Football·Bundesliga· 2026-10-10 · 13:30

1. FC Union Berlin v SV 07 Elversberg

Recommended bet

Over 1.5 goals

Total goals

De-vigged fair price from the marketLow

Win probability85%

Implied (with margin)85%

Model edge—

Odds1.17 1/6

Crowd odds — Polymarket

1. FC Union Berlin42%

Draw26%

SV 07 Elversberg34%

$46,408 liquidity · $1,692 traded · data from Polymarket

All markets

Match winnerProbOddsEdge

Match Winner — SV 07 Elversberg50%3.07—

Match Winner — 1. FC Union Berlin26%2.40—

Match Winner — Draw25%4.00—

GoalsProbOddsEdge

Over 2.5 goals64%1.63—

Under 3.5 goals58%1.60—

Over 3.5 goals42%2.38—

Under 2.5 goals36%2.49—

Over 3 goals—1.92—

Under 3 goals—1.97—

Model-only estimates · 155 markets

Match winnerProbOddsEdge

Double chance — 1. FC Union Berlin or SV 07 Elversberg75%——

Double chance — SV 07 Elversberg or Draw74%——

Draw no bet — SV 07 Elversberg66%——

Double chance — 1. FC Union Berlin or Draw50%——

SV 07 Elversberg to win50%——

Draw no bet — 1. FC Union Berlin34%——

1. FC Union Berlin to win26%——

Draw25%——

GoalsProbOddsEdge

Over 0.5 goals95%——

Under 5.5 goals88%——

Over 1.5 goals86%——

Under 4.5 goals76%——

BTTS — Yes65%——

Over 2.5 goals64%——

Under 3.5 goals58%——

BTTS Yes + Over 2.554%——

Goals range — 2-3 goals43%——

Over 3.5 goals42%——

Goals range — 4-6 goals37%——

Under 2.5 goals36%——

BTTS — No35%——

Over 4.5 goals24%——

Under 1.5 goals15%——

Goals range — 0-1 goals15%——

Over 5.5 goals12%——

BTTS Yes + Under 2.511%——

Goals range — 7+ goals5%——

Under 0.5 goals5%——

Score & marginProbOddsEdge

Both score no draw45%——

1. FC Union Berlin to score 135%——

SV 07 Elversberg to score 3+31%——

SV 07 Elversberg to score 128%——

SV 07 Elversberg to score 227%——

1. FC Union Berlin to score 026%——

SV 07 Elversberg clean sheet26%——

Winning margin — Draw25%——

1. FC Union Berlin to score 224%——

SV 07 Elversberg win to nil21%——

Winning margin — SV 07 Elversberg by 121%——

1. FC Union Berlin to score 3+16%——

Winning margin — SV 07 Elversberg by 215%——

SV 07 Elversberg to score 014%——

1. FC Union Berlin clean sheet14%——

Winning margin — 1. FC Union Berlin by 114%——

Correct score 1-111%——

Correct score 1-29%——

1. FC Union Berlin win to nil9%——

Winning margin — SV 07 Elversberg by 38%——

Winning margin — 1. FC Union Berlin by 28%——

Correct score 0-27%——

Correct score 2-17%——

Correct score 2-26%——

Correct score 1-36%——

Correct score 0-16%——

Correct score 0-05%——

Correct score 0-35%——

Correct score 2-34%——

Winning margin — SV 07 Elversberg by 44%——

Winning margin — 1. FC Union Berlin by 33%——

Winning margin — SV 07 Elversberg by 5+2%——

Winning margin — 1. FC Union Berlin by 41%——

Winning margin — 1. FC Union Berlin by 5+0%——

HalvesProbOddsEdge

1st Half Under 2.5 goals80%——

1st Half Over 0.5 goals79%——

SV 07 Elversberg to win either half66%——

1st Half Under 1.5 goals54%——

Half with most goals — 2nd46%——

1st Half Over 1.5 goals46%——

1. FC Union Berlin to win either half44%——

