Real Madrid CF v Málaga CF
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Football·Primera Division· 2026-08-30 · 15:00

Real Madrid CF v Málaga CF

Recommended bet
Real Madrid CF or Draw
Double chance
De-vigged fair price from the marketLow
Win probability89%
Implied (with margin)89%
Model edge
Odds1.13 1/8
All markets
Match winnerProbOddsEdge
Match Winner — Real Madrid CF66%1.34
Match Winner — Draw23%5.63
Match Winner — Málaga CF11%12.50
GoalsProbOddsEdge
Over 2.5 goals50%1.86
Under 2.5 goals50%2.10
Model-only estimates · 101 markets
Match winnerProbOddsEdge
Double chance — Real Madrid CF or Draw89%
Draw no bet — Real Madrid CF85%
Double chance — Real Madrid CF or Málaga CF77%
Real Madrid CF to win66%
Double chance — Málaga CF or Draw34%
Draw23%
Draw no bet — Málaga CF15%
Málaga CF to win11%
GoalsProbOddsEdge
Under 5.5 goals95%
Over 0.5 goals92%
Under 4.5 goals87%
Over 1.5 goals76%
Under 3.5 goals72%
BTTS — No55%
Over 2.5 goals50%
Under 2.5 goals50%
Goals range — 2-3 goals48%
BTTS — Yes45%
BTTS Yes + Over 2.534%
Over 3.5 goals28%
Goals range — 4-6 goals26%
Under 1.5 goals24%
Goals range — 0-1 goals24%
Over 4.5 goals13%
BTTS Yes + Under 2.511%
Under 0.5 goals8%
Over 5.5 goals6%
Goals range — 7+ goals2%
Score & marginProbOddsEdge
Málaga CF to score 049%
Real Madrid CF clean sheet49%
Real Madrid CF win to nil41%
Málaga CF to score 135%
Real Madrid CF to score 3+31%
Both score no draw30%
Real Madrid CF to score 128%
Real Madrid CF to score 227%
Winning margin — Real Madrid CF by 124%
Winning margin — Draw23%
Winning margin — Real Madrid CF by 221%
Real Madrid CF to score 014%
Málaga CF clean sheet14%
Correct score 2-013%
Málaga CF to score 212%
Correct score 1-012%
Winning margin — Real Madrid CF by 312%
Correct score 1-111%
Correct score 2-19%
Correct score 3-09%
Correct score 0-08%
Winning margin — Málaga CF by 18%
Correct score 3-16%
Málaga CF win to nil6%
Winning margin — Real Madrid CF by 46%
Correct score 4-04%
Correct score 0-14%
Málaga CF to score 3+4%
Correct score 1-23%
Winning margin — Real Madrid CF by 5+3%
Winning margin — Málaga CF by 23%
Winning margin — Málaga CF by 31%
Winning margin — Málaga CF by 40%
Winning margin — Málaga CF by 5+0%
HalvesProbOddsEdge
1st Half Under 2.5 goals88%
Real Madrid CF to win either half76%
1st Half Over 0.5 goals70%
1st Half Under 1.5 goals66%
1st Half result — Real Madrid CF48%
HT/FT Real Madrid CF / Real Madrid CF44%
Half with most goals — 2nd43%
1st Half result — Draw39%
Real Madrid CF to score in both halves39%
1st Half Over 1.5 goals34%
Half with most goals — 1st31%
1st Half Under 0.5 goals30%
Half with most goals — Equal26%
Real Madrid CF to win both halves26%
Málaga CF to win either half24%
HT/FT Draw / Real Madrid CF21%
HT/FT Draw / Draw13%
1st Half result — Málaga CF13%
1st Half Over 2.5 goals12%
Málaga CF to score in both halves9%
HT/FT Málaga CF / Málaga CF7%
HT/FT Draw / Málaga CF5%
HT/FT Málaga CF / Draw4%
HT/FT Real Madrid CF / Draw4%
HT/FT Málaga CF / Real Madrid CF3%
Málaga CF to win both halves2%
HT/FT Real Madrid CF / Málaga CF1%
HandicapsProbOddsEdge
Handicap — Real Madrid CF +2.599%
Handicap — Real Madrid CF +1.597%
Handicap — Real Madrid CF +0.589%
Handicap — Málaga CF -2.579%
Handicap — Real Madrid CF -0.566%
Handicap — Málaga CF -1.558%
Handicap — Real Madrid CF -1.542%
Handicap — Málaga CF -0.534%
Handicap — Real Madrid CF -2.521%
Handicap — Málaga CF +0.511%
Handicap — Málaga CF +1.53%
Handicap — Málaga CF +2.51%