SC Freiburg v FC Schalke 04
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Football·Bundesliga· 2026-10-11 · 15:30

SC Freiburg v FC Schalke 04

Recommended bet
Over 1.5 goals
Total goals
De-vigged fair price from the marketLow
Win probability86%
Implied (with margin)86%
Model edge—
Odds1.16 1/6
Crowd odds — Polymarket
SC Freiburg60%
Draw24%
FC Schalke 0418%
$11,631 liquidity · $657 traded · data from Polymarket
All markets
Match winnerProbOddsEdge
Match Winner — FC Schalke 0451%5.44—
Match Winner — SC Freiburg51%1.71—
Match Winner — Draw24%4.35—
GoalsProbOddsEdge
Over 2.5 goals65%1.69—
Under 2.5 goals35%2.40—
Over 3 goals—2.03—
Under 3 goals—1.85—
Model-only estimates · 152 markets
Match winnerProbOddsEdge
Double chance — SC Freiburg or FC Schalke 0476%——
Double chance — SC Freiburg or Draw75%——
Draw no bet — SC Freiburg67%——
SC Freiburg to win51%——
Double chance — FC Schalke 04 or Draw50%——
Draw no bet — FC Schalke 0433%——
FC Schalke 04 to win25%——
Draw24%——
GoalsProbOddsEdge
Over 0.5 goals95%——
Under 5.5 goals88%——
Over 1.5 goals86%——
Under 4.5 goals75%——
BTTS — Yes65%——
Over 2.5 goals65%——
Under 3.5 goals57%——
BTTS Yes + Over 2.555%——
Over 3.5 goals43%——
Goals range — 2-3 goals43%——
Goals range — 4-6 goals38%——
Under 2.5 goals35%——
BTTS — No35%——
Over 4.5 goals25%——
Under 1.5 goals14%——
Goals range — 0-1 goals14%——
Over 5.5 goals12%——
BTTS Yes + Under 2.511%——
Goals range — 7+ goals5%——
Under 0.5 goals5%——
Score & marginProbOddsEdge
Both score no draw46%——
FC Schalke 04 to score 135%——
SC Freiburg to score 3+32%——
SC Freiburg to score 127%——
SC Freiburg to score 227%——
FC Schalke 04 to score 026%——
SC Freiburg clean sheet26%——
Winning margin — Draw24%——
FC Schalke 04 to score 224%——
SC Freiburg win to nil21%——
Winning margin — SC Freiburg by 121%——
FC Schalke 04 to score 3+16%——
Winning margin — SC Freiburg by 216%——
Winning margin — FC Schalke 04 by 114%——
SC Freiburg to score 014%——
FC Schalke 04 clean sheet14%——
Correct score 1-111%——
Correct score 2-19%——
FC Schalke 04 win to nil9%——
Winning margin — SC Freiburg by 39%——
Winning margin — FC Schalke 04 by 28%——
Correct score 2-07%——
Correct score 1-27%——
Correct score 2-26%——
Correct score 3-16%——
Correct score 1-06%——
Correct score 0-05%——
Correct score 3-05%——
Correct score 3-24%——
Winning margin — SC Freiburg by 44%——
Winning margin — FC Schalke 04 by 33%——
Winning margin — SC Freiburg by 5+2%——
Winning margin — FC Schalke 04 by 41%——
Winning margin — FC Schalke 04 by 5+0%——
HalvesProbOddsEdge
1st Half Over 0.5 goals80%——
1st Half Under 2.5 goals78%——
SC Freiburg to win either half67%——
1st Half Under 1.5 goals52%——
1st Half Over 1.5 goals48%——
Half with most goals — 2nd46%——
FC Schalke 04 to win either half44%——
SC Freiburg to score in both halves42%——
1st Half result — SC Freiburg41%——
1st Half result — Draw35%——
HT/FT SC Freiburg / SC Freiburg34%——
Half with most goals — 1st32%——
FC Schalke 04 to score in both halves27%——
1st Half result — FC Schalke 0424%——
1st Half Over 2.5 goals22%——
Half with most goals — Equal22%——
1st Half Under 0.5 goals20%——
SC Freiburg to win both halves18%——
HT/FT FC Schalke 04 / FC Schalke 0415%——
HT/FT Draw / SC Freiburg15%——
HT/FT Draw / Draw11%——
HT/FT Draw / FC Schalke 049%——
FC Schalke 04 to win both halves6%——
HT/FT FC Schalke 04 / Draw5%——
HT/FT SC Freiburg / Draw5%——
HT/FT FC Schalke 04 / SC Freiburg4%——
HT/FT SC Freiburg / FC Schalke 042%——
HandicapsProbOddsEdge
Handicap — SC Freiburg +2.596%——
Handicap — SC Freiburg +1.589%——
Handicap — FC Schalke 04 -2.586%——
Handicap — SC Freiburg +0.575%——
Handicap — FC Schalke 04 -1.570%——
Handicap — SC Freiburg -0.551%——
Handicap — FC Schalke 04 -0.550%——
Handicap — SC Freiburg -1.530%——
Handicap — FC Schalke 04 +0.525%——
Handicap — SC Freiburg -2.514%——
Handicap — FC Schalke 04 +1.511%——
Handicap — FC Schalke 04 +2.54%——
CardsProbOddsEdge
Under 6.5 cards100%——
Under 5.5 cards99%——
Under 4.5 cards97%——
Under 3.5 cards90%——
Under 2.5 cards75%——
Most cards — FC Schalke 0440%——
Most cards — Tie33%——
Most cards — SC Freiburg27%——
Over 2.5 cards25%——
Any red card22%——
Over 3.5 cards10%——
Over 4.5 cards3%——
2+ red cards3%——
FC Schalke 04 expected cards1%——
Over 5.5 cards1%——
SC Freiburg expected cards1%——
Over 6.5 cards0%——
CornersProbOddsEdge
Under 12.5 corners92%——
Under 11.5 corners87%——
Under 10.5 corners79%——
Most corners — SC Freiburg73%——
Under 9.5 corners69%——
Over 7.5 corners58%——
Under 8.5 corners56%——
Over 8.5 corners44%——
Under 7.5 corners42%——
Over 9.5 corners32%——
Over 10.5 corners21%——
Most corners — FC Schalke 0417%——
Over 11.5 corners13%——
Over 12.5 corners8%——
SC Freiburg expected corners5%——
FC Schalke 04 expected corners3%——
FoulsProbOddsEdge
Under 24.5 fouls98%——
Under 23.5 fouls97%——
Under 22.5 fouls94%——
Under 21.5 fouls91%——
Under 20.5 fouls87%——
Under 19.5 fouls82%——
Most fouls — SC Freiburg56%——
Most fouls — FC Schalke 0434%——
Over 19.5 fouls18%——
Over 20.5 fouls13%——
Over 21.5 fouls9%——
Over 22.5 fouls6%——
Over 23.5 fouls4%——
Over 24.5 fouls2%——
GoalscorersProbOddsEdge
Anytime scorer — Yuito Suzuki (SC Freiburg)69%——
Anytime scorer — Igor Matanovic (SC Freiburg)59%——
Anytime scorer — Maximilian Eggestein (SC Freiburg)44%——
Anytime scorer — Yannik Engelhardt (SC Freiburg)44%——