1. FC Köln v Borussia Mönchengladbach
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Football·Bundesliga· 2026-10-11 · 13:30

1. FC Köln v Borussia Mönchengladbach

Recommended bet
Over 1.5 goals
Total goals
De-vigged fair price from the marketLow
Win probability84%
Implied (with margin)84%
Model edge—
Odds1.19 2/11
Crowd odds — Polymarket
1. FC Köln48%
Draw24%
Borussia Mönchengladbach29%
$11,538 liquidity · $204 traded · data from Polymarket
All markets
Match winnerProbOddsEdge
Match Winner — 1. FC Köln44%2.06—
Match Winner — Borussia Mönchengladbach30%3.57—
Match Winner — Draw26%4.25—
GoalsProbOddsEdge
Over 2.5 goals62%1.50—
Under 3.5 goals60%1.73—
Over 3.5 goals40%2.28—
Under 2.5 goals38%2.67—
Over 3.25 goals—2.00—
Under 3.25 goals—1.87—
Over 3 goals—1.76—
Under 3 goals—2.08—
Model-only estimates · 104 markets
Match winnerProbOddsEdge
Double chance — 1. FC Köln or Borussia Mönchengladbach74%——
Double chance — 1. FC Köln or Draw70%——
Draw no bet — 1. FC Köln59%——
Double chance — Borussia Mönchengladbach or Draw56%——
1. FC Köln to win44%——
Draw no bet — Borussia Mönchengladbach41%——
Borussia Mönchengladbach to win30%——
Draw26%——
GoalsProbOddsEdge
Over 0.5 goals95%——
Under 5.5 goals89%——
Over 1.5 goals84%——
Under 4.5 goals78%——
BTTS — Yes65%——
Over 2.5 goals62%——
Under 3.5 goals60%——
BTTS Yes + Over 2.553%——
Goals range — 2-3 goals44%——
Over 3.5 goals40%——
Under 2.5 goals38%——
BTTS — No35%——
Goals range — 4-6 goals35%——
Over 4.5 goals22%——
Under 1.5 goals16%——
Goals range — 0-1 goals16%——
BTTS Yes + Under 2.512%——
Over 5.5 goals11%——
Under 0.5 goals5%——
Goals range — 7+ goals5%——
Score & marginProbOddsEdge
Both score no draw44%——
Borussia Mönchengladbach to score 134%——
1. FC Köln to score 130%——
1. FC Köln to score 227%——
1. FC Köln to score 3+26%——
Winning margin — Draw26%——
Borussia Mönchengladbach to score 225%——
Borussia Mönchengladbach to score 024%——
1. FC Köln clean sheet24%——
Winning margin — 1. FC Köln by 120%——
1. FC Köln win to nil18%——
Borussia Mönchengladbach to score 3+18%——
1. FC Köln to score 017%——
Borussia Mönchengladbach clean sheet17%——
Winning margin — Borussia Mönchengladbach by 116%——
Winning margin — 1. FC Köln by 214%——
Borussia Mönchengladbach win to nil12%——
Correct score 1-112%——
Correct score 2-19%——
Winning margin — Borussia Mönchengladbach by 29%——
Correct score 1-27%——
Winning margin — 1. FC Köln by 37%——
Correct score 2-27%——
Correct score 2-06%——
Correct score 1-06%——
Correct score 0-05%——
Correct score 3-15%——
Correct score 0-15%——
Correct score 0-24%——
Winning margin — Borussia Mönchengladbach by 34%——
Winning margin — 1. FC Köln by 43%——
Winning margin — Borussia Mönchengladbach by 41%——
Winning margin — 1. FC Köln by 5+1%——
Winning margin — Borussia Mönchengladbach by 5+0%——
HalvesProbOddsEdge
1st Half Under 2.5 goals84%——
1st Half Over 0.5 goals75%——
1. FC Köln to win either half60%——
1st Half Under 1.5 goals59%——
Borussia Mönchengladbach to win either half47%——
Half with most goals — 2nd45%——
1st Half Over 1.5 goals41%——
1st Half result — Draw38%——
1st Half result — 1. FC Köln35%——
1. FC Köln to score in both halves33%——
Half with most goals — 1st32%——
HT/FT 1. FC Köln / 1. FC Köln28%——
1st Half result — Borussia Mönchengladbach27%——
Borussia Mönchengladbach to score in both halves25%——
1st Half Under 0.5 goals25%——
Half with most goals — Equal24%——
HT/FT Borussia Mönchengladbach / Borussia Mönchengladbach18%——
1st Half Over 2.5 goals17%——
HT/FT Draw / 1. FC Köln15%——
1. FC Köln to win both halves13%——
HT/FT Draw / Draw13%——
HT/FT Draw / Borussia Mönchengladbach11%——
Borussia Mönchengladbach to win both halves8%——
HT/FT Borussia Mönchengladbach / Draw5%——
HT/FT 1. FC Köln / Draw5%——
HT/FT Borussia Mönchengladbach / 1. FC Köln3%——
HT/FT 1. FC Köln / Borussia Mönchengladbach2%——
HandicapsProbOddsEdge
Handicap — 1. FC Köln +2.595%——
Handicap — Borussia Mönchengladbach -2.589%——
Handicap — 1. FC Köln +1.586%——
Handicap — Borussia Mönchengladbach -1.576%——
Handicap — 1. FC Köln +0.570%——
Handicap — Borussia Mönchengladbach -0.556%——
Handicap — 1. FC Köln -0.544%——
Handicap — Borussia Mönchengladbach +0.530%——
Handicap — 1. FC Köln -1.524%——
Handicap — Borussia Mönchengladbach +1.514%——
Handicap — 1. FC Köln -2.511%——
Handicap — Borussia Mönchengladbach +2.55%——
GoalscorersProbOddsEdge
Anytime scorer — Thijs Dallinga (1. FC Köln)47%——
Anytime scorer — Hugo Bolin (Borussia Mönchengladbach)38%——
Anytime scorer — Said El Mala (1. FC Köln)27%——