Rayo Vallecano de Madrid v Athletic Club
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Football·Primera Division· 2026-10-10 · 12:00

Rayo Vallecano de Madrid v Athletic Club

Recommended bet
Over 1.5 goals
Total goals
De-vigged fair price from the marketLow
Win probability76%
Implied (with margin)76%
Model edge
Odds1.31 3/10
All markets
Match winnerProbOddsEdge
Match Winner — Rayo Vallecano de Madrid45%2.52
Match Winner — Draw28%3.50
Match Winner — Athletic Club27%3.15
GoalsProbOddsEdge
Over 2.5 goals50%1.97
Under 2.5 goals50%2.00
Model-only estimates · 105 markets
Match winnerProbOddsEdge
Double chance — Rayo Vallecano de Madrid or Draw73%
Double chance — Rayo Vallecano de Madrid or Athletic Club72%
Draw no bet — Rayo Vallecano de Madrid63%
Double chance — Athletic Club or Draw55%
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid to win45%
Draw no bet — Athletic Club37%
Draw28%
Athletic Club to win27%
GoalsProbOddsEdge
Under 5.5 goals95%
Over 0.5 goals92%
Under 4.5 goals87%
Over 1.5 goals76%
Under 3.5 goals72%
BTTS — Yes55%
Over 2.5 goals50%
Under 2.5 goals50%
Goals range — 2-3 goals48%
BTTS — No45%
BTTS Yes + Over 2.542%
Over 3.5 goals28%
Goals range — 4-6 goals26%
Under 1.5 goals24%
Goals range — 0-1 goals24%
BTTS Yes + Under 2.514%
Over 4.5 goals14%
Under 0.5 goals8%
Over 5.5 goals6%
Goals range — 7+ goals2%
Score & marginProbOddsEdge
Athletic Club to score 136%
Both score no draw35%
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid to score 133%
Athletic Club to score 032%
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid clean sheet32%
Winning margin — Draw28%
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid to score 225%
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win to nil24%
Winning margin — Rayo Vallecano de Madrid by 121%
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid to score 021%
Athletic Club clean sheet21%
Athletic Club to score 221%
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid to score 3+20%
Winning margin — Athletic Club by 116%
Winning margin — Rayo Vallecano de Madrid by 214%
Correct score 1-114%
Athletic Club win to nil13%
Athletic Club to score 3+11%
Correct score 2-19%
Correct score 1-09%
Correct score 0-08%
Correct score 2-08%
Winning margin — Athletic Club by 28%
Correct score 1-27%
Winning margin — Rayo Vallecano de Madrid by 36%
Correct score 0-16%
Correct score 2-25%
Correct score 3-15%
Correct score 0-25%
Winning margin — Athletic Club by 33%
Winning margin — Rayo Vallecano de Madrid by 42%
Winning margin — Rayo Vallecano de Madrid by 5+1%
Winning margin — Athletic Club by 41%
Winning margin — Athletic Club by 5+0%
HalvesProbOddsEdge
1st Half Under 2.5 goals88%
1st Half Over 0.5 goals70%
1st Half Under 1.5 goals67%
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid to win either half59%
Half with most goals — 2nd43%
Athletic Club to win either half43%
1st Half result — Draw42%
1st Half result — Rayo Vallecano de Madrid35%
1st Half Over 1.5 goals33%
Half with most goals — 1st31%
1st Half Under 0.5 goals30%
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid to score in both halves28%
HT/FT Rayo Vallecano de Madrid / Rayo Vallecano de Madrid28%
Half with most goals — Equal26%
1st Half result — Athletic Club23%
Athletic Club to score in both halves18%
HT/FT Athletic Club / Athletic Club16%
HT/FT Draw / Rayo Vallecano de Madrid16%
HT/FT Draw / Draw16%
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid to win both halves13%
1st Half Over 2.5 goals12%
HT/FT Draw / Athletic Club11%
Athletic Club to win both halves6%
HT/FT Athletic Club / Draw5%
HT/FT Rayo Vallecano de Madrid / Draw5%
HT/FT Athletic Club / Rayo Vallecano de Madrid3%
HT/FT Rayo Vallecano de Madrid / Athletic Club2%
HandicapsProbOddsEdge
Handicap — Rayo Vallecano de Madrid +2.597%
Handicap — Athletic Club -2.591%
Handicap — Rayo Vallecano de Madrid +1.589%
Handicap — Athletic Club -1.577%
Handicap — Rayo Vallecano de Madrid +0.573%
Handicap — Athletic Club -0.555%
Handicap — Rayo Vallecano de Madrid -0.545%
Handicap — Athletic Club +0.527%
Handicap — Rayo Vallecano de Madrid -1.524%
Handicap — Athletic Club +1.511%
Handicap — Rayo Vallecano de Madrid -2.510%
Handicap — Athletic Club +2.54%
GoalscorersProbOddsEdge
Anytime scorer — Sergio Camello (Rayo Vallecano de Madrid)71%
Anytime scorer — Roberto Navarro (Athletic Club)38%
Anytime scorer — Álvaro García (Rayo Vallecano de Madrid)22%
Anytime scorer — Aitor Paredes Casamichana (Athletic Club)22%