HT/FT Real Betis Balompié / Real Sociedad de Fútbol2%——

HandicapsProbOddsEdge

Handicap — Real Betis Balompié +2.597%——

Handicap — Real Sociedad de Fútbol -2.590%——

Handicap — Real Betis Balompié +1.589%——

Handicap — Real Sociedad de Fútbol -1.576%——

Handicap — Real Betis Balompié +0.574%——

Handicap — Real Sociedad de Fútbol -0.554%——

Handicap — Real Betis Balompié -0.546%——

Handicap — Real Sociedad de Fútbol +0.526%——

Handicap — Real Betis Balompié -1.524%——

Handicap — Real Sociedad de Fútbol +1.511%——

Handicap — Real Betis Balompié -2.510%——

Handicap — Real Sociedad de Fútbol +2.53%——