FC Barcelona v Real Madrid CF
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FC Barcelona v Real Madrid CF
Recommended bet
FC Barcelona or Draw
Double chance
De-vigged fair price from the marketLow
Win probability80%
Implied (with margin)80%
Model edge—
Odds1.25 1/4
All markets
Match winnerProbOddsEdge
Match Winner — FC Barcelona54%1.49—
Match Winner — Draw26%6.40—
Match Winner — Real Madrid CF20%6.90—
GoalsProbOddsEdge
Under 3.5 goals68%2.20—
Over 2.5 goals54%1.28—
Under 2.5 goals46%3.76—
Over 3.5 goals32%1.79—
Over 3.75 goals—1.76—
Under 3.75 goals—1.93—
Model-only estimates · 155 markets
Match winnerProbOddsEdge
Double chance — FC Barcelona or Draw80%——
Double chance — FC Barcelona or Real Madrid CF74%——
Draw no bet — FC Barcelona73%——
FC Barcelona to win54%——
Double chance — Real Madrid CF or Draw46%——
Draw no bet — Real Madrid CF27%——
Draw26%——
Real Madrid CF to win20%——
GoalsProbOddsEdge
Over 0.5 goals93%——
Under 5.5 goals93%——
Under 4.5 goals84%——
Over 1.5 goals79%——
Under 3.5 goals68%——
BTTS — Yes56%——
Over 2.5 goals55%——
Goals range — 2-3 goals47%——
Under 2.5 goals46%——
BTTS — No44%——
BTTS Yes + Over 2.543%——
Over 3.5 goals32%——
Goals range — 4-6 goals30%——
Under 1.5 goals21%——
Goals range — 0-1 goals21%——
Over 4.5 goals16%——
BTTS Yes + Under 2.512%——
Under 0.5 goals7%——
Over 5.5 goals7%——
Goals range — 7+ goals3%——
Score & marginProbOddsEdge
Both score no draw37%——
Real Madrid CF to score 137%——
Real Madrid CF to score 035%——
FC Barcelona clean sheet35%——
FC Barcelona to score 130%——
FC Barcelona win to nil28%——
FC Barcelona to score 3+27%——
FC Barcelona to score 227%——
Winning margin — Draw26%——
Winning margin — FC Barcelona by 123%——
Real Madrid CF to score 219%——
Winning margin — FC Barcelona by 217%——
FC Barcelona to score 016%——
Real Madrid CF clean sheet16%——
Correct score 1-112%——
Winning margin — Real Madrid CF by 112%——
Correct score 2-110%——
Correct score 2-09%——
Real Madrid CF win to nil9%——
Correct score 1-09%——
Winning margin — FC Barcelona by 39%——
Real Madrid CF to score 3+9%——
Correct score 0-07%——
Correct score 3-16%——
Correct score 3-06%——
Correct score 1-26%——
Winning margin — Real Madrid CF by 26%——
Correct score 2-25%——
Correct score 0-15%——
Winning margin — FC Barcelona by 44%——
Winning margin — FC Barcelona by 5+2%——
Winning margin — Real Madrid CF by 32%——
Winning margin — Real Madrid CF by 40%——
Winning margin — Real Madrid CF by 5+0%——
HalvesProbOddsEdge
1st Half Under 2.5 goals83%——
1st Half Over 0.5 goals76%——
FC Barcelona to win either half70%——
1st Half Under 1.5 goals59%——
Half with most goals — 2nd45%——
1st Half result — FC Barcelona43%——
1st Half Over 1.5 goals42%——
FC Barcelona to score in both halves40%——
Real Madrid CF to win either half37%——
1st Half result — Draw37%——
HT/FT FC Barcelona / FC Barcelona37%——
Half with most goals — 1st32%——
1st Half Under 0.5 goals24%——
Half with most goals — Equal23%——
1st Half result — Real Madrid CF20%——
FC Barcelona to win both halves20%——
Real Madrid CF to score in both halves19%——
HT/FT Draw / FC Barcelona17%——
1st Half Over 2.5 goals17%——
HT/FT Real Madrid CF / Real Madrid CF12%——
HT/FT Draw / Draw12%——
HT/FT Draw / Real Madrid CF8%——
HT/FT Real Madrid CF / Draw5%——
HT/FT FC Barcelona / Draw5%——
Real Madrid CF to win both halves4%——
HT/FT Real Madrid CF / FC Barcelona3%——
HT/FT FC Barcelona / Real Madrid CF2%——
HandicapsProbOddsEdge
Handicap — FC Barcelona +2.598%——
Handicap — FC Barcelona +1.592%——
Handicap — Real Madrid CF -2.586%——
Handicap — FC Barcelona +0.580%——
Handicap — Real Madrid CF -1.569%——
Handicap — FC Barcelona -0.554%——
Handicap — Real Madrid CF -0.546%——
Handicap — FC Barcelona -1.532%——
Handicap — Real Madrid CF +0.520%——
Handicap — FC Barcelona -2.515%——
Handicap — Real Madrid CF +1.58%——
Handicap — Real Madrid CF +2.52%——
CardsProbOddsEdge
Under 6.5 cards89%——
Under 5.5 cards79%——
Over 2.5 cards76%——
Under 4.5 cards63%——
Most cards — Real Madrid CF57%——
Over 3.5 cards56%——
Under 3.5 cards44%——
Over 4.5 cards37%——
Under 2.5 cards24%——
Most cards — FC Barcelona24%——
Any red card22%——
Over 5.5 cards21%——
Most cards — Tie19%——
Over 6.5 cards11%——
2+ red cards3%——
Real Madrid CF expected cards2%——
FC Barcelona expected cards2%——
CornersProbOddsEdge
Over 7.5 corners98%——
Over 8.5 corners96%——
Over 9.5 corners92%——
Over 10.5 corners87%——
Over 11.5 corners80%——
Over 12.5 corners71%——
Most corners — FC Barcelona50%——
Most corners — Real Madrid CF40%——
Under 12.5 corners29%——
Under 11.5 corners20%——
Under 10.5 corners13%——
Under 9.5 corners8%——
FC Barcelona expected corners8%——
Real Madrid CF expected corners7%——
Under 8.5 corners4%——
Under 7.5 corners2%——
FoulsProbOddsEdge
Under 24.5 fouls99%——
Under 23.5 fouls98%——
Under 22.5 fouls96%——
Under 21.5 fouls94%——
Under 20.5 fouls91%——
Under 19.5 fouls87%——
Most fouls — FC Barcelona50%——
Most fouls — Real Madrid CF40%——
Over 19.5 fouls13%——
Over 20.5 fouls9%——
Over 21.5 fouls6%——
Over 22.5 fouls4%——
Over 23.5 fouls2%——
Over 24.5 fouls1%——
GoalscorersProbOddsEdge
Anytime scorer — Raphinha (FC Barcelona)89%——
Anytime scorer — Lamine Yamal (FC Barcelona)68%——
Anytime scorer — Kylian Mbappé (Real Madrid CF)58%——
Anytime scorer — Fermín López (FC Barcelona)47%——
Anytime scorer — Gabriel Jesus (FC Barcelona)40%——
Anytime scorer — Jude Bellingham (Real Madrid CF)31%——
Anytime scorer — Carlos Espí (Real Madrid CF)22%——