Rayo Vallecano de Madrid v Athletic Club
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Rayo Vallecano de Madrid v Athletic Club
Recommended bet
Over 1.5 goals
Total goals
De-vigged fair price from the marketLow
Win probability77%
Implied (with margin)77%
Model edge—
Odds1.30 3/10
Crowd odds — Polymarket
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid36%
Draw28%
Athletic Club37%
All markets
Match winnerProbOddsEdge
Match Winner — Rayo Vallecano de Madrid46%3.12—
Match Winner — Draw28%3.54—
Match Winner — Athletic Club26%2.52—
GoalsProbOddsEdge
Over 2.5 goals51%2.01—
Under 2.5 goals49%1.98—
Model-only estimates · 105 markets
Match winnerProbOddsEdge
Double chance — Rayo Vallecano de Madrid or Draw74%——
Double chance — Rayo Vallecano de Madrid or Athletic Club72%——
Draw no bet — Rayo Vallecano de Madrid64%——
Double chance — Athletic Club or Draw54%——
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid to win46%——
Draw no bet — Athletic Club36%——
Draw28%——
Athletic Club to win26%——
GoalsProbOddsEdge
Under 5.5 goals94%——
Over 0.5 goals92%——
Under 4.5 goals86%——
Over 1.5 goals77%——
Under 3.5 goals71%——
BTTS — Yes55%——
Over 2.5 goals51%——
Under 2.5 goals49%——
Goals range — 2-3 goals48%——
BTTS — No45%——
BTTS Yes + Over 2.542%——
Over 3.5 goals29%——
Goals range — 4-6 goals27%——
Under 1.5 goals23%——
Goals range — 0-1 goals23%——
Over 4.5 goals14%——
BTTS Yes + Under 2.514%——
Under 0.5 goals8%——
Over 5.5 goals6%——
Goals range — 7+ goals2%——
Score & marginProbOddsEdge
Athletic Club to score 137%——
Both score no draw35%——
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid to score 133%——
Athletic Club to score 033%——
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid clean sheet33%——
Winning margin — Draw28%——
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid to score 226%——
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win to nil24%——
Winning margin — Rayo Vallecano de Madrid by 122%——
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid to score 3+21%——
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid to score 021%——
Athletic Club clean sheet21%——
Athletic Club to score 221%——
Winning margin — Athletic Club by 115%——
Winning margin — Rayo Vallecano de Madrid by 215%——
Correct score 1-114%——
Athletic Club win to nil12%——
Athletic Club to score 3+11%——
Correct score 2-19%——
Correct score 1-09%——
Correct score 2-08%——
Correct score 0-08%——
Winning margin — Athletic Club by 27%——
Correct score 1-27%——
Winning margin — Rayo Vallecano de Madrid by 37%——
Correct score 0-16%——
Correct score 2-25%——
Correct score 3-15%——
Correct score 3-04%——
Winning margin — Athletic Club by 32%——
Winning margin — Rayo Vallecano de Madrid by 42%——
Winning margin — Rayo Vallecano de Madrid by 5+1%——
Winning margin — Athletic Club by 41%——
Winning margin — Athletic Club by 5+0%——
HalvesProbOddsEdge
1st Half Under 2.5 goals88%——
1st Half Over 0.5 goals70%——
1st Half Under 1.5 goals67%——
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid to win either half60%——
Half with most goals — 2nd43%——
1st Half result — Draw42%——
Athletic Club to win either half42%——
1st Half result — Rayo Vallecano de Madrid35%——
1st Half Over 1.5 goals33%——
Half with most goals — 1st31%——
1st Half Under 0.5 goals30%——
HT/FT Rayo Vallecano de Madrid / Rayo Vallecano de Madrid29%——
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid to score in both halves29%——
Half with most goals — Equal26%——
1st Half result — Athletic Club23%——
Athletic Club to score in both halves18%——
HT/FT Draw / Rayo Vallecano de Madrid16%——
HT/FT Draw / Draw16%——
HT/FT Athletic Club / Athletic Club15%——
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid to win both halves14%——
1st Half Over 2.5 goals12%——
HT/FT Draw / Athletic Club10%——
Athletic Club to win both halves6%——
HT/FT Athletic Club / Draw5%——
HT/FT Rayo Vallecano de Madrid / Draw5%——
HT/FT Athletic Club / Rayo Vallecano de Madrid3%——
HT/FT Rayo Vallecano de Madrid / Athletic Club2%——
HandicapsProbOddsEdge
Handicap — Rayo Vallecano de Madrid +2.597%——
Handicap — Athletic Club -2.590%——
Handicap — Rayo Vallecano de Madrid +1.589%——
Handicap — Athletic Club -1.575%——
Handicap — Rayo Vallecano de Madrid +0.574%——
Handicap — Athletic Club -0.554%——
Handicap — Rayo Vallecano de Madrid -0.546%——
Handicap — Athletic Club +0.526%——
Handicap — Rayo Vallecano de Madrid -1.525%——
Handicap — Athletic Club +1.511%——
Handicap — Rayo Vallecano de Madrid -2.510%——
Handicap — Athletic Club +2.53%——
GoalscorersProbOddsEdge
Anytime scorer — Sergio Camello (Rayo Vallecano de Madrid)63%——
Anytime scorer — Álvaro García (Rayo Vallecano de Madrid)25%——
Anytime scorer — Roberto Navarro (Athletic Club)24%——
Anytime scorer — Aitor Paredes Casamichana (Athletic Club)13%——