1st Half result — SV 07 Elversberg40%——

SV 07 Elversberg to score in both halves40%——

1st Half result — Draw36%——

HT/FT SV 07 Elversberg / SV 07 Elversberg33%——

Half with most goals — 1st32%——

1. FC Union Berlin to score in both halves26%——

1st Half result — 1. FC Union Berlin24%——

Half with most goals — Equal22%——

1st Half Under 0.5 goals21%——

1st Half Over 2.5 goals20%——

SV 07 Elversberg to win both halves17%——

HT/FT 1. FC Union Berlin / 1. FC Union Berlin16%——

HT/FT Draw / SV 07 Elversberg15%——

HT/FT Draw / Draw11%——

HT/FT Draw / 1. FC Union Berlin9%——

1. FC Union Berlin to win both halves6%——

HT/FT SV 07 Elversberg / Draw5%——

HT/FT 1. FC Union Berlin / Draw5%——

HT/FT 1. FC Union Berlin / SV 07 Elversberg4%——

HT/FT SV 07 Elversberg / 1. FC Union Berlin2%——

HandicapsProbOddsEdge

Handicap — SV 07 Elversberg -2.596%——

Handicap — SV 07 Elversberg -1.588%——

Handicap — 1. FC Union Berlin +2.586%——

Handicap — SV 07 Elversberg -0.574%——

Handicap — 1. FC Union Berlin +1.571%——

Handicap — 1. FC Union Berlin +0.550%——

Handicap — SV 07 Elversberg +0.550%——

Handicap — SV 07 Elversberg +1.529%——

Handicap — 1. FC Union Berlin -0.526%——

Handicap — SV 07 Elversberg +2.514%——

Handicap — 1. FC Union Berlin -1.512%——

Handicap — 1. FC Union Berlin -2.54%——

CardsProbOddsEdge

Under 6.5 cards84%——

Over 2.5 cards82%——

Under 5.5 cards72%——

Over 3.5 cards64%——

Most cards — 1. FC Union Berlin57%——

Under 4.5 cards55%——

Over 4.5 cards45%——

Under 3.5 cards36%——

Over 5.5 cards28%——

Most cards — SV 07 Elversberg25%——

Under 2.5 cards18%——

Most cards — Tie18%——

Over 6.5 cards16%——

1. FC Union Berlin expected cards3%——

SV 07 Elversberg expected cards2%——

Any red card0%——

2+ red cards0%——

CornersProbOddsEdge

Under 12.5 corners98%——

Under 11.5 corners96%——

Under 10.5 corners92%——

Under 9.5 corners86%——

Under 8.5 corners76%——

Under 7.5 corners64%——

Most corners — SV 07 Elversberg54%——

Over 7.5 corners36%——

Most corners — 1. FC Union Berlin31%——

Over 8.5 corners24%——

Over 9.5 corners15%——

Over 10.5 corners8%——

Over 11.5 corners4%——

SV 07 Elversberg expected corners4%——

1. FC Union Berlin expected corners3%——

Over 12.5 corners2%——

FoulsProbOddsEdge

Over 19.5 fouls70%——

Under 24.5 fouls70%——

Under 23.5 fouls63%——

Over 20.5 fouls62%——

Under 22.5 fouls55%——

Over 21.5 fouls54%——

Most fouls — SV 07 Elversberg49%——

Under 21.5 fouls46%——

Over 22.5 fouls45%——

Most fouls — 1. FC Union Berlin43%——

Under 20.5 fouls38%——

Over 23.5 fouls37%——

Over 24.5 fouls30%——

Under 19.5 fouls30%——

GoalscorersProbOddsEdge

Anytime scorer — Maurice Krattenmacher (SV 07 Elversberg)65%——

Anytime scorer — David Mokwa Ntusu (SV 07 Elversberg)50%——

Anytime scorer — Tim Skarke (1. FC Union Berlin)33%——

Anytime scorer — Lukas Petkov (SV 07 Elversberg)29%——

Anytime scorer — Cole Campbell (SV 07 Elversberg)29%——

Anytime scorer — Emmanuel Latte Lath (1. FC Union Berlin)18%——

Anytime scorer — Leopold Querfeld (1. FC Union Berlin)18%——