Villarreal CF v Elche CF
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Football·Primera Division· 2026-10-17 · 14:15

Villarreal CF v Elche CF

Recommended bet
Villarreal CF or Draw
Double chance
De-vigged fair price from the marketLow
Win probability82%
Implied (with margin)82%
Model edge
Odds1.22 2/9
All markets
Model-only estimates · 155 markets
Match winnerProbOddsEdge
Double chance — Villarreal CF or Draw82%
Draw no bet — Villarreal CF76%
Double chance — Villarreal CF or Elche CF75%
Villarreal CF to win57%
Double chance — Elche CF or Draw43%
Draw25%
Draw no bet — Elche CF24%
Elche CF to win18%
GoalsProbOddsEdge
Over 0.5 goals93%
Under 5.5 goals93%
Under 4.5 goals83%
Over 1.5 goals80%
Under 3.5 goals67%
Over 2.5 goals56%
BTTS — Yes55%
Goals range — 2-3 goals47%
BTTS — No45%
Under 2.5 goals44%
BTTS Yes + Over 2.544%
Over 3.5 goals33%
Goals range — 4-6 goals30%
Under 1.5 goals20%
Goals range — 0-1 goals20%
Over 4.5 goals17%
BTTS Yes + Under 2.512%
Over 5.5 goals8%
Under 0.5 goals7%
Goals range — 7+ goals3%
Score & marginProbOddsEdge
Both score no draw37%
Elche CF to score 137%
Elche CF to score 037%
Villarreal CF clean sheet37%
Villarreal CF to score 3+30%
Villarreal CF win to nil30%
Villarreal CF to score 128%
Villarreal CF to score 227%
Winning margin — Draw25%
Winning margin — Villarreal CF by 123%
Elche CF to score 218%
Winning margin — Villarreal CF by 218%
Villarreal CF to score 015%
Elche CF clean sheet15%
Correct score 1-112%
Winning margin — Elche CF by 111%
Winning margin — Villarreal CF by 310%
Correct score 2-110%
Correct score 2-010%
Correct score 1-09%
Elche CF to score 3+8%
Elche CF win to nil8%
Correct score 0-07%
Correct score 3-16%
Correct score 3-06%
Correct score 1-25%
Correct score 2-25%
Winning margin — Elche CF by 25%
Winning margin — Villarreal CF by 44%
Correct score 0-14%
Winning margin — Villarreal CF by 5+2%
Winning margin — Elche CF by 31%
Winning margin — Elche CF by 40%
Winning margin — Elche CF by 5+0%
HalvesProbOddsEdge
1st Half Under 2.5 goals81%
1st Half Over 0.5 goals78%
Villarreal CF to win either half73%
1st Half Under 1.5 goals55%
1st Half result — Villarreal CF46%
Half with most goals — 2nd46%
1st Half Over 1.5 goals45%
Villarreal CF to score in both halves44%
HT/FT Villarreal CF / Villarreal CF40%
1st Half result — Draw35%
Elche CF to win either half35%
Half with most goals — 1st32%
Villarreal CF to win both halves23%
Half with most goals — Equal23%
1st Half Under 0.5 goals22%
1st Half Over 2.5 goals20%
Elche CF to score in both halves19%
1st Half result — Elche CF19%
HT/FT Draw / Villarreal CF18%
HT/FT Elche CF / Elche CF11%
HT/FT Draw / Draw11%
HT/FT Draw / Elche CF7%
HT/FT Elche CF / Draw5%
HT/FT Villarreal CF / Draw5%
Elche CF to win both halves4%
HT/FT Elche CF / Villarreal CF4%
HT/FT Villarreal CF / Elche CF2%
HandicapsProbOddsEdge
Handicap — Villarreal CF +2.598%
Handicap — Villarreal CF +1.593%
Handicap — Elche CF -2.583%
Handicap — Villarreal CF +0.582%
Handicap — Elche CF -1.566%
Handicap — Villarreal CF -0.557%
Handicap — Elche CF -0.543%
Handicap — Villarreal CF -1.535%
Handicap — Elche CF +0.518%
Handicap — Villarreal CF -2.517%
Handicap — Elche CF +1.57%
Handicap — Elche CF +2.52%
CardsProbOddsEdge
Under 6.5 cards94%
Under 5.5 cards86%
Under 4.5 cards73%
Over 2.5 cards67%
Under 3.5 cards55%
Over 3.5 cards46%
Most cards — Elche CF42%
Most cards — Villarreal CF36%
Under 2.5 cards33%
Over 4.5 cards27%
Most cards — Tie22%
Over 5.5 cards14%
Over 6.5 cards6%
Elche CF expected cards2%
Villarreal CF expected cards2%
Any red card0%
2+ red cards0%
CornersProbOddsEdge
Over 7.5 corners91%
Over 8.5 corners85%
Over 9.5 corners76%
Most corners — Villarreal CF74%
Over 10.5 corners65%
Under 12.5 corners58%
Over 11.5 corners54%
Under 11.5 corners46%
Over 12.5 corners42%
Under 10.5 corners35%
Under 9.5 corners24%
Most corners — Elche CF18%
Under 8.5 corners16%
Under 7.5 corners9%
Villarreal CF expected corners7%
Elche CF expected corners5%
FoulsProbOddsEdge
Over 19.5 fouls88%
Over 20.5 fouls83%
Over 21.5 fouls78%
Over 22.5 fouls71%
Over 23.5 fouls64%
Most fouls — Elche CF59%
Over 24.5 fouls56%
Under 24.5 fouls44%
Under 23.5 fouls37%
Most fouls — Villarreal CF33%
Under 22.5 fouls29%
Under 21.5 fouls22%
Under 20.5 fouls17%
Under 19.5 fouls12%
GoalscorersProbOddsEdge
Anytime scorer — Pape Gueye (Villarreal CF)51%
Anytime scorer — Fer Niño (Elche CF)51%
Anytime scorer — Nicolas Pépé (Villarreal CF)38%
Anytime scorer — Gerard Moreno (Villarreal CF)38%
Anytime scorer — Georges Mikautadze (Villarreal CF)21%
Anytime scorer — Marc Aguado (Elche CF)13%
Anytime scorer — Buba (Elche CF)13%