1. FSV Mainz 05 v Bayer 04 Leverkusen
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Football·Bundesliga· 2026-10-10 · 13:30

1. FSV Mainz 05 v Bayer 04 Leverkusen

Recommended bet
Over 1.5 goals
Total goals
De-vigged fair price from the marketLow
Win probability84%
Implied (with margin)84%
Model edge
Odds1.19 1/5
All markets
Model-only estimates · 101 markets
Match winnerProbOddsEdge
Double chance — 1. FSV Mainz 05 or Bayer 04 Leverkusen74%
Double chance — Bayer 04 Leverkusen or Draw64%
Double chance — 1. FSV Mainz 05 or Draw62%
Draw no bet — Bayer 04 Leverkusen51%
Draw no bet — 1. FSV Mainz 0549%
Bayer 04 Leverkusen to win38%
1. FSV Mainz 05 to win36%
Draw26%
GoalsProbOddsEdge
Over 0.5 goals94%
Under 5.5 goals90%
Over 1.5 goals84%
Under 4.5 goals79%
BTTS — Yes64%
Under 3.5 goals61%
Over 2.5 goals61%
BTTS Yes + Over 2.552%
Goals range — 2-3 goals45%
Under 2.5 goals39%
Over 3.5 goals39%
BTTS — No36%
Goals range — 4-6 goals35%
Over 4.5 goals21%
Under 1.5 goals16%
Goals range — 0-1 goals16%
BTTS Yes + Under 2.512%
Over 5.5 goals10%
Under 0.5 goals6%
Goals range — 7+ goals4%
Score & marginProbOddsEdge
Both score no draw44%
1. FSV Mainz 05 to score 133%
Bayer 04 Leverkusen to score 132%
Winning margin — Draw26%
Bayer 04 Leverkusen to score 226%
1. FSV Mainz 05 to score 226%
Bayer 04 Leverkusen to score 3+22%
1. FSV Mainz 05 to score 021%
Bayer 04 Leverkusen clean sheet21%
1. FSV Mainz 05 to score 3+21%
Bayer 04 Leverkusen to score 020%
1. FSV Mainz 05 clean sheet20%
Winning margin — Bayer 04 Leverkusen by 118%
Winning margin — 1. FSV Mainz 05 by 118%
Bayer 04 Leverkusen win to nil16%
1. FSV Mainz 05 win to nil15%
Correct score 1-112%
Winning margin — Bayer 04 Leverkusen by 212%
Winning margin — 1. FSV Mainz 05 by 211%
Correct score 1-29%
Correct score 2-18%
Correct score 2-27%
Correct score 0-06%
Correct score 0-26%
Correct score 0-15%
Correct score 1-05%
Correct score 2-05%
Winning margin — Bayer 04 Leverkusen by 35%
Winning margin — 1. FSV Mainz 05 by 35%
Correct score 1-35%
Winning margin — Bayer 04 Leverkusen by 42%
Winning margin — 1. FSV Mainz 05 by 42%
Winning margin — Bayer 04 Leverkusen by 5+1%
Winning margin — 1. FSV Mainz 05 by 5+1%
HalvesProbOddsEdge
1st Half Under 2.5 goals85%
1st Half Over 0.5 goals74%
1st Half Under 1.5 goals61%
Bayer 04 Leverkusen to win either half54%
1. FSV Mainz 05 to win either half52%
Half with most goals — 2nd45%
1st Half result — Draw39%
1st Half Over 1.5 goals39%
Half with most goals — 1st31%
1st Half result — Bayer 04 Leverkusen31%
1st Half result — 1. FSV Mainz 0530%
Bayer 04 Leverkusen to score in both halves28%
1. FSV Mainz 05 to score in both halves27%
1st Half Under 0.5 goals26%
Half with most goals — Equal24%
HT/FT Bayer 04 Leverkusen / Bayer 04 Leverkusen23%
HT/FT 1. FSV Mainz 05 / 1. FSV Mainz 0522%
1st Half Over 2.5 goals15%
HT/FT Draw / Draw14%
HT/FT Draw / Bayer 04 Leverkusen13%
HT/FT Draw / 1. FSV Mainz 0513%
Bayer 04 Leverkusen to win both halves10%
1. FSV Mainz 05 to win both halves10%
HT/FT Bayer 04 Leverkusen / Draw5%
HT/FT 1. FSV Mainz 05 / Draw5%
HT/FT 1. FSV Mainz 05 / Bayer 04 Leverkusen3%
HT/FT Bayer 04 Leverkusen / 1. FSV Mainz 053%
HandicapsProbOddsEdge
Handicap — Bayer 04 Leverkusen -2.593%
Handicap — 1. FSV Mainz 05 +2.592%
Handicap — Bayer 04 Leverkusen -1.582%
Handicap — 1. FSV Mainz 05 +1.581%
Handicap — Bayer 04 Leverkusen -0.564%
Handicap — 1. FSV Mainz 05 +0.562%
Handicap — Bayer 04 Leverkusen +0.538%
Handicap — 1. FSV Mainz 05 -0.536%
Handicap — Bayer 04 Leverkusen +1.520%
Handicap — 1. FSV Mainz 05 -1.518%
Handicap — Bayer 04 Leverkusen +2.58%
Handicap — 1. FSV Mainz 05 -2.57%