VfB Stuttgart v Borussia Dortmund
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Football·Bundesliga· 2026-09-19 · 16:30

VfB Stuttgart v Borussia Dortmund

Recommended bet
Over 1.5 goals
Total goals
De-vigged fair price from the marketLow
Win probability84%
Implied (with margin)84%
Model edge
Odds1.19 2/11
All markets
Model-only estimates · 148 markets
Match winnerProbOddsEdge
Double chance — VfB Stuttgart or Borussia Dortmund74%
Double chance — Borussia Dortmund or Draw64%
Double chance — VfB Stuttgart or Draw63%
Draw no bet — Borussia Dortmund51%
Draw no bet — VfB Stuttgart50%
Borussia Dortmund to win37%
VfB Stuttgart to win37%
Draw26%
GoalsProbOddsEdge
Over 0.5 goals95%
Under 5.5 goals90%
Over 1.5 goals84%
Under 4.5 goals78%
BTTS — Yes65%
Over 2.5 goals62%
Under 3.5 goals61%
BTTS Yes + Over 2.553%
Goals range — 2-3 goals45%
Over 3.5 goals40%
Under 2.5 goals38%
BTTS — No35%
Goals range — 4-6 goals35%
Over 4.5 goals22%
Under 1.5 goals16%
Goals range — 0-1 goals16%
BTTS Yes + Under 2.512%
Over 5.5 goals10%
Under 0.5 goals6%
Goals range — 7+ goals4%
Score & marginProbOddsEdge
Both score no draw44%
VfB Stuttgart to score 133%
Borussia Dortmund to score 132%
Winning margin — Draw26%
Borussia Dortmund to score 226%
VfB Stuttgart to score 226%
Borussia Dortmund to score 3+22%
VfB Stuttgart to score 3+21%
VfB Stuttgart to score 021%
Borussia Dortmund clean sheet21%
Borussia Dortmund to score 020%
VfB Stuttgart clean sheet20%
Winning margin — Borussia Dortmund by 118%
Winning margin — VfB Stuttgart by 118%
Borussia Dortmund win to nil15%
VfB Stuttgart win to nil15%
Correct score 1-112%
Winning margin — Borussia Dortmund by 212%
Winning margin — VfB Stuttgart by 211%
Correct score 1-28%
Correct score 2-18%
Correct score 2-27%
Correct score 0-06%
Correct score 0-25%
Correct score 0-15%
Correct score 2-05%
Correct score 1-05%
Winning margin — Borussia Dortmund by 35%
Winning margin — VfB Stuttgart by 35%
Correct score 1-35%
Winning margin — Borussia Dortmund by 42%
Winning margin — VfB Stuttgart by 42%
Winning margin — VfB Stuttgart by 5+1%
Winning margin — Borussia Dortmund by 5+1%
HalvesProbOddsEdge
1st Half Under 2.5 goals83%
1st Half Over 0.5 goals76%
1st Half Under 1.5 goals58%
Borussia Dortmund to win either half54%
VfB Stuttgart to win either half54%
Half with most goals — 2nd45%
1st Half Over 1.5 goals42%
1st Half result — Draw38%
Half with most goals — 1st32%
1st Half result — Borussia Dortmund31%
1st Half result — VfB Stuttgart31%
Borussia Dortmund to score in both halves30%
VfB Stuttgart to score in both halves30%
1st Half Under 0.5 goals24%
Half with most goals — Equal23%
HT/FT Borussia Dortmund / Borussia Dortmund23%
HT/FT VfB Stuttgart / VfB Stuttgart23%
1st Half Over 2.5 goals18%
HT/FT Draw / Borussia Dortmund13%
HT/FT Draw / Draw13%
HT/FT Draw / VfB Stuttgart13%
Borussia Dortmund to win both halves11%
VfB Stuttgart to win both halves10%
HT/FT Borussia Dortmund / Draw5%
HT/FT VfB Stuttgart / Draw5%
HT/FT VfB Stuttgart / Borussia Dortmund3%
HT/FT Borussia Dortmund / VfB Stuttgart3%
HandicapsProbOddsEdge
Handicap — Borussia Dortmund -2.593%
Handicap — VfB Stuttgart +2.592%
Handicap — Borussia Dortmund -1.581%
Handicap — VfB Stuttgart +1.581%
Handicap — Borussia Dortmund -0.564%
Handicap — VfB Stuttgart +0.563%
Handicap — Borussia Dortmund +0.537%
Handicap — VfB Stuttgart -0.537%
Handicap — Borussia Dortmund +1.519%
Handicap — VfB Stuttgart -1.519%
Handicap — Borussia Dortmund +2.58%
Handicap — VfB Stuttgart -2.57%
CardsProbOddsEdge
Under 6.5 cards87%
Over 2.5 cards79%
Under 5.5 cards76%
Over 3.5 cards60%
Under 4.5 cards59%
Most cards — Borussia Dortmund44%
Over 4.5 cards41%
Under 3.5 cards40%
Most cards — VfB Stuttgart36%
Over 5.5 cards24%
Under 2.5 cards21%
Most cards — Tie20%
Over 6.5 cards13%
Any red card11%
Borussia Dortmund expected cards2%
VfB Stuttgart expected cards2%
2+ red cards1%
CornersProbOddsEdge
Over 7.5 corners86%
Over 8.5 corners77%
Under 12.5 corners69%
Over 9.5 corners66%
Under 11.5 corners58%
Over 10.5 corners54%
Most corners — VfB Stuttgart48%
Under 10.5 corners46%
Over 11.5 corners42%
Most corners — Borussia Dortmund40%
Under 9.5 corners34%
Over 12.5 corners31%
Under 8.5 corners23%
Under 7.5 corners14%
VfB Stuttgart expected corners6%
Borussia Dortmund expected corners5%
FoulsProbOddsEdge
Under 24.5 fouls76%
Under 23.5 fouls69%
Over 19.5 fouls65%
Under 22.5 fouls61%
Over 20.5 fouls56%
Most fouls — Borussia Dortmund55%
Under 21.5 fouls52%
Over 21.5 fouls48%
Under 20.5 fouls44%
Over 22.5 fouls39%
Most fouls — VfB Stuttgart37%
Under 19.5 fouls35%
Over 23.5 fouls31%
Over 24.5 fouls24%