Málaga CF v Villarreal CF
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Football·Primera Division· 2026-09-16 · 00:00

Málaga CF v Villarreal CF

Recommended bet
Over 1.5 goals
Total goals
De-vigged fair price from the marketLow
Win probability76%
Implied (with margin)76%
Model edge
Odds1.32 1/3
All markets
Model-only estimates · 101 markets
Match winnerProbOddsEdge
Double chance — Málaga CF or Villarreal CF71%
Double chance — Málaga CF or Draw67%
Double chance — Villarreal CF or Draw62%
Draw no bet — Málaga CF53%
Draw no bet — Villarreal CF47%
Málaga CF to win38%
Villarreal CF to win33%
Draw29%
GoalsProbOddsEdge
Under 5.5 goals95%
Over 0.5 goals91%
Under 4.5 goals87%
Over 1.5 goals76%
Under 3.5 goals73%
BTTS — Yes55%
Under 2.5 goals51%
Over 2.5 goals49%
Goals range — 2-3 goals48%
BTTS — No45%
BTTS Yes + Over 2.541%
Over 3.5 goals27%
Goals range — 4-6 goals26%
Under 1.5 goals24%
Goals range — 0-1 goals24%
BTTS Yes + Under 2.514%
Over 4.5 goals13%
Under 0.5 goals9%
Over 5.5 goals5%
Goals range — 7+ goals2%
Score & marginProbOddsEdge
Villarreal CF to score 136%
Málaga CF to score 135%
Both score no draw35%
Winning margin — Draw29%
Villarreal CF to score 028%
Málaga CF clean sheet28%
Málaga CF to score 025%
Villarreal CF clean sheet25%
Málaga CF to score 224%
Villarreal CF to score 223%
Winning margin — Málaga CF by 120%
Málaga CF win to nil19%
Winning margin — Villarreal CF by 118%
Villarreal CF win to nil17%
Málaga CF to score 3+16%
Correct score 1-114%
Villarreal CF to score 3+14%
Winning margin — Málaga CF by 212%
Winning margin — Villarreal CF by 210%
Correct score 0-09%
Correct score 2-19%
Correct score 1-08%
Correct score 1-28%
Correct score 0-17%
Correct score 2-07%
Correct score 0-26%
Correct score 2-25%
Winning margin — Málaga CF by 35%
Correct score 3-14%
Winning margin — Villarreal CF by 34%
Winning margin — Málaga CF by 42%
Winning margin — Villarreal CF by 41%
Winning margin — Málaga CF by 5+1%
Winning margin — Villarreal CF by 5+0%
HalvesProbOddsEdge
1st Half Under 2.5 goals89%
1st Half Over 0.5 goals69%
1st Half Under 1.5 goals68%
Málaga CF to win either half53%
Villarreal CF to win either half49%
Half with most goals — 2nd43%
1st Half result — Draw43%
1st Half Over 1.5 goals32%
1st Half Under 0.5 goals31%
Half with most goals — 1st31%
1st Half result — Málaga CF30%
1st Half result — Villarreal CF27%
Half with most goals — Equal26%
Málaga CF to score in both halves24%
HT/FT Málaga CF / Málaga CF23%
Villarreal CF to score in both halves21%
HT/FT Villarreal CF / Villarreal CF20%
HT/FT Draw / Draw16%
HT/FT Draw / Málaga CF14%
HT/FT Draw / Villarreal CF13%
1st Half Over 2.5 goals11%
Málaga CF to win both halves10%
Villarreal CF to win both halves8%
HT/FT Villarreal CF / Draw5%
HT/FT Málaga CF / Draw5%
HT/FT Villarreal CF / Málaga CF2%
HT/FT Málaga CF / Villarreal CF2%
HandicapsProbOddsEdge
Handicap — Málaga CF +2.595%
Handicap — Villarreal CF -2.593%
Handicap — Málaga CF +1.585%
Handicap — Villarreal CF -1.582%
Handicap — Málaga CF +0.567%
Handicap — Villarreal CF -0.562%
Handicap — Málaga CF -0.538%
Handicap — Villarreal CF +0.533%
Handicap — Málaga CF -1.518%
Handicap — Villarreal CF +1.515%
Handicap — Málaga CF -2.57%
Handicap — Villarreal CF +2.55%