Real Madrid CF v Villarreal CF
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Real Madrid CF v Villarreal CF
Recommended bet
Real Madrid CF or Draw
Double chance
De-vigged fair price from the marketLow
Win probability84%
Implied (with margin)84%
Model edge—
Odds1.19 2/11
All markets
Match winnerProbOddsEdge
Match Winner — Real Madrid CF60%4.00—
Match Winner — Villarreal CF60%1.95—
Match Winner — Draw24%3.96—
GoalsProbOddsEdge
Over 2.5 goals54%1.71—
Under 2.5 goals46%2.32—
Over 2.75 goals—1.82—
Under 2.75 goals—2.03—
Model-only estimates · 156 markets
Match winnerProbOddsEdge
Double chance — Real Madrid CF or Draw84%——
Draw no bet — Real Madrid CF79%——
Double chance — Real Madrid CF or Villarreal CF76%——
Real Madrid CF to win60%——
Double chance — Villarreal CF or Draw40%——
Draw24%——
Draw no bet — Villarreal CF21%——
Villarreal CF to win16%——
GoalsProbOddsEdge
Under 5.5 goals93%——
Over 0.5 goals93%——
Under 4.5 goals84%——
Over 1.5 goals79%——
Under 3.5 goals69%——
Over 2.5 goals54%——
BTTS — Yes52%——
BTTS — No48%——
Goals range — 2-3 goals47%——
Under 2.5 goals46%——
BTTS Yes + Over 2.541%——
Over 3.5 goals32%——
Goals range — 4-6 goals29%——
Under 1.5 goals21%——
Goals range — 0-1 goals21%——
Over 4.5 goals16%——
BTTS Yes + Under 2.512%——
Under 0.5 goals7%——
Over 5.5 goals7%——
Goals range — 7+ goals3%——
Score & marginProbOddsEdge
Villarreal CF to score 040%——
Real Madrid CF clean sheet40%——
Villarreal CF to score 137%——
Both score no draw35%——
Real Madrid CF win to nil33%——
Real Madrid CF to score 3+30%——
Real Madrid CF to score 128%——
Real Madrid CF to score 227%——
Winning margin — Draw24%——
Winning margin — Real Madrid CF by 123%——
Winning margin — Real Madrid CF by 219%——
Villarreal CF to score 217%——
Real Madrid CF to score 015%——
Villarreal CF clean sheet15%——
Correct score 1-112%——
Correct score 2-011%——
Winning margin — Real Madrid CF by 311%——
Winning margin — Villarreal CF by 110%——
Correct score 1-010%——
Correct score 2-110%——
Villarreal CF win to nil7%——
Correct score 0-07%——
Correct score 3-07%——
Villarreal CF to score 3+6%——
Correct score 3-16%——
Correct score 1-25%——
Winning margin — Real Madrid CF by 45%——
Correct score 2-25%——
Winning margin — Villarreal CF by 24%——
Correct score 0-14%——
Winning margin — Real Madrid CF by 5+2%——
Winning margin — Villarreal CF by 31%——
Winning margin — Villarreal CF by 40%——
Winning margin — Villarreal CF by 5+0%——
HalvesProbOddsEdge
1st Half Under 2.5 goals83%——
1st Half Over 0.5 goals76%——
Real Madrid CF to win either half74%——
1st Half Under 1.5 goals59%——
1st Half result — Real Madrid CF47%——
Half with most goals — 2nd45%——
Real Madrid CF to score in both halves42%——
HT/FT Real Madrid CF / Real Madrid CF41%——
1st Half Over 1.5 goals41%——
1st Half result — Draw36%——
Half with most goals — 1st32%——
Villarreal CF to win either half32%——
1st Half Under 0.5 goals24%——
Real Madrid CF to win both halves24%——
Half with most goals — Equal23%——
HT/FT Draw / Real Madrid CF19%——
1st Half result — Villarreal CF17%——
1st Half Over 2.5 goals17%——
Villarreal CF to score in both halves16%——
HT/FT Draw / Draw11%——
HT/FT Villarreal CF / Villarreal CF9%——
HT/FT Draw / Villarreal CF6%——
HT/FT Villarreal CF / Draw4%——
HT/FT Real Madrid CF / Draw4%——
HT/FT Villarreal CF / Real Madrid CF3%——
Villarreal CF to win both halves3%——
HT/FT Real Madrid CF / Villarreal CF1%——
HandicapsProbOddsEdge
Handicap — Real Madrid CF +2.599%——
Handicap — Real Madrid CF +1.594%——
Handicap — Real Madrid CF +0.584%——
Handicap — Villarreal CF -2.582%——
Handicap — Villarreal CF -1.564%——
Handicap — Real Madrid CF -0.560%——
Handicap — Villarreal CF -0.540%——
Handicap — Real Madrid CF -1.537%——
Handicap — Real Madrid CF -2.518%——
Handicap — Villarreal CF +0.516%——
Handicap — Villarreal CF +1.56%——
Handicap — Villarreal CF +2.51%——
CardsProbOddsEdge
Under 6.5 cards90%——
Under 5.5 cards80%——
Over 2.5 cards74%——
Under 4.5 cards65%——
Most cards — Villarreal CF56%——
Over 3.5 cards54%——
Under 3.5 cards46%——
Over 4.5 cards35%——
Under 2.5 cards26%——
Most cards — Real Madrid CF24%——
Over 5.5 cards20%——
Most cards — Tie20%——
Over 6.5 cards10%——
Villarreal CF expected cards2%——
Real Madrid CF expected cards2%——
Any red card0%——
2+ red cards0%——
CornersProbOddsEdge
Over 7.5 corners98%——
Over 8.5 corners96%——
Over 9.5 corners93%——
Over 10.5 corners88%——
Over 11.5 corners82%——
Over 12.5 corners73%——
Most corners — Real Madrid CF50%——
Most corners — Villarreal CF40%——
Under 12.5 corners27%——
Under 11.5 corners19%——
Under 10.5 corners12%——
Real Madrid CF expected corners8%——
Villarreal CF expected corners7%——
Under 9.5 corners7%——
Under 8.5 corners4%——
Under 7.5 corners2%——
FoulsProbOddsEdge
Under 24.5 fouls88%——
Under 23.5 fouls83%——
Under 22.5 fouls77%——
Under 21.5 fouls69%——
Under 20.5 fouls61%——
Most fouls — Villarreal CF59%——
Under 19.5 fouls53%——
Over 19.5 fouls48%——
Over 20.5 fouls39%——
Most fouls — Real Madrid CF33%——
Over 21.5 fouls31%——
Over 22.5 fouls23%——
Over 23.5 fouls17%——
Over 24.5 fouls13%——
GoalscorersProbOddsEdge
Anytime scorer — Kylian Mbappé (Real Madrid CF)67%——
Anytime scorer — Jude Bellingham (Real Madrid CF)43%——
Anytime scorer — Nicolas Pépé (Villarreal CF)35%——
Anytime scorer — Carlos Espí (Real Madrid CF)24%——
Anytime scorer — Vinicius Junior (Real Madrid CF)24%——
Anytime scorer — Pape Gueye (Villarreal CF)19%——
Anytime scorer — Gerard Moreno (Villarreal CF)19%——
Anytime scorer — Georges Mikautadze (Villarreal CF)19%——