Bayer 04 Leverkusen v 1. FC Union Berlin
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Football·Bundesliga· 2026-09-05 · 13:30

Bayer 04 Leverkusen v 1. FC Union Berlin

Recommended bet
Over 1.5 goals
Total goals
De-vigged fair price from the marketLow
Win probability84%
Implied (with margin)84%
Model edge
Odds1.19 2/11
All markets
Model-only estimates · 148 markets
Match winnerProbOddsEdge
Double chance — Bayer 04 Leverkusen or Draw78%
Double chance — Bayer 04 Leverkusen or 1. FC Union Berlin76%
Draw no bet — Bayer 04 Leverkusen71%
Bayer 04 Leverkusen to win54%
Double chance — 1. FC Union Berlin or Draw47%
Draw no bet — 1. FC Union Berlin29%
Draw24%
1. FC Union Berlin to win22%
GoalsProbOddsEdge
Over 0.5 goals95%
Under 5.5 goals90%
Over 1.5 goals84%
Under 4.5 goals78%
BTTS — Yes62%
Over 2.5 goals62%
Under 3.5 goals61%
BTTS Yes + Over 2.551%
Goals range — 2-3 goals45%
Over 3.5 goals40%
Under 2.5 goals38%
BTTS — No38%
Goals range — 4-6 goals35%
Over 4.5 goals22%
Under 1.5 goals16%
Goals range — 0-1 goals16%
BTTS Yes + Under 2.511%
Over 5.5 goals10%
Under 0.5 goals5%
Goals range — 7+ goals4%
Score & marginProbOddsEdge
Both score no draw43%
1. FC Union Berlin to score 136%
Bayer 04 Leverkusen to score 3+32%
1. FC Union Berlin to score 030%
Bayer 04 Leverkusen clean sheet30%
Bayer 04 Leverkusen to score 128%
Bayer 04 Leverkusen to score 227%
Winning margin — Draw24%
Bayer 04 Leverkusen win to nil24%
1. FC Union Berlin to score 222%
Winning margin — Bayer 04 Leverkusen by 121%
Winning margin — Bayer 04 Leverkusen by 217%
Bayer 04 Leverkusen to score 014%
1. FC Union Berlin clean sheet14%
Winning margin — 1. FC Union Berlin by 113%
1. FC Union Berlin to score 3+13%
Correct score 1-111%
Correct score 2-110%
Winning margin — Bayer 04 Leverkusen by 39%
1. FC Union Berlin win to nil9%
Correct score 2-08%
Correct score 1-07%
Correct score 3-16%
Winning margin — 1. FC Union Berlin by 26%
Correct score 1-26%
Correct score 2-26%
Correct score 0-05%
Correct score 3-05%
Winning margin — Bayer 04 Leverkusen by 44%
Correct score 3-24%
Winning margin — 1. FC Union Berlin by 32%
Winning margin — Bayer 04 Leverkusen by 5+2%
Winning margin — 1. FC Union Berlin by 41%
Winning margin — 1. FC Union Berlin by 5+0%
HalvesProbOddsEdge
1st Half Under 2.5 goals83%
1st Half Over 0.5 goals76%
Bayer 04 Leverkusen to win either half68%
1st Half Under 1.5 goals58%
Half with most goals — 2nd45%
1st Half Over 1.5 goals42%
1st Half result — Bayer 04 Leverkusen42%
1. FC Union Berlin to win either half39%
Bayer 04 Leverkusen to score in both halves39%
1st Half result — Draw37%
HT/FT Bayer 04 Leverkusen / Bayer 04 Leverkusen35%
Half with most goals — 1st32%
1st Half Under 0.5 goals24%
Half with most goals — Equal23%
1st Half result — 1. FC Union Berlin22%
1. FC Union Berlin to score in both halves21%
Bayer 04 Leverkusen to win both halves19%
1st Half Over 2.5 goals18%
HT/FT Draw / Bayer 04 Leverkusen17%
HT/FT 1. FC Union Berlin / 1. FC Union Berlin13%
HT/FT Draw / Draw12%
HT/FT Draw / 1. FC Union Berlin8%
1. FC Union Berlin to win both halves5%
HT/FT 1. FC Union Berlin / Draw5%
HT/FT Bayer 04 Leverkusen / Draw5%
HT/FT 1. FC Union Berlin / Bayer 04 Leverkusen3%
HT/FT Bayer 04 Leverkusen / 1. FC Union Berlin2%
HandicapsProbOddsEdge
Handicap — Bayer 04 Leverkusen +2.597%
Handicap — Bayer 04 Leverkusen +1.591%
Handicap — 1. FC Union Berlin -2.585%
Handicap — Bayer 04 Leverkusen +0.578%
Handicap — 1. FC Union Berlin -1.568%
Handicap — Bayer 04 Leverkusen -0.554%
Handicap — 1. FC Union Berlin -0.547%
Handicap — Bayer 04 Leverkusen -1.532%
Handicap — 1. FC Union Berlin +0.522%
Handicap — Bayer 04 Leverkusen -2.516%
Handicap — 1. FC Union Berlin +1.59%
Handicap — 1. FC Union Berlin +2.53%
CardsProbOddsEdge
Under 6.5 cards95%
Under 5.5 cards89%
Under 4.5 cards77%
Over 2.5 cards64%
Under 3.5 cards59%
Most cards — 1. FC Union Berlin43%
Over 3.5 cards41%
Under 2.5 cards37%
Most cards — Bayer 04 Leverkusen34%
Over 4.5 cards23%
Most cards — Tie23%
Any red card14%
Over 5.5 cards11%
Over 6.5 cards5%
1. FC Union Berlin expected cards2%
Bayer 04 Leverkusen expected cards2%
2+ red cards1%
CornersProbOddsEdge
Over 7.5 corners88%
Over 8.5 corners80%
Over 9.5 corners70%
Under 12.5 corners65%
Most corners — Bayer 04 Leverkusen60%
Over 10.5 corners58%
Under 11.5 corners54%
Over 11.5 corners46%
Under 10.5 corners42%
Over 12.5 corners35%
Under 9.5 corners30%
Most corners — 1. FC Union Berlin29%
Under 8.5 corners20%
Under 7.5 corners12%
Bayer 04 Leverkusen expected corners6%
1. FC Union Berlin expected corners5%
FoulsProbOddsEdge
Under 24.5 fouls80%
Under 23.5 fouls73%
Under 22.5 fouls66%
Most fouls — 1. FC Union Berlin61%
Over 19.5 fouls60%
Under 21.5 fouls58%
Over 20.5 fouls51%
Under 20.5 fouls49%
Over 21.5 fouls43%
Under 19.5 fouls40%
Over 22.5 fouls34%
Most fouls — Bayer 04 Leverkusen31%
Over 23.5 fouls27%
Over 24.5 fouls21%