Deportivo Alavés v Club Atlético de Madrid
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Deportivo Alavés v Club Atlético de Madrid
Recommended bet
Over 1.5 goals
Total goals
De-vigged fair price from the marketLow
Win probability77%
Implied (with margin)77%
Model edge—
Odds1.30 3/10
Crowd odds — Polymarket
Deportivo Alavés21%
Draw26%
Club Atlético de Madrid53%
All markets
Match winnerProbOddsEdge
Match Winner — Deportivo Alavés45%4.60—
Match Winner — Draw28%3.85—
Match Winner — Club Atlético de Madrid27%1.91—
GoalsProbOddsEdge
Over 2.5 goals51%1.91—
Under 2.5 goals49%2.03—
Model-only estimates · 109 markets
Match winnerProbOddsEdge
Double chance — Deportivo Alavés or Draw73%——
Double chance — Deportivo Alavés or Club Atlético de Madrid72%——
Draw no bet — Deportivo Alavés62%——
Double chance — Club Atlético de Madrid or Draw55%——
Deportivo Alavés to win45%——
Draw no bet — Club Atlético de Madrid38%——
Draw28%——
Club Atlético de Madrid to win27%——
GoalsProbOddsEdge
Under 5.5 goals94%——
Over 0.5 goals92%——
Under 4.5 goals86%——
Over 1.5 goals77%——
Under 3.5 goals71%——
BTTS — Yes56%——
Over 2.5 goals51%——
Under 2.5 goals49%——
Goals range — 2-3 goals48%——
BTTS — No44%——
BTTS Yes + Over 2.543%——
Over 3.5 goals29%——
Goals range — 4-6 goals27%——
Under 1.5 goals23%——
Goals range — 0-1 goals23%——
Over 4.5 goals14%——
BTTS Yes + Under 2.514%——
Under 0.5 goals8%——
Over 5.5 goals6%——
Goals range — 7+ goals2%——
Score & marginProbOddsEdge
Club Atlético de Madrid to score 136%——
Both score no draw36%——
Deportivo Alavés to score 133%——
Club Atlético de Madrid to score 031%——
Deportivo Alavés clean sheet31%——
Winning margin — Draw28%——
Deportivo Alavés to score 226%——
Deportivo Alavés win to nil23%——
Club Atlético de Madrid to score 221%——
Winning margin — Deportivo Alavés by 121%——
Deportivo Alavés to score 021%——
Club Atlético de Madrid clean sheet21%——
Deportivo Alavés to score 3+21%——
Winning margin — Club Atlético de Madrid by 116%——
Winning margin — Deportivo Alavés by 214%——
Correct score 1-114%——
Club Atlético de Madrid win to nil13%——
Club Atlético de Madrid to score 3+12%——
Correct score 2-19%——
Correct score 1-09%——
Correct score 0-08%——
Correct score 2-08%——
Winning margin — Club Atlético de Madrid by 28%——
Correct score 1-27%——
Winning margin — Deportivo Alavés by 36%——
Correct score 0-16%——
Correct score 2-25%——
Correct score 3-15%——
Correct score 0-25%——
Winning margin — Club Atlético de Madrid by 33%——
Winning margin — Deportivo Alavés by 42%——
Winning margin — Deportivo Alavés by 5+1%——
Winning margin — Club Atlético de Madrid by 41%——
Winning margin — Club Atlético de Madrid by 5+0%——
HalvesProbOddsEdge
1st Half Under 2.5 goals87%——
1st Half Over 0.5 goals71%——
1st Half Under 1.5 goals65%——
Deportivo Alavés to win either half60%——
Half with most goals — 2nd44%——
Club Atlético de Madrid to win either half44%——
1st Half result — Draw41%——
1st Half Over 1.5 goals35%——
1st Half result — Deportivo Alavés35%——
Half with most goals — 1st31%——
Deportivo Alavés to score in both halves29%——
1st Half Under 0.5 goals29%——
HT/FT Deportivo Alavés / Deportivo Alavés28%——
Half with most goals — Equal25%——
1st Half result — Club Atlético de Madrid24%——
Club Atlético de Madrid to score in both halves20%——
HT/FT Club Atlético de Madrid / Club Atlético de Madrid16%——
HT/FT Draw / Deportivo Alavés16%——
HT/FT Draw / Draw15%——
Deportivo Alavés to win both halves13%——
1st Half Over 2.5 goals13%——
HT/FT Draw / Club Atlético de Madrid11%——
Club Atlético de Madrid to win both halves6%——
HT/FT Club Atlético de Madrid / Draw5%——
HT/FT Deportivo Alavés / Draw5%——
HT/FT Club Atlético de Madrid / Deportivo Alavés3%——
HT/FT Deportivo Alavés / Club Atlético de Madrid2%——
HandicapsProbOddsEdge
Handicap — Deportivo Alavés +2.596%——
Handicap — Club Atlético de Madrid -2.591%——
Handicap — Deportivo Alavés +1.588%——
Handicap — Club Atlético de Madrid -1.577%——
Handicap — Deportivo Alavés +0.573%——
Handicap — Club Atlético de Madrid -0.555%——
Handicap — Deportivo Alavés -0.545%——
Handicap — Club Atlético de Madrid +0.527%——
Handicap — Deportivo Alavés -1.524%——
Handicap — Club Atlético de Madrid +1.512%——
Handicap — Deportivo Alavés -2.510%——
Handicap — Club Atlético de Madrid +2.54%——
GoalscorersProbOddsEdge
Anytime scorer — Jonathan David (Club Atlético de Madrid)53%——
Anytime scorer — Lucas Boyé (Deportivo Alavés)49%——
Anytime scorer — Álex Baena (Club Atlético de Madrid)44%——
Anytime scorer — Mariano Díaz (Deportivo Alavés)35%——
Anytime scorer — Mikel Rodríguez (Deportivo Alavés)29%——
Anytime scorer — Kang-in Lee (Club Atlético de Madrid)25%——
Anytime scorer — Giuliano Simeone (Club Atlético de Madrid)25%——
Anytime scorer — Nahuel Tenaglia (Deportivo Alavés)13%——