TSG 1899 Hoffenheim v Borussia Dortmund
Back to board
Football·Bundesliga· 2026-09-05 · 13:30

TSG 1899 Hoffenheim v Borussia Dortmund

Recommended bet
Over 1.5 goals
Total goals
De-vigged fair price from the marketLow
Win probability84%
Implied (with margin)84%
Model edge
Odds1.19 2/11
All markets
Model-only estimates · 148 markets
Match winnerProbOddsEdge
Double chance — TSG 1899 Hoffenheim or Borussia Dortmund74%
Double chance — Borussia Dortmund or Draw68%
Double chance — TSG 1899 Hoffenheim or Draw59%
Draw no bet — Borussia Dortmund56%
Draw no bet — TSG 1899 Hoffenheim44%
Borussia Dortmund to win41%
TSG 1899 Hoffenheim to win33%
Draw26%
GoalsProbOddsEdge
Over 0.5 goals95%
Under 5.5 goals90%
Over 1.5 goals84%
Under 4.5 goals78%
BTTS — Yes65%
Over 2.5 goals62%
Under 3.5 goals61%
BTTS Yes + Over 2.553%
Goals range — 2-3 goals45%
Over 3.5 goals40%
Under 2.5 goals38%
BTTS — No35%
Goals range — 4-6 goals35%
Over 4.5 goals22%
Under 1.5 goals16%
Goals range — 0-1 goals16%
BTTS Yes + Under 2.512%
Over 5.5 goals10%
Under 0.5 goals6%
Goals range — 7+ goals4%
Score & marginProbOddsEdge
Both score no draw44%
TSG 1899 Hoffenheim to score 134%
Borussia Dortmund to score 131%
Borussia Dortmund to score 226%
Winning margin — Draw26%
TSG 1899 Hoffenheim to score 225%
Borussia Dortmund to score 3+24%
TSG 1899 Hoffenheim to score 023%
Borussia Dortmund clean sheet23%
Winning margin — Borussia Dortmund by 119%
TSG 1899 Hoffenheim to score 3+19%
Borussia Dortmund to score 018%
TSG 1899 Hoffenheim clean sheet18%
Borussia Dortmund win to nil17%
Winning margin — TSG 1899 Hoffenheim by 117%
Winning margin — Borussia Dortmund by 213%
TSG 1899 Hoffenheim win to nil13%
Correct score 1-112%
Winning margin — TSG 1899 Hoffenheim by 210%
Correct score 1-29%
Correct score 2-18%
Correct score 2-27%
Winning margin — Borussia Dortmund by 36%
Correct score 0-26%
Correct score 0-16%
Correct score 0-06%
Correct score 1-35%
Correct score 1-05%
Correct score 2-05%
Winning margin — TSG 1899 Hoffenheim by 34%
Winning margin — Borussia Dortmund by 42%
Winning margin — TSG 1899 Hoffenheim by 41%
Winning margin — Borussia Dortmund by 5+1%
Winning margin — TSG 1899 Hoffenheim by 5+1%
HalvesProbOddsEdge
1st Half Under 2.5 goals83%
1st Half Over 0.5 goals76%
Borussia Dortmund to win either half58%
1st Half Under 1.5 goals58%
TSG 1899 Hoffenheim to win either half50%
Half with most goals — 2nd45%
1st Half Over 1.5 goals42%
1st Half result — Draw38%
1st Half result — Borussia Dortmund34%
Borussia Dortmund to score in both halves33%
Half with most goals — 1st32%
1st Half result — TSG 1899 Hoffenheim28%
TSG 1899 Hoffenheim to score in both halves27%
HT/FT Borussia Dortmund / Borussia Dortmund26%
1st Half Under 0.5 goals24%
Half with most goals — Equal23%
HT/FT TSG 1899 Hoffenheim / TSG 1899 Hoffenheim20%
1st Half Over 2.5 goals18%
HT/FT Draw / Borussia Dortmund14%
HT/FT Draw / Draw13%
Borussia Dortmund to win both halves12%
HT/FT Draw / TSG 1899 Hoffenheim11%
TSG 1899 Hoffenheim to win both halves9%
HT/FT Borussia Dortmund / Draw5%
HT/FT TSG 1899 Hoffenheim / Draw5%
HT/FT TSG 1899 Hoffenheim / Borussia Dortmund3%
HT/FT Borussia Dortmund / TSG 1899 Hoffenheim3%
HandicapsProbOddsEdge
Handicap — Borussia Dortmund -2.594%
Handicap — TSG 1899 Hoffenheim +2.591%
Handicap — Borussia Dortmund -1.584%
Handicap — TSG 1899 Hoffenheim +1.578%
Handicap — Borussia Dortmund -0.568%
Handicap — TSG 1899 Hoffenheim +0.559%
Handicap — Borussia Dortmund +0.541%
Handicap — TSG 1899 Hoffenheim -0.533%
Handicap — Borussia Dortmund +1.522%
Handicap — TSG 1899 Hoffenheim -1.516%
Handicap — Borussia Dortmund +2.59%
Handicap — TSG 1899 Hoffenheim -2.56%
CardsProbOddsEdge
Under 6.5 cards85%
Over 2.5 cards81%
Under 5.5 cards73%
Over 3.5 cards63%
Under 4.5 cards56%
Most cards — Borussia Dortmund48%
Over 4.5 cards44%
Under 3.5 cards37%
Most cards — TSG 1899 Hoffenheim33%
Over 5.5 cards27%
Most cards — Tie20%
Under 2.5 cards19%
Over 6.5 cards15%
Any red card14%
Borussia Dortmund expected cards2%
TSG 1899 Hoffenheim expected cards2%
2+ red cards1%
CornersProbOddsEdge
Over 7.5 corners86%
Over 8.5 corners78%
Under 12.5 corners68%
Over 9.5 corners67%
Under 11.5 corners57%
Over 10.5 corners55%
Most corners — TSG 1899 Hoffenheim50%
Under 10.5 corners45%
Over 11.5 corners44%
Most corners — Borussia Dortmund39%
Under 9.5 corners33%
Over 12.5 corners32%
Under 8.5 corners22%
Under 7.5 corners14%
TSG 1899 Hoffenheim expected corners6%
Borussia Dortmund expected corners5%
FoulsProbOddsEdge
Over 19.5 fouls96%
Over 20.5 fouls93%
Over 21.5 fouls90%
Over 22.5 fouls86%
Over 23.5 fouls81%
Over 24.5 fouls76%
Most fouls — TSG 1899 Hoffenheim56%
Most fouls — Borussia Dortmund37%
Under 24.5 fouls25%
Under 23.5 fouls19%
Under 22.5 fouls14%
Under 21.5 fouls10%
Under 20.5 fouls7%
Under 19.5 fouls4%