Deportivo Alavés v Villarreal CF
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Football·Primera Division· 2026-08-28 · 19:30

Deportivo Alavés v Villarreal CF

Recommended bet
Over 1.5 goals
Total goals
De-vigged fair price from the marketLow
Win probability76%
Implied (with margin)76%
Model edge
Odds1.31 3/10
All markets
Model-only estimates · 101 markets
Match winnerProbOddsEdge
Double chance — Deportivo Alavés or Villarreal CF71%
Double chance — Villarreal CF or Draw69%
Double chance — Deportivo Alavés or Draw60%
Draw no bet — Villarreal CF56%
Draw no bet — Deportivo Alavés44%
Villarreal CF to win40%
Deportivo Alavés to win31%
Draw29%
GoalsProbOddsEdge
Under 5.5 goals95%
Over 0.5 goals91%
Under 4.5 goals87%
Over 1.5 goals76%
Under 3.5 goals72%
BTTS — Yes56%
Under 2.5 goals50%
Over 2.5 goals50%
Goals range — 2-3 goals48%
BTTS — No44%
BTTS Yes + Over 2.542%
Over 3.5 goals28%
Goals range — 4-6 goals26%
Under 1.5 goals24%
Goals range — 0-1 goals24%
BTTS Yes + Under 2.514%
Over 4.5 goals13%
Under 0.5 goals9%
Over 5.5 goals5%
Goals range — 7+ goals2%
Score & marginProbOddsEdge
Deportivo Alavés to score 136%
Both score no draw35%
Villarreal CF to score 134%
Winning margin — Draw29%
Deportivo Alavés to score 029%
Villarreal CF clean sheet29%
Villarreal CF to score 224%
Villarreal CF to score 024%
Deportivo Alavés clean sheet24%
Deportivo Alavés to score 222%
Villarreal CF win to nil20%
Winning margin — Villarreal CF by 120%
Winning margin — Deportivo Alavés by 117%
Villarreal CF to score 3+17%
Deportivo Alavés win to nil16%
Correct score 1-114%
Deportivo Alavés to score 3+13%
Winning margin — Villarreal CF by 212%
Winning margin — Deportivo Alavés by 29%
Correct score 1-29%
Correct score 0-09%
Correct score 0-18%
Correct score 2-18%
Correct score 1-07%
Correct score 0-27%
Correct score 2-25%
Correct score 2-05%
Winning margin — Villarreal CF by 35%
Correct score 1-34%
Winning margin — Deportivo Alavés by 33%
Winning margin — Villarreal CF by 42%
Winning margin — Deportivo Alavés by 41%
Winning margin — Villarreal CF by 5+1%
Winning margin — Deportivo Alavés by 5+0%
HalvesProbOddsEdge
1st Half Under 2.5 goals88%
1st Half Over 0.5 goals70%
1st Half Under 1.5 goals66%
Villarreal CF to win either half55%
Deportivo Alavés to win either half47%
Half with most goals — 2nd43%
1st Half result — Draw42%
1st Half Over 1.5 goals34%
1st Half result — Villarreal CF32%
Half with most goals — 1st31%
1st Half Under 0.5 goals30%
1st Half result — Deportivo Alavés27%
Half with most goals — Equal26%
Villarreal CF to score in both halves26%
HT/FT Villarreal CF / Villarreal CF24%
Deportivo Alavés to score in both halves21%
HT/FT Deportivo Alavés / Deportivo Alavés19%
HT/FT Draw / Draw16%
HT/FT Draw / Villarreal CF14%
1st Half Over 2.5 goals12%
HT/FT Draw / Deportivo Alavés12%
Villarreal CF to win both halves11%
Deportivo Alavés to win both halves8%
HT/FT Villarreal CF / Draw5%
HT/FT Deportivo Alavés / Draw5%
HT/FT Deportivo Alavés / Villarreal CF2%
HT/FT Villarreal CF / Deportivo Alavés2%
HandicapsProbOddsEdge
Handicap — Villarreal CF -2.595%
Handicap — Deportivo Alavés +2.593%
Handicap — Villarreal CF -1.586%
Handicap — Deportivo Alavés +1.581%
Handicap — Villarreal CF -0.569%
Handicap — Deportivo Alavés +0.560%
Handicap — Villarreal CF +0.540%
Handicap — Deportivo Alavés -0.531%
Handicap — Villarreal CF +1.520%
Handicap — Deportivo Alavés -1.514%
Handicap — Villarreal CF +2.57%
Handicap — Deportivo Alavés -2.55%