Elche CF v RC Celta de Vigo
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Football·Primera Division· 2026-10-11 · 12:00

Elche CF v RC Celta de Vigo

Recommended bet
Over 1.5 goals
Total goals
De-vigged fair price from the marketLow
Win probability76%
Implied (with margin)76%
Model edge—
Odds1.32 1/3
Crowd odds — Polymarket
Elche CF35%
Draw30%
RC Celta de Vigo36%
$10,798 liquidity · $96 traded · data from Polymarket
All markets
Match winnerProbOddsEdge
Match Winner — Elche CF37%2.95—
Match Winner — RC Celta de Vigo34%2.70—
Match Winner — Draw29%3.33—
GoalsProbOddsEdge
Under 2.5 goals51%1.84—
Over 2.5 goals49%2.12—
Over 2.25 goals—1.83—
Under 2.25 goals—2.05—
Model-only estimates · 151 markets
Match winnerProbOddsEdge
Double chance — Elche CF or RC Celta de Vigo71%——
Double chance — Elche CF or Draw66%——
Double chance — RC Celta de Vigo or Draw63%——
Draw no bet — Elche CF52%——
Draw no bet — RC Celta de Vigo48%——
Elche CF to win37%——
RC Celta de Vigo to win34%——
Draw29%——
GoalsProbOddsEdge
Under 5.5 goals95%——
Over 0.5 goals91%——
Under 4.5 goals87%——
Over 1.5 goals76%——
Under 3.5 goals73%——
BTTS — Yes55%——
Under 2.5 goals51%——
Over 2.5 goals49%——
Goals range — 2-3 goals48%——
BTTS — No45%——
BTTS Yes + Over 2.541%——
Over 3.5 goals27%——
Goals range — 4-6 goals26%——
Under 1.5 goals24%——
Goals range — 0-1 goals24%——
BTTS Yes + Under 2.514%——
Over 4.5 goals13%——
Under 0.5 goals9%——
Over 5.5 goals5%——
Goals range — 7+ goals2%——
Score & marginProbOddsEdge
RC Celta de Vigo to score 136%——
Elche CF to score 135%——
Both score no draw35%——
Winning margin — Draw29%——
RC Celta de Vigo to score 028%——
Elche CF clean sheet28%——
Elche CF to score 026%——
RC Celta de Vigo clean sheet26%——
Elche CF to score 224%——
RC Celta de Vigo to score 223%——
Winning margin — Elche CF by 119%——
Elche CF win to nil19%——
Winning margin — RC Celta de Vigo by 118%——
RC Celta de Vigo win to nil17%——
Elche CF to score 3+16%——
RC Celta de Vigo to score 3+14%——
Correct score 1-114%——
Winning margin — Elche CF by 211%——
Winning margin — RC Celta de Vigo by 210%——
Correct score 0-09%——
Correct score 2-18%——
Correct score 1-28%——
Correct score 1-08%——
Correct score 0-18%——
Correct score 2-07%——
Correct score 0-26%——
Correct score 2-25%——
Winning margin — Elche CF by 35%——
Winning margin — RC Celta de Vigo by 34%——
Correct score 3-14%——
Winning margin — Elche CF by 41%——
Winning margin — RC Celta de Vigo by 41%——
Winning margin — Elche CF by 5+1%——
Winning margin — RC Celta de Vigo by 5+0%——
HalvesProbOddsEdge
1st Half Under 2.5 goals90%——
1st Half Under 1.5 goals70%——
1st Half Over 0.5 goals67%——
Elche CF to win either half51%——
RC Celta de Vigo to win either half49%——
1st Half result — Draw44%——
Half with most goals — 2nd42%——
1st Half Under 0.5 goals33%——
Half with most goals — 1st31%——
1st Half Over 1.5 goals30%——
1st Half result — Elche CF29%——
1st Half result — RC Celta de Vigo27%——
Half with most goals — Equal27%——
HT/FT Elche CF / Elche CF22%——
Elche CF to score in both halves22%——
RC Celta de Vigo to score in both halves20%——
HT/FT RC Celta de Vigo / RC Celta de Vigo20%——
HT/FT Draw / Draw17%——
HT/FT Draw / Elche CF14%——
HT/FT Draw / RC Celta de Vigo13%——
1st Half Over 2.5 goals10%——
Elche CF to win both halves9%——
RC Celta de Vigo to win both halves8%——
HT/FT RC Celta de Vigo / Draw5%——
HT/FT Elche CF / Draw5%——
HT/FT RC Celta de Vigo / Elche CF2%——
HT/FT Elche CF / RC Celta de Vigo2%——
HandicapsProbOddsEdge
Handicap — Elche CF +2.595%——
Handicap — RC Celta de Vigo -2.594%——
Handicap — Elche CF +1.584%——
Handicap — RC Celta de Vigo -1.583%——
Handicap — Elche CF +0.566%——
Handicap — RC Celta de Vigo -0.563%——
Handicap — Elche CF -0.537%——
Handicap — RC Celta de Vigo +0.534%——
Handicap — Elche CF -1.518%——
Handicap — RC Celta de Vigo +1.516%——
Handicap — Elche CF -2.56%——
Handicap — RC Celta de Vigo +2.55%——
CardsProbOddsEdge
Over 2.5 cards94%——
Over 3.5 cards86%——
Over 4.5 cards74%——
Under 6.5 cards58%——
Over 5.5 cards58%——
Most cards — RC Celta de Vigo46%——
Under 5.5 cards42%——
Over 6.5 cards42%——
Most cards — Elche CF37%——
Under 4.5 cards27%——
Any red card25%——
Most cards — Tie16%——
Under 3.5 cards14%——
Under 2.5 cards6%——
2+ red cards3%——
RC Celta de Vigo expected cards3%——
Elche CF expected cards3%——
CornersProbOddsEdge
Under 12.5 corners95%——
Under 11.5 corners91%——
Under 10.5 corners84%——
Under 9.5 corners75%——
Under 8.5 corners63%——
Most corners — Elche CF59%——
Over 7.5 corners51%——
Under 7.5 corners49%——
Over 8.5 corners37%——
Most corners — RC Celta de Vigo28%——
Over 9.5 corners25%——
Over 10.5 corners16%——
Over 11.5 corners9%——
Over 12.5 corners5%——
Elche CF expected corners4%——
RC Celta de Vigo expected corners3%——
FoulsProbOddsEdge
Over 19.5 fouls82%——
Over 20.5 fouls75%——
Over 21.5 fouls68%——
Over 22.5 fouls60%——
Most fouls — Elche CF57%——
Under 24.5 fouls56%——
Over 23.5 fouls52%——
Under 23.5 fouls48%——
Over 24.5 fouls44%——
Under 22.5 fouls40%——
Most fouls — RC Celta de Vigo35%——
Under 21.5 fouls32%——
Under 20.5 fouls25%——
Under 19.5 fouls19%——
GoalscorersProbOddsEdge
Anytime scorer — Fer Niño (Elche CF)44%——
Anytime scorer — Pablo Duran (RC Celta de Vigo)25%——
Anytime scorer — Marc Aguado (Elche CF)11%——